Saturday, 19/09/2026 at 16:00
Full timeBurnley 1:1 Derby County
Goals
- 34' Zeki Amdouni Burnley · 0.21 xG chance 1–0
- 90' Mohammed Fuseini Derby County · 0.05 xG chance 1–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 6
- 16
- On target
- 2
- 4
- Inside the box
- 4
- 10
- xG per shot
- 0.08
- 0.07
- Open play xG
- 0.27
- 0.45
- Set-piece xG
- 0.21
- 0.75
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.49 for Burnley and 1.23 for Derby County.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
22 shots · 1.68 xG
Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.
- Burnley
- Derby County
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.12 xG created 1.70 xGA
- L 1.18 created, 1.63 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
- L 1.38 created, 2.30 conceded against Norwich City
- D 0.64 created, 1.22 conceded against Middlesbrough
- L 0.26 created, 1.06 conceded against Bristol City
- D 1.50 created, 1.35 conceded against Wrexham
- L 1.73 created, 2.63 conceded against Swansea City
0.89 xG created 2.19 xGA
- D 1.62 created, 1.98 conceded against Cardiff City
- L 0.70 created, 3.00 conceded against Swansea City
- W 0.55 created, 0.84 conceded against Portsmouth
- L 0.11 created, 3.79 conceded against West Ham United
- L 1.27 created, 0.38 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
- L 1.11 created, 3.17 conceded against Birmingham City
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.