FC Hradec Králové's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.
Results
- Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
- 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss
10 pts 6–5 goals +1 GD
Chances
- Provider xG / xGA
- 5.56 – 2.50
- 1.39 – 0.63 per match
- xGD
- +3.06
- +0.77 per match
- xG record
- 3 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 0 against them
Small sample: 4 matches.
Comparable xG: 4 of 5 completed results.
1 result has missing xG.
Points vs xPts Model
10 pts 8.0 xPts
+2.0 vs xPts
Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.
Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.
What the results say
Season · All competitions · Home
FC Hradec Králové's winning record is broadly supported by the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 4 matches, for +3.06 xG difference overall on 5.56–2.50, counting the 4 of 5 selected results that carry xG. Their points total of 10 sits 2.0 above the model's 8.0 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances, on the 4 of 5 results carrying xPts.
Points minus xPts, match by match
Over these 4 results FC Hradec Králové are 1.97 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +3.05, against AC Sparta Praha on Sun 06/09.
- Points
- 10
- xPts
- 8.03
- Gap
- +1.97
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Points | xPts | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 26/07 | FK Pardubice | 3 | 2.15 | +0.85 | +0.85 |
| Sun 09/08 | Baník Ostrava | 3 | 2.48 | +0.52 | +1.37 |
| Sun 06/09 | AC Sparta Praha | 3 | 1.32 | +1.68 | +3.05 |
| Wed 09/09 | Viktoria Plzeň | 1 | 2.08 | -1.08 | +1.97 |
1 selected result has no model figure and is not plotted.
Scores and xG
FC Hradec Králové first
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Match analysis →
Why this label · Viktoria Plzeň, Wed 09/09
The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 1
- Post-match model xPts
- 2.08
- Points minus xPts
- -1.08
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · AC Sparta Praha, Sun 06/09
The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 3
- Post-match model xPts
- 1.32
- Points minus xPts
- +1.68
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · Baník Ostrava, Sun 09/08
The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 3
- Post-match model xPts
- 2.48
- Points minus xPts
- +0.52
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated → -
Match analysis →
Why this label · FK Pardubice, Sun 26/07
The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
- Points
- 3
- Post-match model xPts
- 2.15
- Points minus xPts
- +0.85
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
Reading these results
xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.
xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.
How each figure on this page is read
Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.
An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.
Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.
Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.
1 non-result notice
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Not played / no final result
Viktoria Plzeň