xgEdge

Saturday, 31/01/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Watford 0:2 Swansea City

Watford Home 0.84 xG · 17 shots
Swansea City Away 2.78 xG · 15 shots
02 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 55' Marko Stamenić Swansea City · 0.81 xG chance 0–1
  2. 80' Josh Key Swansea City · 0.92 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Watford Swansea City
Shots
17
15
On target
5
7
Inside the box
7
10
xG per shot
0.05
0.18
Open play xG
0.73
0.79
Set-piece xG
0.11
1.92
Penalties
—
—

Swansea City's shots add up to 2.70 xG; the published figure is 2.78.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Swansea City · Josh Key · 80' · Goal · 2 m · 0.92 xG Swansea City · Marko Stamenić · 55' · Goal · 1 m · 0.81 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 40' · No goal · 16 m · 0.18 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 6' · No goal · 14 m · 0.17 xG Swansea City · Gonçalo Franco · 61' · No goal · 18 m · 0.14 xG Swansea City · Ronald · 50' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 25' · No goal · 4 m · 0.12 xG Watford · Tom Ince · 24' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 63' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG Watford · Tom Ince · 48' · No goal · 16 m · 0.07 xG Watford · Tom Ince · 24' · No goal · 18 m · 0.07 xG Watford · Marc Bola · 15' · No goal · 6 m · 0.06 xG Watford · Edo Kayembe · 51' · No goal · 18 m · 0.06 xG Swansea City · Marko Stamenić · 80' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Watford · Jeremy Ngakia · 18' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Swansea City · Ji-sung Eom · 14' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Watford · James Abankwah · 11' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Edo Kayembe · 30' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Imrân Louza · 45' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 55' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 62' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 84' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Tom Ince · 1' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 75' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 57' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Ronald · 54' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Josh Tymon · 71' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Jeremy Ngakia · 78' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Imrân Louza · 28' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Jeremy Ngakia · 49' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Marc Bola · 49' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

32 shots · 3.54 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Watford
  • Swansea City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Watford

0.97 xG created 0.81 xGA

  • W 1.40 created, 0.43 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 0.36 created, 0.95 conceded against Norwich City
  • W 1.56 created, 0.40 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 0.54 created, 1.57 conceded against Millwall
  • D 0.80 created, 0.62 conceded against Portsmouth
  • D 1.15 created, 0.89 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
Swansea City

1.20 xG created 1.18 xGA

  • W 0.79 created, 0.48 conceded against Oxford United
  • W 0.67 created, 1.06 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • L 1.05 created, 1.93 conceded against Millwall
  • D 1.60 created, 1.02 conceded against Birmingham City
  • W 1.01 created, 0.98 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 2.05 created, 1.62 conceded against Hull City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Watford: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.