Tuesday, 17/03/2026 at 20:45
Full timeWatford 3:1 Wrexham
Goals
- 18' Marc Bola Watford · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
- 38' Edo Kayembe Watford · 0.10 xG chance 2–0
- 49' Max Cleworth Wrexham · 0.05 xG chance 2–1
- 90' Edoardo Bove Watford · 0.94 xG chance 3–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 13
- 8
- On target
- 6
- 1
- Inside the box
- 10
- 6
- xG per shot
- 0.16
- 0.04
- Open play xG
- 1.68
- 0.24
- Set-piece xG
- 0.38
- 0.11
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.07 for Watford and 0.35 for Wrexham.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
21 shots · 2.42 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Watford
- Wrexham
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.44 xG created 1.06 xGA
- D 0.91 created, 0.65 conceded against Preston North End
- W 1.29 created, 0.65 conceded against Derby County
- L 1.68 created, 1.12 conceded against Ipswich Town
- W 0.99 created, 0.89 conceded against Bristol City
- D 1.96 created, 1.54 conceded against Sheffield Wednesday
- L 1.83 created, 1.53 conceded against Stoke City
1.05 xG created 0.90 xGA
- D 1.07 created, 0.38 conceded against Bristol City
- W 2.09 created, 0.81 conceded against Ipswich Town
- W 0.54 created, 0.53 conceded against Portsmouth
- W 0.53 created, 1.34 conceded against Charlton Athletic
- L 1.14 created, 1.54 conceded against Hull City
- W 0.93 created, 0.80 conceded against Swansea City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.