Ipswich Town 3:0 Swansea City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Ipswich Town Home 1.18 xG · 11 shots

Swansea City Away 0.36 xG · 10 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Anis Mehmeti Ipswich Town · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
41' Ivan Azón Ipswich Town · 0.10 xG chance 2–0
74' George Hirst Ipswich Town · 0.22 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Ipswich Town Swansea City

Shots: 11; 10
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 8; 1
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.83; 0.29
Set-piece xG: 0.36; 0.06
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.18 for Ipswich Town.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 1.55 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Ipswich Town
Swansea City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Ipswich Town

1.42 xG created 1.36 xGA

W 1.08 created, 0.67 conceded against Bristol City
L 1.98 created, 1.63 conceded against Sheffield United
D 2.23 created, 1.06 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.27 created, 1.03 conceded against Derby County
L 0.81 created, 2.09 conceded against Wrexham
W 1.12 created, 1.68 conceded against Watford

Swansea City

1.64 xG created 0.97 xGA

L 2.05 created, 1.62 conceded against Hull City
W 2.78 created, 0.84 conceded against Watford
W 1.87 created, 0.06 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
L 1.00 created, 0.80 conceded against Derby County
W 0.58 created, 0.72 conceded against Bristol City
D 1.55 created, 1.77 conceded against Preston North End

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Ipswich Town: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Swansea City 1:4 Ipswich Town 08/11/2025 xG 0.43 – 1.37

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.