xgEdge

Expected goals

Sevilla expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

La Liga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Sevilla's attacking and defensive expected goals in La Liga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Sevilla xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.99 xG per match
#16/20
Attack (xG per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Barcelona 4.07
#2 Real Madrid 2.64
#3 Villarreal 2.38
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.72
#5 Athletic Club 1.64
#6 Real Betis 1.52
#7 Racing de Santander 1.45
#8 Levante UD 1.33
#9 Deportivo Alavés 1.28
#10 Rayo Vallecano 1.27
#11 Espanyol 1.24
#12 Osasuna 1.24
#13 Elche 1.24
#14 Real Sociedad 1.19
#15 Celta Vigo 1.01
#16 Sevilla 0.99
#17 Deportivo La Coruña 0.97
#18 Valencia 0.87
#19 Málaga 0.84
#20 Getafe 0.69
League avg
1.48
Total
6.94 7 matches
Defence
1.30 xGA per match
#9/20
Defence (xGA per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Atlético Madrid 1.02
#2 Real Madrid 1.09
#3 Barcelona 1.09
#4 Deportivo La Coruña 1.15
#5 Deportivo Alavés 1.19
#6 Villarreal 1.25
#7 Celta Vigo 1.26
#8 Getafe 1.27
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Athletic Club 1.36
#11 Espanyol 1.36
#12 Osasuna 1.39
#13 Valencia 1.64
#14 Málaga 1.66
#15 Real Sociedad 1.68
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.76
#17 Real Betis 1.86
#18 Elche 2.01
#19 Levante UD 2.08
#20 Racing de Santander 2.20
League avg
1.48
Total
9.13 7 matches
xG difference
-0.31 xGD per match
#11/20
xG difference (xGD per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Barcelona +2.99
#2 Real Madrid +1.55
#3 Villarreal +1.12
#4 Atlético Madrid +0.70
#5 Athletic Club +0.28
#6 Deportivo Alavés +0.09
#7 Espanyol -0.12
#8 Osasuna -0.15
#9 Deportivo La Coruña -0.18
#10 Celta Vigo -0.26
#11 Sevilla -0.31
#12 Real Betis -0.34
#13 Rayo Vallecano -0.50
#14 Real Sociedad -0.50
#15 Getafe -0.57
#16 Levante UD -0.75
#17 Racing de Santander -0.76
#18 Elche -0.77
#19 Valencia -0.78
#20 Málaga -0.83
League avg
0.00
Total
-2.19 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.30 xPts per match
#9/20
Expected points (xPts per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Barcelona 2.66
#2 Real Madrid 2.27
#3 Villarreal 1.92
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.86
#5 Athletic Club 1.82
#6 Deportivo Alavés 1.44
#7 Osasuna 1.36
#8 Espanyol 1.35
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Celta Vigo 1.28
#11 Real Betis 1.20
#12 Real Sociedad 1.17
#13 Elche 1.14
#14 Racing de Santander 1.14
#15 Deportivo La Coruña 1.14
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.12
#17 Levante UD 1.04
#18 Getafe 0.92
#19 Valencia 0.91
#20 Málaga 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
9.13 vs 13 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Sevilla's underlying numbers sit close to the La Liga average. They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.31 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 10 goals are 3.06 above 6.94 xG, while 13 points are 3.87 above 9.13 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.84 xG from penalties
10 6.94 +3.06 scored 3.06 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
9 9.13 -0.13 conceded 0.13 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
13 9.13 +3.87 3.87 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Sevilla are 3.06 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
10
xG
6.94
Gap
+3.06
Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Fri 11/09 Wed 16/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.19 +1.55 +1.65 +2.12 +2.19 +2.46 +3.06 -0.19 +1.74 +0.10 +0.47 +0.07 +0.27 +0.60 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Sevilla: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 15/08 Rayo Vallecano 2 2.19 -0.19 -0.19
Sat 22/08 Athletic Club 3 1.26 +1.74 +1.55
Sat 29/08 Atlético Madrid 1 0.90 +0.10 +1.65
Sun 06/09 Espanyol 1 0.53 +0.47 +2.12
Fri 11/09 Valencia 1 0.93 +0.07 +2.19
Wed 16/09 Deportivo La Coruña 1 0.73 +0.27 +2.46
Sat 19/09 Barcelona 1 0.40 +0.60 +3.06

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Sevilla xG trend

Current form -0.43 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against Barcelona on Sat 19/09 (-2.82).

npxG · last 6
0.73
npxGA · last 6
1.16
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.28 Sat 15/08 -0.84 Sat 22/08 +0.02 Sat 29/08 -0.75 Sun 06/09 +1.13 Fri 11/09 +0.71 Wed 16/09 -2.82 Sat 19/09 -0.55 season avg
Sevilla: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 15/08 Rayo Vallecano 0.72 2.00 -1.28 -1.28
Sat 22/08 Athletic Club 0.41 1.25 -0.84 -1.06
Sat 29/08 Atlético Madrid 0.95 0.93 +0.02 -0.70
Sun 06/09 Espanyol 0.47 1.22 -0.75 -0.71
Fri 11/09 Valencia 1.21 0.08 +1.13 -0.34
Wed 16/09 Deportivo La Coruña 0.89 0.18 +0.71 -0.17
Sat 19/09 Barcelona 0.45 3.27 -2.82 -0.55

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.73 npxG and 1.28 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.17 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 3 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.15 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.17 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 1 hardest of 20

  1. Barcelona Home +1.00
  2. Deportivo La Coruña Away −0.24
  3. Valencia Home −0.22
  4. Espanyol Away −0.11
  5. Atlético Madrid Home +0.34
  6. Athletic Club Away +0.40
  7. Rayo Vallecano Home +0.06

Last 5

+0.15 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 20

  1. Barcelona Home +1.00
  2. Deportivo La Coruña Away −0.24
  3. Valencia Home −0.22
  4. Espanyol Away −0.11
  5. Atlético Madrid Home +0.34

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Sevilla shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Sevilla take 11.0 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.07 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #13 in La Liga for volume and #18 for quality. 57% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 37% of their npxG (league 20%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.0 shots per match
#13/20
Shot volume (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 21.4
#2 Real Madrid 18.9
#3 Real Betis 17.4
#4 Atlético Madrid 16.9
#5 Villarreal 16.0
#6 Athletic Club 15.7
#7 Espanyol 13.6
=8 Rayo Vallecano 13.4
=8 Real Sociedad 13.4
#10 Deportivo Alavés 12.4
#11 Getafe 11.7
#12 Elche 11.3
#13 Sevilla 11.0
#14 Levante UD 10.7
#15 Valencia 10.6
=16 Celta Vigo 10.3
=16 Racing de Santander 10.3
#18 Deportivo La Coruña 10.1
#19 Málaga 10.0
#20 Osasuna 9.4
League avg
13.2
Total
77 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.07 npxG per shot
#18/20
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Barcelona 0.16
#2 Levante UD 0.13
#3 Real Madrid 0.13
#4 Villarreal 0.13
#5 Deportivo Alavés 0.11
#6 Racing de Santander 0.10
#7 Elche 0.10
#8 Deportivo La Coruña 0.10
#9 Osasuna 0.10
#10 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#11 Athletic Club 0.09
#12 Espanyol 0.09
#13 Real Betis 0.09
#14 Atlético Madrid 0.09
#15 Valencia 0.08
#16 Celta Vigo 0.08
#17 Real Sociedad 0.08
#18 Sevilla 0.07
#19 Málaga 0.06
#20 Getafe 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
5.10 npxG from 77 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.3 shots per match
#4/20
Shots allowed (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 7.3
#2 Athletic Club 9.5
#3 Atlético Madrid 9.7
#4 Sevilla 11.3
#5 Espanyol 12.0
#6 Deportivo Alavés 12.1
#7 Celta Vigo 12.4
=8 Osasuna 12.7
=8 Real Madrid 12.7
=10 Deportivo La Coruña 12.9
=10 Villarreal 12.9
#12 Getafe 13.3
#13 Málaga 14.9
#14 Levante UD 15.2
=15 Elche 15.3
=15 Valencia 15.3
#17 Real Betis 15.7
#18 Real Sociedad 15.9
#19 Rayo Vallecano 16.6
#20 Racing de Santander 16.7
League avg
13.2
Total
79 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#15/20
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Deportivo Alavés 0.07
#2 Getafe 0.07
#3 Real Madrid 0.08
#4 Atlético Madrid 0.08
#5 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#6 Deportivo La Coruña 0.09
#7 Villarreal 0.09
#8 Celta Vigo 0.09
#9 Real Sociedad 0.10
#10 Málaga 0.10
#11 Athletic Club 0.10
#12 Valencia 0.10
#13 Racing de Santander 0.11
#14 Espanyol 0.11
#15 Sevilla 0.11
#16 Osasuna 0.11
#17 Real Betis 0.12
#18 Levante UD 0.12
#19 Elche 0.12
#20 Barcelona 0.15
League avg
0.10
Total
8.93 npxGA from 79 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

57% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 44 of 77 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

58% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 46 of 79 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

63% open play · 37% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 1.8 of 5.0 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 2.4 of 8.9 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Sevilla home and away xG

Sevilla per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.11 0.84
xGA / match 1.60 0.91
xGD / match -0.49 -0.07
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.29 1.32

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Sevilla match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
0.99
xGA / match
1.30
xGD / match
-0.31
Points
13 of 21
  1. Sat 19/09 Barcelona H Weakest underlying xG 0.40 xGA 3.47 xGD -3.07
  2. Wed 16/09 Deportivo La Coruña A xG 0.73 xGA 0.14 xGD +0.59
  3. Fri 11/09 Valencia H Best underlying xG 0.93 xGA 0.10 xGD +0.83
  4. Sun 06/09 Espanyol A xG 0.53 xGA 1.23 xGD -0.70
  5. Sat 29/08 Atlético Madrid H xG 0.90 xGA 0.93 xGD -0.03
  6. Sat 22/08 Athletic Club A xG 1.26 P xGA 1.37 xGD -0.11
  7. Sat 15/08 Rayo Vallecano H xG 2.19 P xGA 1.89 xGD +0.30

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.47. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Sevilla in La Liga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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