Southampton 4:1 Bristol City: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 12/09/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Southampton Home 1.71 xG · 10 shots

Bristol City Away 2.24 xG · 21 shots

41 The result went against the chances

Goals

38' Cyle Larin Southampton · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
61' Cyle Larin Southampton · 0.40 xG chance 2–0
66' Lorent Tolaj Bristol City · 0.28 xG chance 2–1
82' Kuryu Matsuki Southampton · 0.09 xG chance 3–1
85' Finn Azaz Southampton · 0.33 xG chance 4–1

The shots behind it

Southampton Bristol City

Shots: 10; 21
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 8; 18
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.32; 1.24
Set-piece xG: 0.06; 0.93
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.37 for Southampton and 2.17 for Bristol City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 3.55 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Southampton
Bristol City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Southampton

1.81 xG created 1.36 xGA

L 1.71 created, 0.81 conceded against Watford
W 2.32 created, 0.93 conceded against Stoke City
W 3.62 created, 1.35 conceded against Millwall
D 1.02 created, 1.55 conceded against Birmingham City
D 0.77 created, 2.27 conceded against Lincoln City
W 1.44 created, 1.22 conceded against Swansea City

Bristol City

1.23 xG created 1.66 xGA

W 1.98 created, 1.03 conceded against Stoke City
L 0.52 created, 3.40 conceded against Millwall
D 1.43 created, 1.98 conceded against Birmingham City
W 0.61 created, 1.37 conceded against Portsmouth
W 1.78 created, 1.91 conceded against Preston North End
W 1.06 created, 0.26 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Southampton: 0 won · 1 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.