Saturday, 07/11/2026 at 17:00
32d 13h to kick-offFK Železničar Pančevo – FK Radnički 1923
Model updated 6 October, 03:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- FK Železničar Pančevo
- 42%
- Draw
- 29%
- FK Radnički 1923
- 29%
| FK Železničar Pančevo | Draw | FK Radnički 1923 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 2.38 | 3.41 | 3.49 |
- Total goals
- 2.82
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Both teams to score
- 63%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans FK Železničar Pančevo
42% FK Železničar Pančevo to win
- Attack
- 5th vs 4th
- FK Železničar Pančevo attack v FK Radnički 1923 defence
- Defence
- 3rd vs 4th
- FK Železničar Pančevo defence v FK Radnički 1923 attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.63 vs +0.62
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.55 – 1.27
- FK Železničar Pančevo v FK Radnički 1923
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | FK Železničar Pančevo | FK Radnički 1923 |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 2.13 · 5th | (better) 2.14 · 4th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.26 · 3rd | 1.35 · 4th |
| xGD / match | (better) +0.87 · 3rd | +0.79 · 5th |
| xPts / match | 1.78 · 5th | (better) 1.92 · 3rd |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +0.63 | +0.62 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 34% of the model's distribution.
- FK Železničar Pančevo clean sheet
- 25%
- FK Železničar Pančevo 2+ goals
- 47%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Both teams to score: no
- 37%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 14.6%
- 2:1
- 10.6%
- 1:2
- 8.5%
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FK Železničar Pančevo sample
- 20 matches
- FK Radnički 1923 sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · FK Železničar Pančevo
- 4 matches
- Away xG sample · FK Radnički 1923
- 6 matches
- Computed
- Tuesday, 06/10/2026 at 03:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.