xgEdge

Expected goals

Raków Częstochowa expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Raków Częstochowa's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Raków Częstochowa xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.42 xG per match
#12/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
12.79 9 matches
Defence
2.36 xGA per match
#18/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
21.25 9 matches
xG difference
-0.94 xGD per match
#18/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
-8.46 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.93 xPts per match
#18/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
8.41 vs 3 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Raków Częstochowa's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ekstraklasa. They rank #18 for xG difference at -0.94 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 12 goals are 0.79 below 12.79 xG, while 3 points are 5.41 below 8.41 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.42 xG from penalties
12 12.79 -0.79 scored 0.79 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
21 21.25 -0.25 conceded 0.25 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
3 8.41 -5.41 5.41 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Raków Częstochowa are 0.79 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -2.48, against Śląsk Wrocław on Sun 02/08.

Goals
12
xG
12.79
Gap
-0.79
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Thu 03/09 Sun 06/09 Fri 11/09 Tue 15/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.46 -2.48 -2.33 -1.57 -1.41 -1.81 -0.83 -1.00 -0.79 -0.46 -2.02 +0.15 +0.76 +0.16 -0.40 +0.98 -0.17 +0.21 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Raków Częstochowa: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 Wisła Płock 1 1.46 -0.46 -0.46
Sun 02/08 Śląsk Wrocław 1 3.02 -2.02 -2.48
Sun 16/08 Cracovia 1 0.85 +0.15 -2.33
Sun 30/08 Jagiellonia Białystok 2 1.24 +0.76 -1.57
Thu 03/09 Górnik Zabrze 1 0.84 +0.16 -1.41
Sun 06/09 Lech Poznań 0 0.40 -0.40 -1.81
Fri 11/09 Motor Lublin 2 1.02 +0.98 -0.83
Tue 15/09 Zagłębie Lubin 2 2.17 -0.17 -1.00
Sat 19/09 MKS Korona Kielce 2 1.79 +0.21 -0.79

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Raków Częstochowa xG trend

Current form -1.15 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 9 matches. The worst was against Lech Poznań on Sun 06/09 (-2.97).

npxG · last 6
1.12
npxGA · last 6
2.27
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.13 Sun 26/07 +1.28 Sun 02/08 -1.55 Sun 16/08 -1.67 Sun 30/08 -1.45 Thu 03/09 -2.97 Sun 06/09 -0.77 Fri 11/09 +0.01 Tue 15/09 -0.06 Sat 19/09 -0.81 season avg
Raków Częstochowa: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 Wisła Płock 0.73 0.86 -0.13 -0.13
Sun 02/08 Śląsk Wrocław 3.05 1.77 +1.28 +0.58
Sun 16/08 Cracovia 0.86 2.41 -1.55 -0.13
Sun 30/08 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.24 2.91 -1.67 -0.52
Thu 03/09 Górnik Zabrze 0.86 2.31 -1.45 -0.70
Sun 06/09 Lech Poznań 0.40 3.37 -2.97 -1.08
Fri 11/09 Motor Lublin 1.02 1.79 -0.77 -1.04
Tue 15/09 Zagłębie Lubin 1.39 1.38 +0.01 -0.91
Sat 19/09 MKS Korona Kielce 1.82 1.88 -0.06 -0.81

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.26 npxG and 2.08 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 2 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.10 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18

  1. MKS Korona Kielce Away −0.13
  2. Zagłębie Lubin Home −0.15
  3. Motor Lublin Home −0.15
  4. Lech Poznań Away +0.65
  5. Górnik Zabrze Home +0.27
  6. Jagiellonia Białystok Home −0.10
  7. Cracovia Away +0.15
  8. Śląsk Wrocław Away −0.29
  9. Wisła Płock Home +0.01

Last 5

+0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 2 hardest of 18

  1. MKS Korona Kielce Away −0.13
  2. Zagłębie Lubin Home −0.15
  3. Motor Lublin Home −0.15
  4. Lech Poznań Away +0.65
  5. Górnik Zabrze Home +0.27

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Raków Częstochowa shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. Raków Częstochowa take 15.1 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =6 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #17 for quality. 70% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 18% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.1 shots per match
=6/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
136 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#17/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
11.37 npxG from 136 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.3 shots per match
#10/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
138 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.14 npxGA per shot
#18/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
18.68 npxGA from 138 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

70% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 95 of 136 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

69% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 95 of 138 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

82% open play · 18% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.0 of 11.4 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

78% open play · 22% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 4.0 of 18.7 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Raków Częstochowa home and away xG

Raków Częstochowa per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4
xG / match 1.35 1.52
xGA / match 2.14 2.64
xGD / match -0.79 -1.13
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.04 0.81

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Raków Częstochowa match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.42
xGA / match
2.36
xGD / match
-0.94
Points
3 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 MKS Korona Kielce A xG 1.79 xGA 3.46 P xGD -1.67
  2. Tue 15/09 Zagłębie Lubin H xG 2.17 P xGA 1.38 xGD +0.79
  3. Fri 11/09 Motor Lublin H xG 1.02 xGA 1.79 xGD -0.77
  4. Sun 06/09 Lech Poznań A xG 0.40 xGA 2.84 xGD -2.44
  5. Thu 03/09 Górnik Zabrze H xG 0.84 xGA 2.22 xGD -1.38
  6. Sun 30/08 Jagiellonia Białystok H Weakest underlying xG 1.24 xGA 4.44 P xGD -3.20
  7. Sun 16/08 Cracovia A xG 0.85 xGA 2.74 xGD -1.89
  8. Sun 02/08 Śląsk Wrocław A Against the chances xG 3.02 xGA 1.52 xGD +1.50
  9. Sun 26/07 Wisła Płock H xG 1.46 P xGA 0.86 xGD +0.60

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.44. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Raków Częstochowa in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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