xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Thun expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Swiss Super League · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Thun's attacking and defensive expected goals in Swiss Super League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Thun xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.53 xG per match
#8/12
Attack (xG per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Sion 2.31
#2 Young Boys 2.28
#3 Grasshopper Club Zürich 2.01
#4 FC Luzern 1.95
#5 FC St. Gallen 1879 1.95
#6 FC Lugano 1.70
#7 FC Vaduz 1.66
#8 FC Thun 1.53
#9 Servette FC 1.41
#10 FC Zürich 1.38
#11 Basel 1.22
#12 FC Lausanne-Sport 0.85
League avg
1.69
Total
13.76 9 matches
Defence
2.23 xGA per match
#12/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Lugano 1.26
#2 FC Lausanne-Sport 1.37
#3 Basel 1.39
#4 Young Boys 1.41
#5 FC St. Gallen 1879 1.43
#6 FC Sion 1.48
#7 Servette FC 1.53
#8 FC Zürich 1.93
#9 FC Vaduz 2.00
#10 FC Luzern 2.02
#11 Grasshopper Club Zürich 2.18
#12 FC Thun 2.23
League avg
1.69
Total
20.07 9 matches
xG difference
-0.70 xGD per match
#12/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Young Boys +0.87
#2 FC Sion +0.82
#3 FC St. Gallen 1879 +0.51
#4 FC Lugano +0.44
#5 FC Luzern -0.08
#6 Servette FC -0.12
#7 Basel -0.17
#8 Grasshopper Club Zürich -0.18
#9 FC Vaduz -0.34
#10 FC Lausanne-Sport -0.52
#11 FC Zürich -0.55
#12 FC Thun -0.70
League avg
0.00
Total
-6.31 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.00 xPts per match
#11/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Young Boys 1.90
#2 FC Sion 1.90
#3 FC St. Gallen 1879 1.71
#4 FC Lugano 1.71
#5 FC Luzern 1.36
#6 Servette FC 1.30
#7 Grasshopper Club Zürich 1.29
#8 Basel 1.26
#9 FC Vaduz 1.18
#10 FC Zürich 1.12
#11 FC Thun 1.00
#12 FC Lausanne-Sport 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
9.00 vs 10 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FC Thun's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Swiss Super League. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.70 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 15 goals are 1.24 above 13.76 xG, while 10 points are 1.00 above 9.00 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
15 13.76 +1.24 scored 1.24 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
23 20.07 +2.93 conceded 2.93 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
10 9.00 +1.00 1.00 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Thun are 1.24 goals above their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at +4.57, against FC St. Gallen 1879 on Sun 30/08.

Goals
15
xG
13.76
Gap
+1.24
Sat 25/07 Sat 01/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Wed 16/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +1.08 +0.47 +1.83 +4.57 +2.99 +2.66 +0.99 +0.94 +1.24 +1.08 -0.61 +1.36 +2.74 -1.58 -0.33 -1.67 -0.05 +0.30 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Thun: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 FC Luzern 3 1.92 +1.08 +1.08
Sat 01/08 Young Boys 0 0.61 -0.61 +0.47
Sun 09/08 Basel 2 0.64 +1.36 +1.83
Sun 30/08 FC St. Gallen 1879 4 1.26 +2.74 +4.57
Wed 02/09 FC Lausanne-Sport 0 1.58 -1.58 +2.99
Sun 06/09 FC Sion 2 2.33 -0.33 +2.66
Sat 12/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich 0 1.67 -1.67 +0.99
Wed 16/09 Servette FC 2 2.05 -0.05 +0.94
Sun 20/09 FC Vaduz 2 1.70 +0.30 +1.24

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

FC Thun xG trend

Current form -0.15 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 9 matches. The worst was against Young Boys on Sat 01/08 (-2.07).

npxG · last 6
1.86
npxGA · last 6
2.01
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.64 Sat 25/07 -2.07 Sat 01/08 -0.45 Sun 09/08 -1.65 Sun 30/08 +0.72 Wed 02/09 +0.48 Sun 06/09 -0.41 Sat 12/09 +0.70 Wed 16/09 -0.77 Sun 20/09 -0.45 season avg
FC Thun: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 FC Luzern 1.89 2.53 -0.64 -0.64
Sat 01/08 Young Boys 0.61 2.68 -2.07 -1.36
Sun 09/08 Basel 0.64 1.09 -0.45 -1.05
Sun 30/08 FC St. Gallen 1879 1.26 2.91 -1.65 -1.20
Wed 02/09 FC Lausanne-Sport 1.58 0.86 +0.72 -0.82
Sun 06/09 FC Sion 2.53 2.05 +0.48 -0.60
Sat 12/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich 1.67 2.08 -0.41 -0.57
Wed 16/09 Servette FC 2.22 1.52 +0.70 -0.42
Sun 20/09 FC Vaduz 1.87 2.64 -0.77 -0.45

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.59 npxG and 2.04 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 5 hardest of 12 in Swiss Super League
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 12 in Swiss Super League
−0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 5 hardest of 12

  1. FC Vaduz Away −0.23
  2. Servette FC Home +0.10
  3. Grasshopper Club Zürich Home −0.32
  4. FC Sion Away +0.34
  5. FC Lausanne-Sport Home −0.37
  6. FC St. Gallen 1879 Away +0.47
  7. Basel Away −0.28
  8. Young Boys Home +0.42
  9. FC Luzern Away −0.05

Last 5

−0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 12

  1. FC Vaduz Away −0.23
  2. Servette FC Home +0.10
  3. Grasshopper Club Zürich Home −0.32
  4. FC Sion Away +0.34
  5. FC Lausanne-Sport Home −0.37

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Thun shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FC Thun take 15.7 shots a match (league 15.3) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #6 in Swiss Super League for volume and #8 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 68%), and set pieces produce 34% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.7 shots per match
#6/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC St. Gallen 1879 20.9
#2 Young Boys 19.1
#3 FC Lugano 16.9
#4 FC Luzern 16.8
#5 FC Sion 16.6
#6 FC Thun 15.7
#7 Grasshopper Club Zürich 15.4
#8 Servette FC 14.3
#9 FC Vaduz 14.1
#10 FC Zürich 12.6
#11 Basel 11.8
#12 FC Lausanne-Sport 9.1
League avg
15.3
Total
141 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#8/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Sion 0.13
#2 Grasshopper Club Zürich 0.12
#3 FC Vaduz 0.11
#4 Young Boys 0.11
#5 FC Luzern 0.11
#6 FC Zürich 0.11
#7 FC Lugano 0.10
#8 FC Thun 0.10
#9 FC Lausanne-Sport 0.09
#10 Basel 0.09
#11 FC St. Gallen 1879 0.09
#12 Servette FC 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
14.27 npxG from 141 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.1 shots per match
#9/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Lugano 11.8
#2 FC St. Gallen 1879 12.7
#3 FC Sion 13.0
#4 FC Zürich 13.9
#5 Young Boys 14.0
#6 Servette FC 14.3
#7 Grasshopper Club Zürich 15.9
#8 FC Lausanne-Sport 16.2
#9 FC Thun 17.1
#10 Basel 17.6
#11 FC Vaduz 18.2
#12 FC Luzern 18.6
League avg
15.3
Total
154 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#10/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Swiss Super League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Basel 0.08
#2 FC Lausanne-Sport 0.08
#3 Young Boys 0.10
#4 FC Sion 0.10
#5 FC Lugano 0.10
#6 FC Luzern 0.10
#7 Servette FC 0.10
#8 FC St. Gallen 1879 0.11
#9 FC Vaduz 0.11
#10 FC Thun 0.12
#11 Grasshopper Club Zürich 0.13
#12 FC Zürich 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
18.36 npxGA from 154 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 68%

From 96 of 141 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

72% allowed inside the box

League avg 68%

From 111 of 154 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

66% open play · 34% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 4.8 of 14.4 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

65% open play · 35% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 6.5 of 18.5 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Thun home and away xG

FC Thun per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.48 1.57
xGA / match 2.01 2.41
xGD / match -0.53 -0.84
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.20 0.84

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Thun match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
4
xG / match
1.48
xGA / match
2.01
xGD / match
-0.53
Points
1 of 12
  1. Wed 16/09 Servette FC H xG 2.05 xGA 1.52 xGD +0.53
  2. Sat 12/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich H xG 1.67 xGA 2.26 xGD -0.59
  3. Wed 02/09 FC Lausanne-Sport H xG 1.58 xGA 0.86 xGD +0.72
  4. Sat 01/08 Young Boys H xG 0.61 xGA 3.38 P xGD -2.77

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.38. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Thun in Swiss Super League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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