Saturday, 07/11/2026 at 14:00
34d 8h to kick-offFC Hradec Králové – SK Sigma Olomouc
Model updated 4 October, 06:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- FC Hradec Králové
- 40%
- Draw
- 32%
- SK Sigma Olomouc
- 28%
| FC Hradec Králové | Draw | SK Sigma Olomouc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 2.52 | 3.12 | 3.54 |
- Total goals
- 2.42
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%
- Both teams to score
- 55%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans FC Hradec Králové
40% FC Hradec Králové to win
- Attack
- 13th vs 6th
- FC Hradec Králové attack v SK Sigma Olomouc defence
- Defence
- 8th vs 8th
- FC Hradec Králové defence v SK Sigma Olomouc attack
- Recent xG form
- -0.18 vs +0.06
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.32 – 1.10
- FC Hradec Králové v SK Sigma Olomouc
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | FC Hradec Králové | SK Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 1.03 · 14th | (better) 1.23 · 11th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.05 · 4th | 1.21 · 7th |
| xGD / match | -0.02 · 9th | (better) +0.02 · 7th |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.39 · 7th | 1.39 · 8th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.18 | (better) +0.07 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 36% of the model's distribution.
- FC Hradec Králové clean sheet
- 30%
- FC Hradec Králové 2+ goals
- 39%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Both teams to score: no
- 45%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 16.5%
- 2:1
- 10.1%
- 1:0
- 9.4%
Check your bookmaker's price
Enter a bookmaker's price to compare it with the model's fair odds.
How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
Show
Hide
- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FC Hradec Králové sample
- 20 matches
- SK Sigma Olomouc sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · FC Hradec Králové
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · SK Sigma Olomouc
- 5 matches
- Computed
- Sunday, 04/10/2026 at 06:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.