Expected goals
FK Radnički 1923 expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
SuperLiga (Serbia) · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct
FK Radnički 1923's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Serbia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
FK Radnički 1923 xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FK Crvena zvezda | 2.78 |
| #2 | FK Vojvodina | 2.77 |
| #3 | FK Partizan | 2.36 |
| #4 | FK Radnički 1923 | 2.14 |
| #5 | FK Železničar Pančevo | 2.13 |
| #6 | FK Novi Pazar | 2.00 |
| #7 | FK IMT Beograd | 1.85 |
| #8 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 1.62 |
| #9 | FK Čukarički | 1.50 |
| #10 | FK Radnički Niš | 1.48 |
| #11 | OFK Beograd | 1.29 |
| #12 | FK Mladost Lučani | 1.08 |
| #13 | FK Mačva Šabac | 0.80 |
| #14 | FK Zemun | 0.73 |
- League avg
- 1.76
- Total
- 19.29 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FK Crvena zvezda | 0.98 |
| #2 | FK IMT Beograd | 1.13 |
| #3 | FK Železničar Pančevo | 1.26 |
| #4 | FK Radnički 1923 | 1.35 |
| #5 | FK Radnički Niš | 1.42 |
| #6 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 1.46 |
| #7 | FK Vojvodina | 1.49 |
| #8 | FK Partizan | 1.55 |
| #9 | FK Čukarički | 1.67 |
| #10 | FK Novi Pazar | 2.04 |
| #11 | OFK Beograd | 2.09 |
| #12 | FK Mladost Lučani | 2.11 |
| #13 | FK Mačva Šabac | 2.46 |
| #14 | FK Zemun | 3.60 |
- League avg
- 1.76
- Total
- 12.19 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FK Crvena zvezda | +1.80 |
| #2 | FK Vojvodina | +1.28 |
| #3 | FK Železničar Pančevo | +0.87 |
| #4 | FK Partizan | +0.81 |
| #5 | FK Radnički 1923 | +0.79 |
| #6 | FK IMT Beograd | +0.72 |
| #7 | FK Radnik Surdulica | +0.16 |
| #8 | FK Radnički Niš | +0.06 |
| #9 | FK Novi Pazar | -0.04 |
| #10 | FK Čukarički | -0.16 |
| #11 | OFK Beograd | -0.80 |
| #12 | FK Mladost Lučani | -1.03 |
| #13 | FK Mačva Šabac | -1.66 |
| #14 | FK Zemun | -2.86 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +7.10 9 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FK Crvena zvezda | 2.36 |
| #2 | FK Vojvodina | 1.93 |
| #3 | FK Radnički 1923 | 1.92 |
| #4 | FK Partizan | 1.81 |
| #5 | FK Železničar Pančevo | 1.78 |
| #6 | FK IMT Beograd | 1.67 |
| #7 | FK Radnički Niš | 1.51 |
| #8 | FK Novi Pazar | 1.44 |
| #9 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 1.39 |
| #10 | FK Čukarički | 1.32 |
| #11 | OFK Beograd | 0.86 |
| #12 | FK Mladost Lučani | 0.69 |
| #13 | FK Mačva Šabac | 0.68 |
| #14 | FK Zemun | 0.17 |
- League avg
- 1.41
- Total
- 17.27 vs 17 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
FK Radnički 1923's underlying numbers are among the best in SuperLiga (Serbia). They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.79 per match, driven by high shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 17 goals are 2.29 below 19.29 xG, while 17 points are 0.27 below 17.27 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
FK Radnički 1923 are 2.29 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -7.62, against FK Mačva Šabac on Sat 05/09.
- Goals
- 17
- xG
- 19.29
- Gap
- -2.29
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 18/07 | FK Novi Pazar | 0 | 1.88 | -1.88 | -1.88 |
| Sat 01/08 | FK Čukarički | 0 | 1.94 | -1.94 | -3.82 |
| Sat 08/08 | FK Zemun | 3 | 4.05 | -1.05 | -4.87 |
| Sun 16/08 | FK Partizan | 1 | 0.74 | +0.26 | -4.61 |
| Sat 22/08 | FK IMT Beograd | 2 | 2.23 | -0.23 | -4.84 |
| Sat 29/08 | FK Radnički Niš | 1 | 0.76 | +0.24 | -4.60 |
| Sat 05/09 | FK Mačva Šabac | 0 | 3.02 | -3.02 | -7.62 |
| Sat 12/09 | FK Mladost Lučani | 5 | 2.49 | +2.51 | -5.11 |
| Sat 19/09 | OFK Beograd | 5 | 2.18 | +2.82 | -2.29 |
Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →
FK Radnički 1923 xG trend
Current form +0.62 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 7 of 9 matches. The worst was against FK Partizan on Sun 16/08 (-3.38).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.90
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.29
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 18/07 | FK Novi Pazar | 1.88 | 1.05 | +0.83 | +0.83 |
| Sat 01/08 | FK Čukarički | 1.94 | 2.37 | -0.43 | +0.20 |
| Sat 08/08 | FK Zemun | 4.05 | 1.06 | +2.99 | +1.13 |
| Sun 16/08 | FK Partizan | 0.74 | 4.12 | -3.38 | +0.00 |
| Sat 22/08 | FK IMT Beograd | 2.23 | 0.30 | +1.93 | +0.39 |
| Sat 29/08 | FK Radnički Niš | 0.76 | 0.63 | +0.13 | +0.34 |
| Sat 05/09 | FK Mačva Šabac | 3.02 | 0.22 | +2.80 | +0.70 |
| Sat 12/09 | FK Mladost Lučani | 2.49 | 0.49 | +2.00 | +0.86 |
| Sat 19/09 | OFK Beograd | 2.18 | 1.95 | +0.23 | +0.79 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.14 npxG and 1.35 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 14 hardest of 14 in SuperLiga (Serbia)
- −0.22 xG vs league average
- Over 9 league matches
- Last 5
- number 13 hardest of 14 in SuperLiga (Serbia)
- −0.23 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.22 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 14 hardest of 14
- OFK Beograd Away −0.10
- FK Mladost Lučani Home −0.72
- FK Mačva Šabac Away −0.77
- FK Radnički Niš Away −0.02
- FK IMT Beograd Home +0.44
- FK Partizan Away +0.59
- FK Zemun Home −1.19
- FK Čukarički Away −0.12
- FK Novi Pazar Away −0.09
Last 5
−0.23 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 13 hardest of 14
- OFK Beograd Away −0.10
- FK Mladost Lučani Home −0.72
- FK Mačva Šabac Away −0.77
- FK Radnički Niš Away −0.02
- FK IMT Beograd Home +0.44
FK Radnički 1923 shots and chance quality
High volume, average quality. FK Radnički 1923 take 16.2 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #6 in SuperLiga (Serbia) for volume and #4 for quality. 59% of their shots come from inside the box (league 59%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FK Partizan | 20.0 |
| #2 | FK Crvena zvezda | 19.3 |
| #3 | FK Železničar Pančevo | 18.8 |
| #4 | FK Vojvodina | 17.3 |
| #5 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 16.3 |
| #6 | FK Radnički 1923 | 16.2 |
| =7 | FK IMT Beograd | 14.0 |
| =7 | FK Novi Pazar | 14.0 |
| #9 | FK Radnički Niš | 13.7 |
| #10 | FK Čukarički | 12.0 |
| #11 | OFK Beograd | 11.3 |
| #12 | FK Mladost Lučani | 9.0 |
| #13 | FK Mačva Šabac | 8.6 |
| #14 | FK Zemun | 8.3 |
- League avg
- 14.2
- Total
- 146 shots from 9 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FK Vojvodina | 0.16 |
| #2 | FK Crvena zvezda | 0.14 |
| #3 | FK Novi Pazar | 0.14 |
| #4 | FK Radnički 1923 | 0.13 |
| #5 | FK IMT Beograd | 0.13 |
| #6 | FK Čukarički | 0.12 |
| #7 | FK Mladost Lučani | 0.12 |
| #8 | FK Partizan | 0.12 |
| #9 | OFK Beograd | 0.11 |
| #10 | FK Železničar Pančevo | 0.11 |
| #11 | FK Radnički Niš | 0.11 |
| #12 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 0.10 |
| #13 | FK Mačva Šabac | 0.09 |
| #14 | FK Zemun | 0.09 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 19.29 npxG from 146 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FK Crvena zvezda | 8.9 |
| #2 | FK IMT Beograd | 9.7 |
| #3 | FK Železničar Pančevo | 9.8 |
| #4 | FK Vojvodina | 11.6 |
| #5 | FK Partizan | 11.9 |
| #6 | FK Radnički 1923 | 11.9 |
| #7 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 12.9 |
| #8 | OFK Beograd | 13.9 |
| #9 | FK Radnički Niš | 13.9 |
| #10 | FK Novi Pazar | 15.3 |
| #11 | FK Čukarički | 15.7 |
| #12 | FK Mačva Šabac | 19.1 |
| #13 | FK Mladost Lučani | 19.4 |
| #14 | FK Zemun | 24.4 |
- League avg
- 14.2
- Total
- 107 shots allowed from 9 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FK Radnički Niš | 0.10 |
| #2 | FK Čukarički | 0.11 |
| #3 | FK Mladost Lučani | 0.11 |
| #4 | FK Radnik Surdulica | 0.11 |
| #5 | FK Crvena zvezda | 0.11 |
| #6 | FK Radnički 1923 | 0.11 |
| #7 | FK IMT Beograd | 0.12 |
| #8 | FK Mačva Šabac | 0.13 |
| #9 | FK Železničar Pančevo | 0.13 |
| #10 | FK Vojvodina | 0.13 |
| #11 | FK Novi Pazar | 0.13 |
| #12 | FK Partizan | 0.13 |
| #13 | FK Zemun | 0.15 |
| #14 | OFK Beograd | 0.15 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 12.19 npxGA from 107 shots
Shot profile
59% inside the box
League avg 59%
From 86 of 146 shots over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
59% allowed inside the box
League avg 59%
From 63 of 107 shots allowed over 9 matches
Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.
FK Radnički 1923 home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| xG / match | 2.92 | 1.75 |
| xGA / match | 0.62 | 1.72 |
| xGD / match | +2.31 | +0.03 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 2.74 | 1.51 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every FK Radnički 1923 match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 9
- xG / match
- 2.14
- xGA / match
- 1.35
- xGD / match
- +0.79
- Points
- 17 of 27
- Sat 19/09 OFK Beograd A xG 2.18 xGA 1.95 xGD +0.23 xPts 1.54
- Sat 12/09 FK Mladost Lučani H xG 2.49 xGA 0.49 xGD +2.00 xPts 2.69
- Sat 05/09 FK Mačva Šabac A xG 3.02 xGA 0.22 xGD +2.80 xPts 2.89
- Sat 29/08 FK Radnički Niš A xG 0.76 xGA 0.63 xGD +0.13 xPts 1.45
- Sat 22/08 FK IMT Beograd H xG 2.23 xGA 0.30 xGD +1.93 xPts 2.71
- Sun 16/08 FK Partizan A Against the chances xG 0.74 xGA 4.12 xGD -3.38 xPts 0.07
- Sat 08/08 FK Zemun H Best underlying xG 4.05 xGA 1.06 xGD +2.99 xPts 2.81
- Sat 01/08 FK Čukarički A xG 1.94 xGA 2.37 xGD -0.43 xPts 1.10
- Sat 18/07 FK Novi Pazar A xG 1.88 xGA 1.05 xGD +0.83 xPts 2.00
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.12. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
FK Radnički 1923 in SuperLiga (Serbia)
Attack
- xG / match #4 of 14
- Shots / match #6 of 14
- Chance quality #4 of 14
- Home xG #6 of 14
- Away xG #1 of 14
Defence
- xGA / match #4 of 14
- Shots allowed #6 of 14
- Chance quality allowed #6 of 14
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.