xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Luzern expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Swiss Super League · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Luzern's attacking and defensive expected goals in Swiss Super League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Luzern xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.95 xG per match
#4/12
Attack (xG per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Sion 2.31
#2 Young Boys 2.28
#3 Grasshopper Club Zürich 2.01
#4 FC Luzern 1.95
#5 FC St. Gallen 1879 1.95
#6 FC Lugano 1.70
#7 FC Vaduz 1.66
#8 FC Thun 1.53
#9 Servette FC 1.41
#10 FC Zürich 1.38
#11 Basel 1.22
#12 FC Lausanne-Sport 0.85
League avg
1.69
Total
17.54 9 matches
Defence
2.02 xGA per match
#10/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Lugano 1.26
#2 FC Lausanne-Sport 1.37
#3 Basel 1.39
#4 Young Boys 1.41
#5 FC St. Gallen 1879 1.43
#6 FC Sion 1.48
#7 Servette FC 1.53
#8 FC Zürich 1.93
#9 FC Vaduz 2.00
#10 FC Luzern 2.02
#11 Grasshopper Club Zürich 2.18
#12 FC Thun 2.23
League avg
1.69
Total
18.22 9 matches
xG difference
-0.08 xGD per match
#5/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Young Boys +0.87
#2 FC Sion +0.82
#3 FC St. Gallen 1879 +0.51
#4 FC Lugano +0.44
#5 FC Luzern -0.08
#6 Servette FC -0.12
#7 Basel -0.17
#8 Grasshopper Club Zürich -0.18
#9 FC Vaduz -0.34
#10 FC Lausanne-Sport -0.52
#11 FC Zürich -0.55
#12 FC Thun -0.70
League avg
0.00
Total
-0.68 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.36 xPts per match
#5/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Young Boys 1.90
#2 FC Sion 1.90
#3 FC St. Gallen 1879 1.71
#4 FC Lugano 1.71
#5 FC Luzern 1.36
#6 Servette FC 1.30
#7 Grasshopper Club Zürich 1.29
#8 Basel 1.26
#9 FC Vaduz 1.18
#10 FC Zürich 1.12
#11 FC Thun 1.00
#12 FC Lausanne-Sport 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
12.22 vs 12 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FC Luzern's underlying numbers sit close to the Swiss Super League average. They rank #5 for xG difference at -0.08 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 17 goals are 0.54 below 17.54 xG, while 12 points are 0.22 below 12.22 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.98 xG from penalties
17 17.54 -0.54 scored 0.54 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
18 18.22 -0.22 conceded 0.22 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
12 12.22 -0.22 0.22 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Luzern are 0.54 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -2.18, against FC Vaduz on Wed 02/09.

Goals
17
xG
17.54
Gap
-0.54
Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.53 -2.04 -1.55 -1.53 -1.76 -2.18 -1.37 -0.99 -0.54 -1.53 -0.51 +0.49 +0.02 -0.23 -0.42 +0.81 +0.38 +0.45 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Luzern: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 FC Thun 1 2.53 -1.53 -1.53
Sun 02/08 FC Sion 0 0.51 -0.51 -2.04
Sun 09/08 FC St. Gallen 1879 2 1.51 +0.49 -1.55
Sat 22/08 FC Lausanne-Sport 1 0.98 +0.02 -1.53
Sat 29/08 Servette FC 1 1.23 -0.23 -1.76
Wed 02/09 FC Vaduz 2 2.42 -0.42 -2.18
Sat 05/09 Young Boys 3 2.19 +0.81 -1.37
Sun 13/09 Basel 2 1.62 +0.38 -0.99
Sat 19/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich 5 4.55 +0.45 -0.54

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Luzern xG trend

Current form +0.36 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 9 matches. The worst was against FC Sion on Sun 02/08 (-2.32).

npxG · last 6
2.03
npxGA · last 6
1.67
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.64 Sat 25/07 -2.32 Sun 02/08 -1.15 Sun 09/08 +0.93 Sat 22/08 -0.26 Sat 29/08 +1.37 Wed 02/09 -1.85 Sat 05/09 -0.32 Sun 13/09 +2.29 Sat 19/09 -0.07 season avg
FC Luzern: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 FC Thun 2.53 1.89 +0.64 +0.64
Sun 02/08 FC Sion 0.51 2.83 -2.32 -0.84
Sun 09/08 FC St. Gallen 1879 1.37 2.52 -1.15 -0.94
Sat 22/08 FC Lausanne-Sport 1.36 0.43 +0.93 -0.47
Sat 29/08 Servette FC 1.23 1.49 -0.26 -0.43
Wed 02/09 FC Vaduz 2.47 1.10 +1.37 -0.13
Sat 05/09 Young Boys 1.40 3.25 -1.85 -0.38
Sun 13/09 Basel 1.61 1.93 -0.32 -0.37
Sat 19/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich 4.08 1.79 +2.29 -0.07

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.84 npxG and 1.91 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 6 hardest of 12 in Swiss Super League
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 9 hardest of 12 in Swiss Super League
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 6 hardest of 12

  1. Grasshopper Club Zürich Home −0.32
  2. Basel Home −0.28
  3. Young Boys Away +0.42
  4. FC Vaduz Home −0.23
  5. Servette FC Away +0.10
  6. FC Lausanne-Sport Home −0.37
  7. FC St. Gallen 1879 Away +0.47
  8. FC Sion Away +0.34
  9. FC Thun Home −0.14

Last 5

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 12

  1. Grasshopper Club Zürich Home −0.32
  2. Basel Home −0.28
  3. Young Boys Away +0.42
  4. FC Vaduz Home −0.23
  5. Servette FC Away +0.10

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Luzern shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FC Luzern take 16.8 shots a match (league 15.3) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #4 in Swiss Super League for volume and #5 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 68%), and set pieces produce 29% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.8 shots per match
#4/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC St. Gallen 1879 20.9
#2 Young Boys 19.1
#3 FC Lugano 16.9
#4 FC Luzern 16.8
#5 FC Sion 16.6
#6 FC Thun 15.7
#7 Grasshopper Club Zürich 15.4
#8 Servette FC 14.3
#9 FC Vaduz 14.1
#10 FC Zürich 12.6
#11 Basel 11.8
#12 FC Lausanne-Sport 9.1
League avg
15.3
Total
151 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#5/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Sion 0.13
#2 Grasshopper Club Zürich 0.12
#3 FC Vaduz 0.11
#4 Young Boys 0.11
#5 FC Luzern 0.11
#6 FC Zürich 0.11
#7 FC Lugano 0.10
#8 FC Thun 0.10
#9 FC Lausanne-Sport 0.09
#10 Basel 0.09
#11 FC St. Gallen 1879 0.09
#12 Servette FC 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
16.56 npxG from 151 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
18.6 shots per match
#12/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Lugano 11.8
#2 FC St. Gallen 1879 12.7
#3 FC Sion 13.0
#4 FC Zürich 13.9
#5 Young Boys 14.0
#6 Servette FC 14.3
#7 Grasshopper Club Zürich 15.9
#8 FC Lausanne-Sport 16.2
#9 FC Thun 17.1
#10 Basel 17.6
#11 FC Vaduz 18.2
#12 FC Luzern 18.6
League avg
15.3
Total
167 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#6/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Basel 0.08
#2 FC Lausanne-Sport 0.08
#3 Young Boys 0.10
#4 FC Sion 0.10
#5 FC Lugano 0.10
#6 FC Luzern 0.10
#7 Servette FC 0.10
#8 FC St. Gallen 1879 0.11
#9 FC Vaduz 0.11
#10 FC Thun 0.12
#11 Grasshopper Club Zürich 0.13
#12 FC Zürich 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
17.23 npxGA from 167 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 68%

From 103 of 151 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

69% allowed inside the box

League avg 68%

From 116 of 167 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

71% open play · 29% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 4.9 of 16.6 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

72% open play · 28% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 4.9 of 17.1 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Luzern home and away xG

FC Luzern per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4
xG / match 2.42 1.36
xGA / match 1.43 2.77
xGD / match +0.99 -1.41
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.96 0.60

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Luzern match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.95
xGA / match
2.02
xGD / match
-0.08
Points
12 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich H Best underlying xG 4.55 xGA 1.79 xGD +2.76
  2. Sun 13/09 Basel H xG 1.62 xGA 1.93 xGD -0.31
  3. Sat 05/09 Young Boys A xG 2.19 P xGA 3.36 xGD -1.17
  4. Wed 02/09 FC Vaduz H xG 2.42 xGA 1.10 xGD +1.32
  5. Sat 29/08 Servette FC A xG 1.23 xGA 1.64 xGD -0.41
  6. Sat 22/08 FC Lausanne-Sport H xG 0.98 xGA 0.41 xGD +0.57
  7. Sun 09/08 FC St. Gallen 1879 A xG 1.51 xGA 3.24 P xGD -1.73
  8. Sun 02/08 FC Sion A Weakest underlying xG 0.51 xGA 2.83 xGD -2.32
  9. Sat 25/07 FC Thun H xG 2.53 xGA 1.92 xGD +0.61

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.55. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Luzern in Swiss Super League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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