Preston North End 2:2 Watford: xG & match report · Championship

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Championship

Preston North End Home 0.65 xG · 8 shots

Watford Away 0.91 xG · 21 shots

22 Watford had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

19' Lewis Dobbin Preston North End · 0.17 xG chance 1–0
55' Othmane Maamma Watford · 0.13 xG chance 1–1
57' Odeluga Offiah (o.g.) Watford 1–2
70' Milutin Osmajić Preston North End · 0.12 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Preston North End Watford

Shots: 8; 21
On target: 3; 6
Inside the box: 6; 12
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.35; 0.53
Set-piece xG: 0.30; 0.38
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.91 for Watford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 1.55 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

Preston North End
Watford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Preston North End

0.84 xG created 1.69 xGA

W 1.08 created, 0.42 conceded against Bristol City
L 0.99 created, 1.76 conceded against Derby County
L 0.90 created, 1.67 conceded against Hull City
L 0.40 created, 2.83 conceded against Middlesbrough
D 1.06 created, 2.23 conceded against Ipswich Town
W 0.58 created, 1.23 conceded against Portsmouth

Watford

0.82 xG created 1.16 xGA

L 0.54 created, 1.57 conceded against Millwall
D 0.80 created, 0.62 conceded against Portsmouth
D 1.15 created, 0.89 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
L 0.84 created, 2.78 conceded against Swansea City
D 0.93 created, 0.30 conceded against Hull City
L 0.68 created, 0.80 conceded against Southampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Preston North End: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Watford 1:1 Preston North End 25/11/2025 xG 1.70 – 0.98

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.