xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Midtjylland expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Superliga (Denmark) · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Midtjylland's attacking and defensive expected goals in Superliga (Denmark) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Midtjylland xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.44 xG per match
#7/12
Attack (xG per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 2.35
#2 Lyngby 1.85
#3 FC København 1.62
=4 AGF 1.60
=4 Viborg FF 1.60
#6 Odense Boldklub 1.55
#7 FC Midtjylland 1.44
#8 Brøndby IF 1.22
#9 Silkeborg IF 1.10
#10 AC Horsens 1.09
#11 Randers FC 1.06
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.01
League avg
1.46
Total
12.97 9 matches
Defence
1.11 xGA per match
#1/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Midtjylland 1.11
#2 FC København 1.16
#3 Viborg FF 1.17
#4 Lyngby 1.36
#5 FC Nordsjælland 1.43
#6 Silkeborg IF 1.47
#7 Brøndby IF 1.54
#8 AGF 1.56
#9 AC Horsens 1.57
#10 Randers FC 1.65
#11 Odense Boldklub 1.68
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 1.81
League avg
1.46
Total
9.97 9 matches
xG difference
+0.33 xGD per match
#5/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland +0.93
#2 Lyngby +0.48
#3 FC København +0.46
#4 Viborg FF +0.43
#5 FC Midtjylland +0.33
#6 AGF +0.04
#7 Odense Boldklub -0.13
#8 Brøndby IF -0.32
#9 Silkeborg IF -0.36
#10 AC Horsens -0.48
#11 Randers FC -0.59
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold -0.80
League avg
0.00
Total
+3.00 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.61 xPts per match
#4/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 1.90
#2 FC København 1.71
#3 Viborg FF 1.70
#4 FC Midtjylland 1.61
#5 Lyngby 1.61
#6 AGF 1.49
#7 Odense Boldklub 1.30
#8 Silkeborg IF 1.22
#9 Brøndby IF 1.18
#10 AC Horsens 1.05
#11 Randers FC 0.99
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.82
League avg
1.38
Total
14.51 vs 19 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FC Midtjylland's underlying numbers sit close to the Superliga (Denmark) average. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.33 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 17 goals are 4.03 above 12.97 xG, while 19 points are 4.49 above 14.51 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.56 xG from penalties
17 12.97 +4.03 scored 4.03 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
9 9.97 -0.97 conceded 0.97 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
19 14.51 +4.49 4.49 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Midtjylland are 4.03 goals above their xG after 9 matches.

Goals
17
xG
12.97
Gap
+4.03
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Mon 07/09 Mon 14/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +2.18 +2.21 +2.16 +1.88 +0.38 +0.67 +0.79 +3.63 +4.03 +2.18 +0.03 -0.05 -0.28 -1.50 +0.29 +0.12 +2.84 +0.40 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Midtjylland: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 Sønderjyske Fodbold 3 0.82 +2.18 +2.18
Sun 02/08 AC Horsens 2 1.97 +0.03 +2.21
Sun 16/08 Lyngby 1 1.05 -0.05 +2.16
Sun 23/08 Randers FC 1 1.28 -0.28 +1.88
Sun 30/08 Silkeborg IF 1 2.50 -1.50 +0.38
Wed 02/09 AGF 2 1.71 +0.29 +0.67
Mon 07/09 FC Nordsjælland 2 1.88 +0.12 +0.79
Mon 14/09 Brøndby IF 4 1.16 +2.84 +3.63
Sat 19/09 Odense Boldklub 1 0.60 +0.40 +4.03

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

FC Midtjylland xG trend

Current form +0.19 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 9 matches. The worst was against Odense Boldklub on Sat 19/09 (-1.15).

npxG · last 6
1.47
npxGA · last 6
1.28
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.57 Sun 26/07 +1.32 Sun 02/08 +0.70 Sun 16/08 +0.39 Sun 23/08 +1.39 Sun 30/08 +0.32 Wed 02/09 -0.37 Mon 07/09 +0.58 Mon 14/09 -1.15 Sat 19/09 +0.29 season avg
FC Midtjylland: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.73 1.30 -0.57 -0.57
Sun 02/08 AC Horsens 1.66 0.34 +1.32 +0.37
Sun 16/08 Lyngby 1.20 0.50 +0.70 +0.48
Sun 23/08 Randers FC 1.35 0.96 +0.39 +0.46
Sun 30/08 Silkeborg IF 2.50 1.11 +1.39 +0.65
Wed 02/09 AGF 1.40 1.08 +0.32 +0.59
Mon 07/09 FC Nordsjælland 1.54 1.91 -0.37 +0.45
Mon 14/09 Brøndby IF 1.43 0.85 +0.58 +0.47
Sat 19/09 Odense Boldklub 0.60 1.75 -1.15 +0.29

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.38 npxG and 1.09 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 11 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
−0.07 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 4 hardest of 12 in Superliga (Denmark)
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.07 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 11 hardest of 12

  1. Odense Boldklub Away −0.04
  2. Brøndby IF Home +0.05
  3. FC Nordsjælland Home +0.41
  4. AGF Away +0.25
  5. Silkeborg IF Away −0.30
  6. Randers FC Home −0.27
  7. Lyngby Away 0.00
  8. AC Horsens Home −0.22
  9. Sønderjyske Fodbold Away −0.51

Last 5

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 12

  1. Odense Boldklub Away −0.04
  2. Brøndby IF Home +0.05
  3. FC Nordsjælland Home +0.41
  4. AGF Away +0.25
  5. Silkeborg IF Away −0.30

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Midtjylland shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FC Midtjylland take 14.2 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #7 in Superliga (Denmark) for volume and #6 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 43% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.2 shots per match
#7/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Nordsjælland 17.6
#2 AGF 16.8
#3 Odense Boldklub 15.3
#4 Brøndby IF 15.2
#5 FC København 15.0
#6 Lyngby 14.8
#7 FC Midtjylland 14.2
#8 Viborg FF 13.6
#9 Sønderjyske Fodbold 11.6
#10 Silkeborg IF 11.4
#11 AC Horsens 11.2
#12 Randers FC 9.9
League avg
13.9
Total
128 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#6/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Nordsjælland 0.13
#2 Viborg FF 0.12
#3 Randers FC 0.10
#4 FC København 0.10
#5 Lyngby 0.10
#6 FC Midtjylland 0.10
#7 Odense Boldklub 0.09
#8 AC Horsens 0.08
#9 Silkeborg IF 0.08
#10 AGF 0.08
#11 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.08
#12 Brøndby IF 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
12.41 npxG from 128 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.9 shots per match
=4/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC København 11.9
#2 Silkeborg IF 12.4
#3 Brøndby IF 12.6
=4 FC Midtjylland 12.9
=4 Lyngby 12.9
#6 FC Nordsjælland 13.3
#7 Odense Boldklub 13.6
=8 AGF 13.7
=8 Viborg FF 13.7
#10 AC Horsens 15.0
#11 Randers FC 16.4
#12 Sønderjyske Fodbold 18.2
League avg
13.9
Total
116 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#2/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Superliga (Denmark), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viborg FF 0.08
#2 FC Midtjylland 0.08
#3 AGF 0.09
#4 FC Nordsjælland 0.09
#5 FC København 0.09
#6 Randers FC 0.09
#7 Lyngby 0.10
#8 Sønderjyske Fodbold 0.10
#9 AC Horsens 0.10
#10 Brøndby IF 0.11
#11 Odense Boldklub 0.11
#12 Silkeborg IF 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
9.80 npxGA from 116 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 84 of 128 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

64% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 74 of 116 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

57% open play · 43% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 5.3 of 12.4 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

81% open play · 19% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.8 of 9.7 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Midtjylland home and away xG

FC Midtjylland per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.57 1.34
xGA / match 1.09 1.13
xGD / match +0.49 +0.21
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.75 1.50

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Midtjylland match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.44
xGA / match
1.11
xGD / match
+0.33
Points
19 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 Odense Boldklub A Weakest underlying xG 0.60 xGA 1.73 xGD -1.13
  2. Mon 14/09 Brøndby IF H xG 1.16 xGA 0.80 xGD +0.36
  3. Mon 07/09 FC Nordsjælland H xG 1.88 xGA 2.10 xGD -0.22
  4. Wed 02/09 AGF A xG 1.71 xGA 1.21 xGD +0.50
  5. Sun 30/08 Silkeborg IF A xG 2.50 xGA 1.11 xGD +1.39
  6. Sun 23/08 Randers FC H xG 1.28 xGA 1.03 xGD +0.25
  7. Sun 16/08 Lyngby A xG 1.05 xGA 0.49 xGD +0.56
  8. Sun 02/08 AC Horsens H Best underlying xG 1.97 xGA 0.41 xGD +1.56
  9. Sun 26/07 Sønderjyske Fodbold A xG 0.82 xGA 1.09 xGD -0.27

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Midtjylland in Superliga (Denmark)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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