Portsmouth 0:2 Derby County: xG & match report · Championship

Tuesday, 01/09/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Championship

Portsmouth Home 0.84 xG · 21 shots

Derby County Away 0.55 xG · 8 shots

02 The result went against the chances

Goals

16' Sammie Szmodics Derby County · 0.15 xG chance 0–1
62' Lars-Jørgen Salvesen Derby County · 0.14 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Portsmouth Derby County

Shots: 21; 8
On target: 2; 5
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.04; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.50; 0.46
Set-piece xG: 0.31; 0.08
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.84 for Portsmouth and 0.55 for Derby County.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 1.35 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Portsmouth
Derby County
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Portsmouth

1.20 xG created 1.91 xGA

L 0.10 created, 3.26 conceded against Coventry City
W 1.61 created, 1.51 conceded against Stoke City
D 0.74 created, 1.67 conceded against Birmingham City
L 2.17 created, 2.07 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 1.21 created, 2.32 conceded against Lincoln City
L 1.37 created, 0.61 conceded against Bristol City

Derby County

1.30 xG created 1.97 xGA

L 1.24 created, 1.54 conceded against Norwich City
W 1.13 created, 2.48 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 2.11 created, 1.85 conceded against Sheffield United
L 1.00 created, 0.97 conceded against Charlton Athletic
D 1.62 created, 1.98 conceded against Cardiff City
L 0.70 created, 3.00 conceded against Swansea City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Portsmouth: 0 won · 1 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.