xgEdge

Every Championship match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 21/11/2026

9 matches
  • Millwall Millwall, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Draw
    Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.43 – 1.21
    →
  • Wolverhampton Wolverhampton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.85 – 0.80
    Clear favourite
    →
  • West Ham United West Ham United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Win
    Preston North End Preston North End, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.05 – 0.98
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Swansea City Swansea City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.30 – 0.97
    →
  • Stoke City Stoke City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Birmingham City Birmingham City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.46
    →
  • Sheffield United Sheffield United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Win
    Watford Watford, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.45 – 1.16
    →
  • Middlesbrough Middlesbrough, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Bristol City Bristol City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.94 – 0.88
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Lincoln City Lincoln City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Wrexham Wrexham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.06
    →
  • Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Portsmouth Portsmouth, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.18
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 22/11/2026

1 match
  • Burnley Burnley, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.53 – 1.05
    →

Tuesday, 24/11/2026

8 matches
  • Sheffield United Sheffield United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Win
    Southampton Southampton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.24 – 1.52
    →
  • Portsmouth Portsmouth, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    West Ham United West Ham United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.30
    →
  • Norwich City Norwich City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.24 – 1.21
    Tight
    →
  • Middlesbrough Middlesbrough, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Swansea City Swansea City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.73 – 0.97
    →
  • Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Lincoln City Lincoln City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.21
    Tight
    →
  • Cardiff City Cardiff City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Preston North End Preston North End, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.89 – 1.28
    →
  • Bristol City Bristol City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Wrexham Wrexham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.14 – 1.01
    →
  • Wolverhampton Wolverhampton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Derby County Derby County, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.73 – 0.88
    Clear favourite
    →

Wednesday, 25/11/2026

4 matches
  • Watford Watford, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.17
    →
  • Burnley Burnley, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Birmingham City Birmingham City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.37
    Tight
    →
  • Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.14
    →
  • Stoke City Stoke City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Millwall Millwall, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.09 – 1.54
    →

Friday, 27/11/2026

1 match
  • Southampton Southampton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Middlesbrough Middlesbrough, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.67
    →

Saturday, 28/11/2026

10 matches
  • Preston North End Preston North End, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Norwich City Norwich City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.31 – 1.36
    Tight
    →
  • Lincoln City Lincoln City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Wolverhampton Wolverhampton, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.42
    →
  • Blackburn Rovers Blackburn Rovers, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Loss
    Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.34 – 1.08
    →
  • Wrexham Wrexham, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Win
    Portsmouth Portsmouth, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.02
    Tight
    →
  • West Ham United West Ham United, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Draw, Win, Win
    Stoke City Stoke City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.01 – 0.82
    Clear favourite
    →
  • West Bromwich Albion West Bromwich Albion, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Win, Win
    Bristol City Bristol City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.29 – 1.00
    →
  • Queens Park Rangers Queens Park Rangers, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Draw, Win, Loss
    Sheffield United Sheffield United, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.62 – 0.91
    →
  • Millwall Millwall, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Draw, Win, Loss, Draw
    Burnley Burnley, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.71 – 1.16
    →
  • Derby County Derby County, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Watford Watford, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.52 – 1.13
    →
  • Birmingham City Birmingham City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Bolton Wanderers Bolton Wanderers, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.09
    →

Sunday, 29/11/2026

1 match
  • Swansea City Swansea City, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Cardiff City Cardiff City, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.59 – 1.22
    →

Championship publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.