xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Hradec Králové expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Czech First League · after 8 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Hradec Králové's attacking and defensive expected goals in Czech First League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Hradec Králové xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.03 xG per match
#14/16
Attack (xG per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.38
#2 AC Sparta Praha 1.66
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 1.66
#4 Mladá Boleslav 1.45
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.43
#6 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.39
#7 Baník Ostrava 1.34
#8 FK Pardubice 1.34
#9 FK Jablonec 1.32
#10 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.24
#11 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.23
#12 FK Teplice 1.20
#13 SK Líšeň 1.05
#14 FC Hradec Králové 1.03
#15 1. FC Slovácko 0.92
#16 FC Zlín 0.87
League avg
1.34
Total
8.24 8 matches
Defence
1.05 xGA per match
#4/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.86
#2 FK Jablonec 1.01
#3 SK Slavia Praha 1.02
#4 FC Hradec Králové 1.05
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.10
#6 FK Pardubice 1.20
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.21
#8 AC Sparta Praha 1.25
#9 FK Teplice 1.28
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.37
#11 SK Líšeň 1.42
#12 FC Zlín 1.44
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.52
#14 1. FC Slovácko 1.88
#15 Baník Ostrava 1.89
#16 Mladá Boleslav 2.06
League avg
1.34
Total
8.39 8 matches
xG difference
-0.02 xGD per match
#9/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha +1.36
#2 FC Slovan Liberec +0.80
#3 AC Sparta Praha +0.41
#4 Viktoria Plzeň +0.32
#5 FK Jablonec +0.31
#6 FK Pardubice +0.14
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc +0.02
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 +0.02
#9 FC Hradec Králové -0.02
#10 FK Teplice -0.08
#11 FC Zbrojovka Brno -0.28
#12 SK Líšeň -0.37
#13 Baník Ostrava -0.55
#14 FC Zlín -0.57
#15 Mladá Boleslav -0.62
#16 1. FC Slovácko -0.96
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.15 8 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.39 xPts per match
#7/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.11
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 1.90
#3 AC Sparta Praha 1.68
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 1.61
#5 FK Jablonec 1.59
#6 FK Pardubice 1.46
#7 FC Hradec Králové 1.39
#8 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.39
#9 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.33
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.31
#11 FK Teplice 1.30
#12 SK Líšeň 1.11
#13 Mladá Boleslav 1.03
#14 Baník Ostrava 1.02
#15 FC Zlín 0.90
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
11.15 vs 14 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 8 of 9 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FC Hradec Králové's underlying numbers sit close to the Czech First League average. They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.02 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 8 goals are 0.24 below 8.24 xG, while 14 points are 2.85 above 11.15 xPts — both over the 8 matches with xG. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
8 8.24 -0.24 scored 0.24 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
7 8.39 -1.39 conceded 1.39 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
14 11.15 +2.85 2.85 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Hradec Králové are 0.24 goals below their xG after 8 matches. The gap was widest at -1.28, against Viktoria Plzeň on Wed 09/09.

Goals
8
xG
8.24
Gap
-0.24
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sun 06/09 Wed 09/09 Sun 13/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.89 +0.06 -0.33 -0.69 -1.22 -0.36 -1.28 -0.24 +0.89 -0.83 -0.39 -0.36 -0.53 +0.86 -0.92 +1.04 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Hradec Králové: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 FK Pardubice 2 1.11 +0.89 +0.89
Sun 02/08 Bohemians Praha 1905 0 0.83 -0.83 +0.06
Sun 09/08 Baník Ostrava 2 2.39 -0.39 -0.33
Sun 30/08 FC Slovan Liberec 0 0.36 -0.36 -0.69
Wed 02/09 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0 0.53 -0.53 -1.22
Sun 06/09 AC Sparta Praha 2 1.14 +0.86 -0.36
Wed 09/09 Viktoria Plzeň 0 0.92 -0.92 -1.28
Sun 13/09 FC Zlín 2 0.96 +1.04 -0.24

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Hradec Králové xG trend

Current form -0.18 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 8 matches. The worst was against FC Slovan Liberec on Sun 30/08 (-1.83).

npxG · last 6
1.05
npxGA · last 6
1.23
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.80 Sun 26/07 +0.16 Sun 02/08 +1.59 Sun 09/08 -1.83 Sun 30/08 -0.95 Wed 02/09 +0.00 Sun 06/09 +0.71 Wed 09/09 -0.58 Sun 13/09 -0.01 season avg
FC Hradec Králové: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 FK Pardubice 1.11 0.31 +0.80 +0.80
Sun 02/08 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.84 0.68 +0.16 +0.48
Sun 09/08 Baník Ostrava 2.39 0.80 +1.59 +0.85
Sun 30/08 FC Slovan Liberec 0.36 2.19 -1.83 +0.18
Wed 02/09 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.53 1.48 -0.95 -0.05
Sun 06/09 AC Sparta Praha 1.13 1.13 +0.00 -0.04
Wed 09/09 Viktoria Plzeň 0.92 0.21 +0.71 +0.07
Sun 13/09 FC Zlín 0.96 1.54 -0.58 -0.01

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.03 npxG and 1.04 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 6 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
tied number 9 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 16

  1. FK Teplice Home −0.14
  2. FC Zlín Away −0.45
  3. Viktoria Plzeň Home +0.36
  4. AC Sparta Praha Home +0.37
  5. FC Zbrojovka Brno Away −0.12
  6. FC Slovan Liberec Away +0.30
  7. Baník Ostrava Home −0.24
  8. Bohemians Praha 1905 Away 0.00
  9. FK Pardubice Home −0.03

Last 5

0.00 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 16

  1. FK Teplice Home −0.14
  2. FC Zlín Away −0.45
  3. Viktoria Plzeň Home +0.36
  4. AC Sparta Praha Home +0.37
  5. FC Zbrojovka Brno Away −0.12

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Hradec Králové shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. FC Hradec Králové take 12.0 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =10 in Czech First League for volume and #12 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 23% of their npxG (league 26%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.0 shots per match
=10/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 17.3
#2 AC Sparta Praha 16.6
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 16.2
#4 FK Jablonec 15.7
#5 FK Teplice 14.5
#6 Viktoria Plzeň 14.0
#7 FK Pardubice 13.0
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 12.6
#9 Baník Ostrava 12.4
=10 FC Hradec Králové 12.0
=10 Mladá Boleslav 12.0
#12 FC Zlín 11.9
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 11.8
#14 1. FC Slovácko 11.0
#15 SK Sigma Olomouc 10.8
#16 SK Líšeň 9.8
League avg
13.2
Total
96 shots from 8 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#12/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Slavia Praha 0.13
#2 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#3 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.11
#4 SK Líšeň 0.11
#5 FC Slovan Liberec 0.11
#6 FK Pardubice 0.10
#7 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.10
#8 Baník Ostrava 0.10
#9 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.09
#11 FK Jablonec 0.09
#12 FC Hradec Králové 0.09
#13 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#14 1. FC Slovácko 0.08
#15 FK Teplice 0.08
#16 FC Zlín 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
8.24 npxG from 96 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.9 shots per match
#11/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 10.7
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 10.8
#3 AC Sparta Praha 11.6
#4 FK Jablonec 11.7
#5 1. FC Slovácko 12.2
=6 SK Sigma Olomouc 12.4
=6 Viktoria Plzeň 12.4
#8 FC Zbrojovka Brno 13.0
#9 FK Pardubice 13.3
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 13.6
#11 FC Hradec Králové 13.9
#12 FK Teplice 14.6
#13 Baník Ostrava 14.7
#14 FC Zlín 14.9
#15 SK Líšeň 15.0
#16 Mladá Boleslav 17.8
League avg
13.2
Total
111 shots allowed from 8 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#2/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.07
#2 FC Hradec Králové 0.08
#3 FK Jablonec 0.08
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#5 FK Pardubice 0.09
#6 FC Zlín 0.09
#7 FK Teplice 0.09
#8 SK Líšeň 0.09
#9 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.09
#10 SK Slavia Praha 0.10
#11 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#12 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.10
#13 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#14 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.12
#15 Baník Ostrava 0.13
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
8.34 npxGA from 111 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 60 of 96 shots over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

55% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 61 of 111 shots allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

77% open play · 23% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 1.9 of 8.3 npxG over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

64% open play · 36% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 3.0 of 8.3 npxG allowed over 8 matches

Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Hradec Králové home and away xG

FC Hradec Králové per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4 with xG 4
xG / match 1.39 0.67
xGA / match 0.63 1.47
xGD / match +0.76 -0.80
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.01 0.78

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Hradec Králové match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9 8 with xG
xG / match
1.03
xGA / match
1.05
xGD / match
-0.02
Points
14 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 FK Teplice H
  2. Sun 13/09 FC Zlín A xG 0.96 xGA 1.54 xGD -0.58
  3. Wed 09/09 Viktoria Plzeň H xG 0.92 xGA 0.21 xGD +0.71
  4. Sun 06/09 AC Sparta Praha H xG 1.14 xGA 1.18 xGD -0.04
  5. Wed 02/09 FC Zbrojovka Brno A xG 0.53 xGA 1.48 xGD -0.95
  6. Sun 30/08 FC Slovan Liberec A Weakest underlying xG 0.36 xGA 2.19 xGD -1.83
  7. Sun 09/08 Baník Ostrava H Best underlying xG 2.39 xGA 0.80 xGD +1.59
  8. Sun 02/08 Bohemians Praha 1905 A xG 0.83 xGA 0.68 xGD +0.15
  9. Sun 26/07 FK Pardubice H xG 1.11 xGA 0.31 xGD +0.80

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Hradec Králové in Czech First League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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