xgEdge

Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 16:00

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Aston Villa 1:1 Leeds United

Aston Villa Home 1.39 xG · 16 shots
Leeds United Away 1.35 xG · 14 shots
11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 31' Anton Stach Leeds United · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
  2. 88' Tammy Abraham Aston Villa · 0.26 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Aston Villa Leeds United
Shots
16
14
On target
4
4
Inside the box
6
8
xG per shot
0.09
0.09
Open play xG
0.58
0.86
Set-piece xG
0.85
0.40
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.39 for Aston Villa and 1.25 for Leeds United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Leeds United · Lukas Nmecha · 74' · No goal · 9 m · 0.43 xG Aston Villa · Amadou Onana · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.30 xG Aston Villa · Tammy Abraham · 88' · Goal · 5 m · 0.26 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 14' · No goal · 12 m · 0.22 xG Leeds United · Joe Rodon · 85' · No goal · 6 m · 0.20 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 44' · No goal · 17 m · 0.16 xG Aston Villa · Ezri Konsa · 88' · No goal · 5 m · 0.15 xG Aston Villa · Tyrone Mings · 66' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 76' · No goal · 10 m · 0.09 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 41' · No goal · 7 m · 0.08 xG Aston Villa · Ross Barkley · 77' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 46' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Leeds United · Dominic Calvert-Lewin · 75' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Leeds United · Gabriel Gudmundsson · 30' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 68' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Leeds United · Joe Rodon · 9' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 21' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 31' · Goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Ilia Gruev · 33' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Aston Villa · Leon Bailey · 43' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Leeds United · Ilia Gruev · 75' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 80' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 20' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Leeds United · Gabriel Gudmundsson · 9' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 63' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Ross Barkley · 69' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 70' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Leeds United · Anton Stach · 28' · No goal · 24 m · 0.01 xG Aston Villa · Matty Cash · 83' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Leeds United · Jayden Bogle · 57' · No goal · 30 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

30 shots · 2.69 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Aston Villa
  • Leeds United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Aston Villa

1.23 xG created 1.28 xGA

  • D 1.74 created, 1.50 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • L 1.36 created, 0.56 conceded against Everton
  • W 1.16 created, 2.30 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 1.98 created, 0.53 conceded against Brentford
  • D 0.44 created, 2.31 conceded against Bournemouth
  • W 0.72 created, 0.50 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
Leeds United

1.47 xG created 1.73 xGA

  • L 2.05 created, 2.72 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 1.43 created, 0.39 conceded against Fulham
  • D 1.23 created, 0.60 conceded against Everton
  • L 0.15 created, 2.39 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 2.50 created, 1.13 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 1.44 created, 3.13 conceded against Chelsea

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Aston Villa: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.