Austrian Bundesliga odds: history of flagged selections 2026/2027
Estimates from a statistical model, published for reading rather than as betting advice. A positive value is a statement about an average over a long run, not about the match in front of you.
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Every Austrian Bundesliga qualified selection this season — a fresh price, full model data, a market with measured skill and an edge from 5% up to but not including 40%, at the model's last evaluation before kickoff — newest first, with its result and what an equal stake of one unit returned.
The price shown is the one paired with the last evaluation before kickoff, not necessarily the price available when the selection first appeared. Selections that no longer qualified at that evaluation are not counted.
| Match and selection | Model prob. | Price | Bookmaker | Captured | Result | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg – SK Sturm Graz Red Bull Salzburg at most 1 goal | Model prob. 40.2% | Price 2.63 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| TSV Hartberg – LASK TSV Hartberg to win | Model prob. 11.1% | Price 10.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| SK Sturm Graz – LASK SK Sturm Graz not to score | Model prob. 28.7% | Price 3.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| SK Sturm Graz – LASK LASK not to score | Model prob. 19.7% | Price 6.00 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| SK Sturm Graz – LASK SK Sturm Graz at most 1 goal | Model prob. 67.4% | Price 1.57 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| SK Sturm Graz – LASK LASK at most 1 goal | Model prob. 54.4% | Price 2.20 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +1.20u |
| WSG Tirol – TSV Hartberg WSG Tirol to win | Model prob. 51.1% | Price 2.15 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| WSG Tirol – TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg not to score | Model prob. 36.9% | Price 3.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| WSG Tirol – TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg at most 1 goal | Model prob. 77.0% | Price 1.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Wolfsberger AC – SK Rapid Wien Wolfsberger AC to win | Model prob. 23.9% | Price 5.25 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Wolfsberger AC – SK Rapid Wien SK Rapid Wien at most 1 goal | Model prob. 51.2% | Price 2.63 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| SV Ried – Red Bull Salzburg SV Ried to win | Model prob. 24.1% | Price 5.75 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Lost | Return −1.00u |
| Austria Wien – WSG Tirol Austria Wien not to score | Model prob. 27.4% | Price 4.50 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +3.50u |
| Austria Wien – WSG Tirol Austria Wien at most 1 goal | Model prob. 65.9% | Price 1.83 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.83u |
| Wolfsberger AC – LASK Wolfsberger AC at most 1 goal | Model prob. 77.5% | Price 1.40 | Bookmaker Bet365 | Captured | Result Won | Return +0.40u |
A selection counts only if the live feed evaluated and priced it before kickoff and it qualified at that evaluation. Nothing is added afterwards. A pending selection is graded by the nightly settlement. How the model works →