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Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Championship

Stoke City 1:0 Wrexham

Stoke City Home 0.61 xG · 12 shots
Wrexham Away 0.59 xG · 5 shots
10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 36' Sorba Thomas Stoke City · 0.01 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Stoke City Wrexham
Shots
12
5
On target
3
3
Inside the box
8
4
xG per shot
0.05
0.13
Open play xG
0.57
0.57
Set-piece xG
0.03
0.10
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.61 for Stoke City and 0.67 for Wrexham.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Ryan Longman · 21' · No goal · 5 m · 0.46 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 90' · No goal · 11 m · 0.12 xG Stoke City · Million Manhoef · 67' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 14' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 50' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 72' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Wrexham · Issa Kaboré · 21' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Wrexham · Sam Smith · 86' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 50' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Stoke City · Divin Mubama · 55' · No goal · 7 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Lamine Cissé · 90' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Lewis Baker · 70' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Tatsuki Seko · 51' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Stoke City · Tatsuki Seko · 7' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Junior Tchamadeu · 58' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Kieffer Moore · 49' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Stoke City · Sorba Thomas · 36' · Goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

17 shots · 1.27 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Stoke City
  • Wrexham
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Stoke City

1.07 xG created 1.05 xGA

  • L 0.95 created, 0.66 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
  • W 0.49 created, 0.52 conceded against Birmingham City
  • L 1.09 created, 1.33 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • D 1.85 created, 1.32 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 1.20 created, 0.61 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 0.81 created, 1.88 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
Wrexham

1.24 xG created 1.43 xGA

  • W 0.55 created, 1.76 conceded against Millwall
  • L 2.02 created, 1.43 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
  • W 1.30 created, 2.34 conceded against Norwich City
  • D 0.89 created, 0.64 conceded against Derby County
  • D 0.91 created, 1.07 conceded against Leicester City
  • D 1.74 created, 1.36 conceded against Birmingham City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.