xgEdge

Wednesday, 22/10/2025 at 20:45

Full time
Match report · Championship

Wrexham 1:0 Oxford United

Wrexham Home 0.77 xG · 8 shots
Oxford United Away 0.15 xG · 2 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 14' Nathan Broadhead Wrexham · 0.07 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Wrexham Oxford United
Shots
8
2
On target
3
1
xG per shot
0.05
0.02
Open play xG
0.11
0.04
Set-piece xG
0.31
0.00
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.43 for Wrexham and 0.04 for Oxford United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Liberato Cacace · 9' · No goal · 12 m · 0.12 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 14' · Goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 14' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Wrexham · George Thomason · 25' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Wrexham · Callum Doyle · 45' · No goal · 7 m · 0.05 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 33' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Oxford United · Stanley Mills · 23' · No goal · 24 m · 0.03 xG Wrexham · Liberato Cacace · 1' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Oxford United · Will Vaulks · 59' · No goal · 28 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 9' · No goal · 8 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

10 shots · 0.46 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Wrexham
  • Oxford United
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Wrexham

1.24 xG created 1.24 xGA

  • L 2.02 created, 1.43 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.30 created, 2.34 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.89 created, 0.64 conceded against Derby County
  • D 0.91 created, 1.07 conceded against Leicester City
  • D 1.74 created, 1.36 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 0.59 created, 0.61 conceded against Stoke City
Oxford United

1.48 xG created 1.03 xGA

  • D 2.10 created, 0.84 conceded against Leicester City
  • W 1.72 created, 1.18 conceded against Bristol City
  • L 1.14 created, 0.48 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 0.37 created, 0.80 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • L 1.38 created, 2.65 conceded against Watford
  • W 2.17 created, 0.25 conceded against Derby County

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.