xgEdge

Wednesday, 09/09/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Derby County 0:1 West Bromwich Albion

Derby County Home 1.27 xG · 13 shots
West Bromwich Albion Away 0.38 xG · 4 shots
01 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 16' Aune Selland Heggebø West Bromwich Albion · 0.22 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Derby County West Bromwich Albion
Shots
13
4
On target
2
1
Inside the box
7
4
xG per shot
0.09
0.10
Open play xG
1.08
0.30
Set-piece xG
0.15
0.09
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.20 for Derby County and 0.39 for West Bromwich Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Derby County · Ryan Hedges · 45' · No goal · 3 m · 0.59 xG Derby County · Henrik Wendel Meister · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.26 xG West Bromwich Albion · Aune Selland Heggebø · 16' · Goal · 3 m · 0.22 xG West Bromwich Albion · Jimmy-Jay Morgan · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG West Bromwich Albion · Aune Selland Heggebø · 25' · No goal · 7 m · 0.08 xG Derby County · Lars-Jørgen Salvesen · 68' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Derby County · Henrik Wendel Meister · 86' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Derby County · Mohammed Fuseini · 47' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Sammie Szmodics · 63' · No goal · 26 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Sammie Szmodics · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Lars-Jørgen Salvesen · 55' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Alex Mowatt · 8' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Derby County · Sammie Szmodics · 62' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Derby County · Eiran Cashin · 53' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Bobby Clark · 27' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Derby County · Henrik Wendel Meister · 84' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG West Bromwich Albion · Ousmane Diakité · 71' · No goal · 9 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

17 shots · 1.63 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Derby County
  • West Bromwich Albion
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Derby County

1.02 xG created 2.07 xGA

  • L 2.11 created, 1.85 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 1.00 created, 0.97 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • D 1.62 created, 1.98 conceded against Cardiff City
  • L 0.70 created, 3.00 conceded against Swansea City
  • W 0.55 created, 0.84 conceded against Portsmouth
  • L 0.11 created, 3.79 conceded against West Ham United
West Bromwich Albion

1.41 xG created 1.59 xGA

  • L 1.87 created, 1.28 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • W 1.85 created, 2.96 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.63 created, 1.18 conceded against Burnley
  • L 1.40 created, 2.46 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.57 created, 0.39 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • W 1.14 created, 1.26 conceded against Watford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.