xgEdge

Atromitos Athens's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 5 matching results

5 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses

2 pts 4–7 goals −3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
4.53 – 7.65
0.91 – 1.53 per match
xGD
-3.12
-0.62 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 3 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

2 pts 5.1 xPts

−3.1 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · Super League Greece · All venues

Atromitos Athens's winless run follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches, for −3.12 xG difference overall on 4.53–7.65. Their points total of 2 sits 3.1 below the model's 5.1 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results Atromitos Athens are 3.12 points below their xPts.

Points
2
xPts
5.12
Gap
-3.12
Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.07 -1.21 -1.12 -2.16 -3.12 -0.07 -1.14 +0.09 -1.04 -0.96 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Atromitos Athens: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 22/08 Olympiacos FC 0 0.07 -0.07 -0.07
Sun 30/08 PAOK 0 1.14 -1.14 -1.21
Sun 06/09 PS Kalamata 1 0.91 +0.09 -1.12
Sat 12/09 Iraklis 1908 1 2.04 -1.04 -2.16
Sat 19/09 AE Kifisia 0 0.96 -0.96 -3.12

Scores and xG

Atromitos Athens first

  • Home Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.19

    xGA 1.72

    xGD -0.53

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · AE Kifisia, Sat 19/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.95
    Points minus xPts
    -0.95

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Super League Greece Draw against the chances

    xG 1.47

    xGA 0.69

    xGD +0.78

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Iraklis 1908, Sat 12/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.04
    Points minus xPts
    -1.04

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Super League Greece Draw with even chances

    xG 0.24

    xGA 0.46

    xGD -0.22

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · PS Kalamata, Sun 06/09

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.91
    Points minus xPts
    +0.09

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.33

    xGA 1.61

    xGD -0.28

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · PAOK, Sun 30/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.15
    Points minus xPts
    -1.15

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.30

    xGA 3.17

    xGD -2.87

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Olympiacos FC, Sat 22/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.07
    Points minus xPts
    -0.07

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Olympiacos FC 0:1

· Away xG / xGA 0.30 – 3.17

Goal difference
-1
xGD
-2.87
GD minus xGD
+1.87

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice

How the model works →