Oxford United 2:2 Millwall: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Oxford United Home 0.63 xG · 14 shots

Millwall Away 2.42 xG · 11 shots

22 Millwall had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

11' Thierno Ballo Millwall · 0.32 xG chance 0–1
45' Cameron Brannagan Oxford United · 0.05 xG chance 1–1
66' Jake Cooper Millwall · 0.91 xG chance 1–2
90' Przemysław Płacheta Oxford United · 0.09 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Oxford United Millwall

Shots: 14; 11
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 4; 8
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.22
Open play xG: 0.39; 1.92
Set-piece xG: 0.33; 0.50
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.70 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 3.14 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Oxford United
Millwall
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Oxford United

1.03 xG created 1.02 xGA

L 1.14 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield United
D 0.37 created, 0.80 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
L 1.38 created, 2.65 conceded against Watford
W 2.17 created, 0.25 conceded against Derby County
L 0.15 created, 0.77 conceded against Wrexham
W 0.99 created, 1.16 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday

Millwall

1.27 xG created 1.41 xGA

D 0.88 created, 1.34 conceded against Swansea City
L 1.33 created, 3.60 conceded against Coventry City
W 0.77 created, 0.42 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
W 1.64 created, 1.87 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
W 1.48 created, 0.44 conceded against Stoke City
W 1.51 created, 0.76 conceded against Leicester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.