Bolton Wanderers 1:2 Stoke City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 10/10/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Bolton Wanderers Home 3.13 xG · 30 shots

Stoke City Away 0.74 xG · 9 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

45' Lamine Cissé Stoke City · 0.02 xG chance 0–1
62' Ben Wilmot Stoke City · 0.17 xG chance 0–2
90' Theo Bair Bolton Wanderers · 0.09 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Bolton Wanderers Stoke City

Shots: 30; 9
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 23; 6
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.08
Open play xG: 2.36; 0.29
Set-piece xG: 0.61; 0.43
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.96 for Bolton Wanderers and 0.70 for Stoke City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

39 shots · 3.69 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Bolton Wanderers
Stoke City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bolton Wanderers

1.35 xG created 1.81 xGA

L 1.89 created, 1.32 conceded against Lincoln City
L 1.91 created, 2.21 conceded against Sheffield United
L 1.15 created, 2.63 conceded against Millwall
L 1.56 created, 2.22 conceded against West Ham United
W 0.48 created, 1.79 conceded against Cardiff City
W 1.10 created, 0.69 conceded against Norwich City

Stoke City

1.06 xG created 1.53 xGA

L 0.83 created, 2.66 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 0.22 created, 1.44 conceded against Norwich City
W 2.14 created, 0.61 conceded against Charlton Athletic
D 1.11 created, 3.60 conceded against Cardiff City
W 1.50 created, 0.39 conceded against Watford
W 0.54 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.