Expected goals
FK Krasnodar expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Russian Premier League · after 2 matches · updated 1 Oct
FK Krasnodar's attacking and defensive expected goals in Russian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
FK Krasnodar xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓- League avg
- 1.81
- Total
- 3.78 2 matches
- League avg
- 1.81
- Total
- 2.23 2 matches
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +1.55 2 matches
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 3.74 vs 21 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 2 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
Expected goals here are summed over 2 of 9 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.
What the xG says
FK Krasnodar have created more than they have allowed so far, at +0.78 xG difference per match. After only 2 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
FK Krasnodar are 0.78 goals below their xG after 2 matches.
- Goals
- 3
- xG
- 3.78
- Gap
- -0.78
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26/07 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2.49 | +0.51 | +0.51 |
| Thu 17/09 | Orenburg | 0 | 1.29 | -1.29 | -0.78 |
The trend appears after 3 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 16 hardest of 16 in Russian Premier League
- −0.14 xG vs league average
- 8 of 9 league matches against a rated opponent
- Last 5
- number 10 hardest of 11 in Russian Premier League
- −0.23 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.14 xG vs league average · 8 of 9 rated · number 16 hardest of 16
- Orenburg Away +0.04
- Akron Togliatti Home −0.53
- Krylya Sovetov Samara Away −0.46
- FC Rostov Home −0.06
- Dinamo Makhachkala Away −0.16
- Akhmat Grozny Home −0.10
- FC Spartak Moscow Away +0.47
- Fakel Voronezh Home not yet rated
- Rubin Kazan Away −0.31
Last 5
−0.23 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 11
- Orenburg Away +0.04
- Akron Togliatti Home −0.53
- Krylya Sovetov Samara Away −0.46
- FC Rostov Home −0.06
- Dinamo Makhachkala Away −0.16
FK Krasnodar shots and chance quality
Attack
- League avg
- 16.1
- Total
- 35 shots from 2 matches
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 3.78 npxG from 35 shots
Defence
- League avg
- 16.1
- Total
- 21 shots allowed from 2 matches
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 2.23 npxGA from 21 shots
FK Krasnodar home and away xG
| Measure | Home no matches with xG | Away only 2 matches with xG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 0 with xG | 5 2 with xG |
| xG / match | — | 1.89 |
| xGA / match | — | 1.12 |
| xGD / match | — | +0.77 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | — | 1.87 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every FK Krasnodar match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 9 2 with xG
- xG / match
- 1.89
- xGA / match
- 1.12
- xGD / match
- +0.78
- Points
- 21 of 27
- Thu 17/09 Orenburg A xG 1.29 xGA 1.44 xGD -0.15 xPts 1.23
- Sun 13/09 Akron Togliatti H
- Sat 05/09 Krylya Sovetov Samara A
- Sat 29/08 FC Rostov H
- Sun 23/08 Dinamo Makhachkala A
- Sat 15/08 Akhmat Grozny H
- Sun 09/08 FC Spartak Moscow A
- Sun 02/08 Fakel Voronezh H
- Sun 26/07 Rubin Kazan A xG 2.49 xGA 0.79 xGD +1.70 xPts 2.52
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
FK Krasnodar in Russian Premier League
Attack
Overall
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.