xgEdge

Tuesday, 24/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time
Match report · Championship

Watford 0:2 Ipswich Town

Watford Home 1.68 xG · 11 shots
Ipswich Town Away 1.12 xG · 11 shots
02 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 37' Sindre Walle Egeli Ipswich Town · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
  2. 77' George Hirst Ipswich Town · 0.34 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Watford Ipswich Town
Shots
11
11
On target
2
3
Inside the box
5
5
xG per shot
0.16
0.10
Open play xG
0.89
0.90
Set-piece xG
0.00
0.24
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.90 for Watford and 1.13 for Ipswich Town.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Watford · Tom Ince · 84' · No goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Ipswich Town · George Hirst · 77' · Goal · 5 m · 0.34 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 90' · No goal · 7 m · 0.21 xG Watford · Luca Kjerrumgaard · 34' · No goal · 6 m · 0.19 xG Watford · Jeremy Petris · 33' · No goal · 14 m · 0.16 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 37' · No goal · 20 m · 0.14 xG Ipswich Town · George Hirst · 79' · No goal · 13 m · 0.13 xG Watford · Mamadou Doumbia · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.12 xG Ipswich Town · Sindre Walle Egeli · 37' · Goal · 11 m · 0.10 xG Ipswich Town · Ivan Azón · 70' · No goal · 18 m · 0.10 xG Ipswich Town · Ivan Azón · 23' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG Ipswich Town · George Hirst · 90' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG Ipswich Town · Marcelino Núñez · 60' · No goal · 23 m · 0.06 xG Ipswich Town · Jack Clarke · 77' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG Watford · Imrân Louza · 64' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Ipswich Town · Sindre Walle Egeli · 23' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Ipswich Town · Ivan Azón · 24' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Watford · Edoardo Bove · 76' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Mamadou Doumbia · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Watford · Pierre Ekwah · 90' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Watford · James Abankwah · 64' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Watford · Nestory Irankunda · 64' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG

All shots

22 shots · 2.85 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Watford
  • Ipswich Town
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Watford

0.97 xG created 1.01 xGA

  • D 1.15 created, 0.89 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 0.84 created, 2.78 conceded against Swansea City
  • D 0.93 created, 0.30 conceded against Hull City
  • L 0.68 created, 0.80 conceded against Southampton
  • D 0.91 created, 0.65 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 1.29 created, 0.65 conceded against Derby County
Ipswich Town

1.71 xG created 1.19 xGA

  • W 2.86 created, 0.66 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • W 1.08 created, 0.67 conceded against Bristol City
  • L 1.98 created, 1.63 conceded against Sheffield United
  • D 2.23 created, 1.06 conceded against Preston North End
  • W 1.27 created, 1.03 conceded against Derby County
  • L 0.81 created, 2.09 conceded against Wrexham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Watford: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.