xgEdge

Saturday, 05/09/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

West Bromwich Albion 1:0 Watford

West Bromwich Albion Home 1.14 xG · 9 shots
Watford Away 1.26 xG · 10 shots
10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 36' Jimmy-Jay Morgan West Bromwich Albion · 0.22 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

West Bromwich Albion Watford
Shots
9
10
On target
4
2
Inside the box
7
8
xG per shot
0.11
0.08
Open play xG
0.87
0.77
Set-piece xG
0.09
0.06
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.96 for West Bromwich Albion and 0.82 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

West Bromwich Albion · Aune Selland Heggebø · 71' · No goal · 10 m · 0.28 xG West Bromwich Albion · Jimmy-Jay Morgan · 36' · Goal · 7 m · 0.22 xG West Bromwich Albion · Jimmy-Jay Morgan · 40' · No goal · 8 m · 0.21 xG Watford · Iker Bravo · 51' · No goal · 8 m · 0.18 xG Watford · Othmane Maamma · 3' · No goal · 11 m · 0.17 xG Watford · Othmane Maamma · 51' · No goal · 5 m · 0.12 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 54' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG West Bromwich Albion · Jimmy-Jay Morgan · 8' · No goal · 15 m · 0.09 xG Watford · Jordan Zemura · 43' · No goal · 26 m · 0.06 xG West Bromwich Albion · Ousmane Diakité · 86' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Watford · Iker Bravo · 30' · No goal · 6 m · 0.05 xG Watford · Iker Bravo · 65' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Stephy Mavididi · 83' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG West Bromwich Albion · George Campbell · 19' · No goal · 4 m · 0.04 xG West Bromwich Albion · Jimmy-Jay Morgan · 52' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Watford · Amin Nabizada · 70' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG West Bromwich Albion · Harry Whitwell · 34' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG West Bromwich Albion · Isaac Price · 66' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Martín Payero · 52' · No goal · 31 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

19 shots · 1.79 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • West Bromwich Albion
  • Watford
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
West Bromwich Albion

1.44 xG created 1.56 xGA

  • D 1.30 created, 1.07 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • L 1.87 created, 1.28 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
  • W 1.85 created, 2.96 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.63 created, 1.18 conceded against Burnley
  • L 1.40 created, 2.46 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.57 created, 0.39 conceded against Charlton Athletic
Watford

1.08 xG created 1.82 xGA

  • L 0.85 created, 2.30 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • L 1.70 created, 1.39 conceded against Coventry City
  • W 0.81 created, 1.71 conceded against Southampton
  • D 0.65 created, 1.92 conceded against Wrexham
  • D 1.60 created, 0.89 conceded against West Ham United
  • L 0.88 created, 2.71 conceded against Swansea City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.