xgEdge

Tuesday, 10/03/2026 at 20:45

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Match report · Championship

Sheffield Wednesday 1:1 Watford

Sheffield Wednesday Home 1.54 xG · 11 shots
Watford Away 1.96 xG · 19 shots
11 Watford had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 54' Jerry Yates Sheffield Wednesday · 0.44 xG chance 1–0
  2. 90' Vivaldo Watford · 0.33 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Sheffield Wednesday Watford
Shots
11
19
On target
4
5
Inside the box
10
12
xG per shot
0.14
0.10
Open play xG
1.40
1.98
Set-piece xG
0.12
0.01
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.54 for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.97 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Watford · Vivaldo · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.60 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jerry Yates · 54' · Goal · 5 m · 0.44 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 36' · No goal · 4 m · 0.40 xG Watford · Vivaldo · 90' · Goal · 8 m · 0.33 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jerry Yates · 56' · No goal · 12 m · 0.28 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jamal Lowe · 56' · No goal · 7 m · 0.24 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Charlie McNeill · 75' · No goal · 13 m · 0.20 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 10' · No goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jerry Yates · 28' · No goal · 9 m · 0.10 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jaden Heskey · 46' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Sean Fusire · 29' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG Watford · Stephen Mfuni · 68' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 17' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Watford · Edo Kayembe · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 68' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.05 xG Watford · Edo Kayembe · 7' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Liam Palmer · 59' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Giorgi Chakvetadze · 29' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jamal Lowe · 51' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Imrân Louza · 45' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Edoardo Bove · 67' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 78' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Pierre Ekwah · 90' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Jerry Yates · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Pierre Ekwah · 71' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 85' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Watford · Edo Kayembe · 31' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Sheffield Wednesday · Sean Fusire · 39' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG Watford · Marc Bola · 44' · No goal · 34 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

30 shots · 3.51 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Sheffield Wednesday
  • Watford
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Sheffield Wednesday

0.59 xG created 1.92 xGA

  • L 0.06 created, 1.87 conceded against Swansea City
  • L 0.92 created, 1.92 conceded against Millwall
  • L 0.16 created, 1.96 conceded against Sheffield United
  • L 0.49 created, 1.83 conceded against Norwich City
  • L 1.15 created, 1.84 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.74 created, 2.11 conceded against Derby County
Watford

1.08 xG created 0.74 xGA

  • D 0.93 created, 0.30 conceded against Hull City
  • L 0.68 created, 0.80 conceded against Southampton
  • D 0.91 created, 0.65 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 1.29 created, 0.65 conceded against Derby County
  • L 1.68 created, 1.12 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 0.99 created, 0.89 conceded against Bristol City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Sheffield Wednesday: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.