Expected goals

Oxford United expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Championship · after 46 matches · updated 21 Oct

Oxford United's attacking and defensive expected goals in Championship 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Oxford United xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓

Attack

1.13 xG per match

#19/24

Attack (xG per match) across Championship, best first
Rank	Club	xG per match
#1	Coventry City	1.86
#2	Ipswich Town	1.67
#3	Southampton	1.66
#4	Sheffield United	1.56
#5	Middlesbrough	1.51
#6	Birmingham City	1.35
#7	Millwall	1.34
#8	Hull City	1.30
#9	Norwich City	1.29
#10	West Bromwich Albion	1.24
=11	Derby County	1.23
=11	Watford	1.23
#13	Bristol City	1.20
#14	Blackburn Rovers	1.20
#15	Preston North End	1.19
#16	Wrexham	1.19
#17	Leicester City	1.17
#18	Queens Park Rangers	1.17
#19	Oxford United	1.13
#20	Swansea City	1.10
#21	Portsmouth	1.10
#22	Stoke City	1.09
#23	Charlton Athletic	1.03
#24	Sheffield Wednesday	0.85

League avg: 1.28
Total: 52.01 46 matches

Defence

1.27 xGA per match

#15/24

Defence (xGA per match) across Championship, best first
Rank	Club	xGA per match
#1	Middlesbrough	0.92
#2	Ipswich Town	1.00
#3	West Bromwich Albion	1.02
#4	Birmingham City	1.05
#5	Coventry City	1.10
#6	Watford	1.16
#7	Portsmouth	1.18
#8	Blackburn Rovers	1.19
#9	Derby County	1.19
#10	Swansea City	1.21
#11	Millwall	1.24
#12	Queens Park Rangers	1.24
#13	Sheffield United	1.25
#14	Southampton	1.26
#15	Oxford United	1.27
#16	Wrexham	1.35
#17	Charlton Athletic	1.35
#18	Norwich City	1.37
#19	Stoke City	1.38
#20	Bristol City	1.38
#21	Leicester City	1.42
#22	Preston North End	1.51
#23	Hull City	1.71
#24	Sheffield Wednesday	1.92

League avg: 1.28
Total: 58.23 46 matches

xG difference

-0.14 xGD per match

#16/24

xG difference (xGD per match) across Championship, best first
Rank	Club	xGD per match
#1	Coventry City	+0.76
#2	Ipswich Town	+0.66
#3	Middlesbrough	+0.59
#4	Southampton	+0.40
#5	Sheffield United	+0.32
#6	Birmingham City	+0.30
#7	West Bromwich Albion	+0.22
#8	Millwall	+0.11
#9	Watford	+0.07
#10	Derby County	+0.03
#11	Blackburn Rovers	+0.00
#12	Queens Park Rangers	-0.07
#13	Norwich City	-0.08
#14	Portsmouth	-0.08
#15	Swansea City	-0.11
#16	Oxford United	-0.14
#17	Wrexham	-0.16
#18	Bristol City	-0.18
#19	Leicester City	-0.24
#20	Stoke City	-0.29
#21	Preston North End	-0.32
#22	Charlton Athletic	-0.33
#23	Hull City	-0.41
#24	Sheffield Wednesday	-1.07

League avg: 0.00
Total: -6.22 46 matches

Expected points Model

1.25 xPts per match

#17/24

Expected points (xPts per match) across Championship, best first
Rank	Club	xPts per match
#1	Ipswich Town	1.88
#2	Coventry City	1.80
#3	Middlesbrough	1.77
#4	Southampton	1.61
#5	Sheffield United	1.56
#6	Birmingham City	1.56
#7	West Bromwich Albion	1.53
#8	Millwall	1.46
#9	Watford	1.42
#10	Derby County	1.39
#11	Norwich City	1.37
#12	Blackburn Rovers	1.36
#13	Portsmouth	1.34
#14	Queens Park Rangers	1.33
#15	Wrexham	1.29
#16	Swansea City	1.28
#17	Oxford United	1.25
#18	Bristol City	1.23
#19	Charlton Athletic	1.19
#20	Leicester City	1.18
#21	Stoke City	1.18
#22	Preston North End	1.16
#23	Hull City	1.16
#24	Sheffield Wednesday	0.66

League avg: 1.37
Total: 57.71 vs 47 actual pts

What the xG says

Oxford United's underlying numbers sit close to the Championship average. They rank #16 for xG difference at -0.14 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 45 goals are 7.01 below 52.01 xG, while 47 points are 10.71 below 57.71 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected

Goals vs xG

45 52.01 -7.01 scored 7.01 fewer than xG within normal variance

Goals conceded vs xGA

59 58.23 +0.77 conceded 0.77 more than xGA within normal variance

Points vs xPts Model

47 57.71 -10.71 10.71 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Oxford United are 7.01 goals below their xG after 46 matches. The gap was widest at -7.64, against Wrexham on Tue 21/04.

Goals: 45
xG: 52.01
Gap: -7.01

Oxford United: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Goals	xG	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 09/08	Portsmouth	0	1.37	-1.37	-1.37
Sun 17/08	Hull City	2	1.02	+0.98	-0.39
Sat 23/08	Birmingham City	0	0.38	-0.38	-0.77
Sat 30/08	Coventry City	2	1.04	+0.96	+0.19
Sat 13/09	Leicester City	2	2.10	-0.10	+0.09
Sun 21/09	Bristol City	3	1.72	+1.28	+1.37
Sat 27/09	Sheffield United	0	1.14	-1.14	+0.23
Wed 01/10	Queens Park Rangers	0	0.37	-0.37	-0.14
Sat 04/10	Watford	1	1.38	-0.38	-0.52
Sat 18/10	Derby County	1	2.17	-1.17	-1.69
Wed 22/10	Wrexham	0	0.15	-0.15	-1.84
Sat 25/10	Sheffield Wednesday	2	0.99	+1.01	-0.83
Sat 01/11	Millwall	2	0.63	+1.37	+0.54
Tue 04/11	Stoke City	0	1.78	-1.78	-1.24
Sat 08/11	West Bromwich Albion	1	0.95	+0.05	-1.19
Sat 22/11	Middlesbrough	1	0.53	+0.47	-0.72
Tue 25/11	Norwich City	1	0.82	+0.18	-0.54
Fri 28/11	Ipswich Town	2	1.24	+0.76	+0.22
Sat 06/12	Swansea City	0	1.41	-1.41	-1.19
Tue 09/12	Blackburn Rovers	1	0.29	+0.71	-0.48
Sat 13/12	Preston North End	1	1.57	-0.57	-1.05
Sat 20/12	Charlton Athletic	0	0.61	-0.61	-1.66
Fri 26/12	Southampton	2	0.91	+1.09	-0.57
Mon 29/12	Swansea City	0	0.48	-0.48	-1.05
Thu 01/01	Ipswich Town	1	1.08	-0.08	-1.13
Sat 17/01	Bristol City	0	1.20	-1.20	-2.33
Tue 20/01	Queens Park Rangers	0	0.83	-0.83	-3.16
Sat 24/01	Leicester City	2	1.94	+0.06	-3.10
Sat 31/01	Birmingham City	0	0.46	-0.46	-3.56
Tue 03/02	Sheffield United	1	1.06	-0.06	-3.62
Sat 07/02	Coventry City	0	0.12	-0.12	-3.74
Tue 10/02	Norwich City	0	0.44	-0.44	-4.18
Sat 21/02	Middlesbrough	0	0.82	-0.82	-5.00
Wed 25/02	Stoke City	1	1.46	-0.46	-5.46
Sat 28/02	West Bromwich Albion	2	0.75	+1.25	-4.21
Fri 06/03	Preston North End	3	1.74	+1.26	-2.95
Wed 11/03	Blackburn Rovers	1	1.16	-0.16	-3.11
Sat 14/03	Charlton Athletic	1	1.34	-0.34	-3.45
Sat 21/03	Southampton	0	1.07	-1.07	-4.52
Fri 03/04	Hull City	1	3.44	-2.44	-6.96
Mon 06/04	Portsmouth	2	1.35	+0.65	-6.31
Sat 11/04	Watford	2	1.86	+0.14	-6.17
Sat 18/04	Derby County	0	0.67	-0.67	-6.84
Tue 21/04	Wrexham	0	0.80	-0.80	-7.64
Sat 25/04	Sheffield Wednesday	4	2.28	+1.72	-5.92
Sat 02/05	Millwall	0	1.09	-1.09	-7.01

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

Oxford United have conceded 0.77 more than their xGA after 46 matches. The gap was widest at +4.31, against Sheffield United on Tue 03/02.

Conceded: 59
xGA: 58.23
Gap: +0.77

Oxford United: Goals conceded vs xGA, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Conceded	xGA	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 09/08	Portsmouth	1	1.21	-0.21	-0.21
Sun 17/08	Hull City	3	1.91	+1.09	+0.88
Sat 23/08	Birmingham City	1	1.65	-0.65	+0.23
Sat 30/08	Coventry City	2	1.74	+0.26	+0.49
Sat 13/09	Leicester City	2	0.84	+1.16	+1.65
Sun 21/09	Bristol City	1	1.18	-0.18	+1.47
Sat 27/09	Sheffield United	1	0.48	+0.52	+1.99
Wed 01/10	Queens Park Rangers	0	0.80	-0.80	+1.19
Sat 04/10	Watford	2	2.65	-0.65	+0.54
Sat 18/10	Derby County	0	0.25	-0.25	+0.29
Wed 22/10	Wrexham	1	0.77	+0.23	+0.52
Sat 25/10	Sheffield Wednesday	1	1.16	-0.16	+0.36
Sat 01/11	Millwall	2	2.42	-0.42	-0.06
Tue 04/11	Stoke City	3	2.19	+0.81	+0.75
Sat 08/11	West Bromwich Albion	2	1.61	+0.39	+1.14
Sat 22/11	Middlesbrough	1	1.06	-0.06	+1.08
Tue 25/11	Norwich City	1	1.42	-0.42	+0.66
Fri 28/11	Ipswich Town	1	1.70	-0.70	-0.04
Sat 06/12	Swansea City	2	0.89	+1.11	+1.07
Tue 09/12	Blackburn Rovers	1	2.28	-1.28	-0.21
Sat 13/12	Preston North End	2	0.61	+1.39	+1.18
Sat 20/12	Charlton Athletic	1	0.77	+0.23	+1.41
Fri 26/12	Southampton	1	1.44	-0.44	+0.97
Mon 29/12	Swansea City	1	0.79	+0.21	+1.18
Thu 01/01	Ipswich Town	2	1.43	+0.57	+1.75
Sat 17/01	Bristol City	0	0.44	-0.44	+1.31
Tue 20/01	Queens Park Rangers	0	0.61	-0.61	+0.70
Sat 24/01	Leicester City	1	0.59	+0.41	+1.11
Sat 31/01	Birmingham City	2	0.80	+1.20	+2.31
Tue 03/02	Sheffield United	3	1.00	+2.00	+4.31
Sat 07/02	Coventry City	0	2.09	-2.09	+2.22
Tue 10/02	Norwich City	3	2.31	+0.69	+2.91
Sat 21/02	Middlesbrough	0	2.15	-2.15	+0.76
Wed 25/02	Stoke City	2	1.51	+0.49	+1.25
Sat 28/02	West Bromwich Albion	1	1.04	-0.04	+1.21
Fri 06/03	Preston North End	1	0.93	+0.07	+1.28
Wed 11/03	Blackburn Rovers	0	0.45	-0.45	+0.83
Sat 14/03	Charlton Athletic	1	0.93	+0.07	+0.90
Sat 21/03	Southampton	2	2.15	-0.15	+0.75
Fri 03/04	Hull City	1	0.82	+0.18	+0.93
Mon 06/04	Portsmouth	2	0.93	+1.07	+2.00
Sat 11/04	Watford	0	0.81	-0.81	+1.19
Sat 18/04	Derby County	1	1.03	-0.03	+1.16
Tue 21/04	Wrexham	1	1.28	-0.28	+0.88
Sat 25/04	Sheffield Wednesday	1	0.97	+0.03	+0.91
Sat 02/05	Millwall	2	2.14	-0.14	+0.77

Points minus xPts, match by match

Oxford United are 10.71 points below their xPts after 46 matches. The gap was widest at -10.75, against Wrexham on Tue 21/04.

Points: 47
xPts: 57.71
Gap: -10.71

Oxford United: Points vs xPts, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Points	xPts	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 09/08	Portsmouth	0	1.49	-1.49	-1.49
Sun 17/08	Hull City	0	0.72	-0.72	-2.21
Sat 23/08	Birmingham City	0	0.36	-0.36	-2.57
Sat 30/08	Coventry City	1	0.82	+0.18	-2.39
Sat 13/09	Leicester City	1	2.31	-1.31	-3.70
Sun 21/09	Bristol City	3	1.79	+1.21	-2.49
Sat 27/09	Sheffield United	0	1.99	-1.99	-4.48
Wed 01/10	Queens Park Rangers	1	0.80	+0.20	-4.28
Sat 04/10	Watford	0	0.60	-0.60	-4.88
Sat 18/10	Derby County	3	2.72	+0.28	-4.60
Wed 22/10	Wrexham	0	0.56	-0.56	-5.16
Sat 25/10	Sheffield Wednesday	3	1.20	+1.80	-3.36
Sat 01/11	Millwall	1	0.27	+0.73	-2.63
Tue 04/11	Stoke City	0	1.11	-1.11	-3.74
Sat 08/11	West Bromwich Albion	0	0.83	-0.83	-4.57
Sat 22/11	Middlesbrough	1	0.80	+0.20	-4.37
Tue 25/11	Norwich City	1	0.83	+0.17	-4.20
Fri 28/11	Ipswich Town	3	1.01	+1.99	-2.21
Sat 06/12	Swansea City	0	1.80	-1.80	-4.01
Tue 09/12	Blackburn Rovers	1	0.17	+0.83	-3.18
Sat 13/12	Preston North End	0	2.16	-2.16	-5.34
Sat 20/12	Charlton Athletic	0	1.12	-1.12	-6.46
Fri 26/12	Southampton	3	0.90	+2.10	-4.36
Mon 29/12	Swansea City	0	0.94	-0.94	-5.30
Thu 01/01	Ipswich Town	0	1.06	-1.06	-6.36
Sat 17/01	Bristol City	1	2.05	-1.05	-7.41
Tue 20/01	Queens Park Rangers	1	1.53	-0.53	-7.94
Sat 24/01	Leicester City	3	2.40	+0.60	-7.34
Sat 31/01	Birmingham City	0	0.91	-0.91	-8.25
Tue 03/02	Sheffield United	0	1.39	-1.39	-9.64
Sat 07/02	Coventry City	1	0.13	+0.87	-8.77
Tue 10/02	Norwich City	0	0.20	-0.20	-8.97
Sat 21/02	Middlesbrough	1	0.47	+0.53	-8.44
Wed 25/02	Stoke City	0	1.33	-1.33	-9.77
Sat 28/02	West Bromwich Albion	3	1.05	+1.95	-7.82
Fri 06/03	Preston North End	3	2.01	+0.99	-6.83
Wed 11/03	Blackburn Rovers	3	2.01	+0.99	-5.84
Sat 14/03	Charlton Athletic	1	1.70	-0.70	-6.54
Sat 21/03	Southampton	0	0.64	-0.64	-7.18
Fri 03/04	Hull City	1	2.78	-1.78	-8.96
Mon 06/04	Portsmouth	1	1.72	-0.72	-9.68
Sat 11/04	Watford	3	2.18	+0.82	-8.86
Sat 18/04	Derby County	0	0.97	-0.97	-9.83
Tue 21/04	Wrexham	0	0.92	-0.92	-10.75
Sat 25/04	Sheffield Wednesday	3	2.30	+0.70	-10.05
Sat 02/05	Millwall	0	0.66	-0.66	-10.71

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Oxford United xG trend

Current form +0.10 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 19 of 46 matches. The worst was against Coventry City on Sat 07/02 (-1.96).

npxG · last 6: 1.30
npxGA · last 6: 1.20

Oxford United: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date	Opponent	npxG	npxGA	npxGD	Avg so far
Sat 09/08	Portsmouth	1.50	1.26	+0.24	+0.24
Sun 17/08	Hull City	1.02	1.91	-0.89	-0.32
Sat 23/08	Birmingham City	0.39	1.65	-1.26	-0.64
Sat 30/08	Coventry City	1.06	1.74	-0.68	-0.65
Sat 13/09	Leicester City	2.10	0.85	+1.25	-0.27
Sun 21/09	Bristol City	1.72	1.09	+0.63	-0.12
Sat 27/09	Sheffield United	1.14	0.48	+0.66	-0.01
Wed 01/10	Queens Park Rangers	0.40	0.77	-0.37	-0.05
Sat 04/10	Watford	1.38	2.65	-1.27	-0.19
Sat 18/10	Derby County	2.19	0.21	+1.98	+0.03
Wed 22/10	Wrexham	0.04	0.43	-0.39	-0.01
Sat 25/10	Sheffield Wednesday	0.97	1.16	-0.19	-0.02
Sat 01/11	Millwall	0.70	2.48	-1.78	-0.16
Tue 04/11	Stoke City	1.78	2.37	-0.59	-0.19
Sat 08/11	West Bromwich Albion	1.19	1.61	-0.42	-0.21
Sat 22/11	Middlesbrough	0.53	1.06	-0.53	-0.23
Tue 25/11	Norwich City	0.82	1.43	-0.61	-0.25
Fri 28/11	Ipswich Town	1.25	1.70	-0.45	-0.26
Sat 06/12	Swansea City	1.41	0.89	+0.52	-0.22
Tue 09/12	Blackburn Rovers	0.29	1.51	-1.22	-0.27
Sat 13/12	Preston North End	1.60	0.64	+0.96	-0.21
Sat 20/12	Charlton Athletic	0.61	1.10	-0.49	-0.22
Fri 26/12	Southampton	0.97	1.44	-0.47	-0.23
Mon 29/12	Swansea City	0.48	0.79	-0.31	-0.24
Thu 01/01	Ipswich Town	1.08	1.43	-0.35	-0.24
Sat 17/01	Bristol City	1.20	0.45	+0.75	-0.20
Tue 20/01	Queens Park Rangers	0.82	0.61	+0.21	-0.19
Sat 24/01	Leicester City	1.94	0.59	+1.35	-0.13
Sat 31/01	Birmingham City	0.87	0.80	+0.07	-0.13
Tue 03/02	Sheffield United	1.08	1.00	+0.08	-0.12
Sat 07/02	Coventry City	0.13	2.09	-1.96	-0.18
Tue 10/02	Norwich City	0.45	2.31	-1.86	-0.23
Sat 21/02	Middlesbrough	0.82	2.16	-1.34	-0.26
Wed 25/02	Stoke City	1.46	1.51	-0.05	-0.26
Sat 28/02	West Bromwich Albion	0.76	1.04	-0.28	-0.26
Fri 06/03	Preston North End	1.74	0.93	+0.81	-0.23
Wed 11/03	Blackburn Rovers	1.20	0.45	+0.75	-0.20
Sat 14/03	Charlton Athletic	1.34	0.93	+0.41	-0.19
Sat 21/03	Southampton	1.07	2.18	-1.11	-0.21
Fri 03/04	Hull City	2.65	0.82	+1.83	-0.16
Mon 06/04	Portsmouth	1.35	0.94	+0.41	-0.15
Sat 11/04	Watford	1.88	0.96	+0.92	-0.12
Sat 18/04	Derby County	0.68	1.07	-0.39	-0.13
Tue 21/04	Wrexham	0.76	1.34	-0.58	-0.14
Sat 25/04	Sheffield Wednesday	2.22	0.97	+1.25	-0.11
Sat 02/05	Millwall	0.91	1.91	-1.00	-0.13

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.13 npxG and 1.25 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far: tied number 8 hardest of 24 in Championship; 0.00 xG vs league average; Over 46 league matches
Last 5: number 19 hardest of 24 in Championship; −0.11 xG vs league average; Over 5 league matches

Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 46 matches · tied number 8 hardest of 24

Millwall Away +0.09
Sheffield Wednesday Home −0.74
Wrexham Home +0.01
Derby County Away +0.11
Watford Home −0.03
Portsmouth Away +0.14
Hull City Home −0.24
Southampton Away +0.26
Charlton Athletic Home −0.30
Blackburn Rovers Home −0.18
Preston North End Away −0.30
West Bromwich Albion Home +0.17
Stoke City Away −0.32
Middlesbrough Away +0.72
Norwich City Home +0.27
Coventry City Away +0.35
Sheffield United Away +0.04
Birmingham City Home +0.10
Leicester City Away +0.05
Queens Park Rangers Home −0.05
Bristol City Home −0.28
Ipswich Town Away +0.24
Swansea City Home +0.02
Southampton Home +0.26
Charlton Athletic Away −0.30
Preston North End Home −0.30
Blackburn Rovers Away −0.18
Swansea City Away +0.02
Ipswich Town Home +0.24
Norwich City Away +0.27
Middlesbrough Home +0.72
West Bromwich Albion Away +0.17
Stoke City Home −0.32
Millwall Home +0.09
Sheffield Wednesday Away −0.74
Wrexham Away +0.01
Derby County Home +0.11
Watford Away −0.03
Queens Park Rangers Away −0.05
Sheffield United Home +0.04
Bristol City Away −0.28
Leicester City Home +0.05
Coventry City Home +0.35
Birmingham City Away +0.10
Hull City Away −0.24
Portsmouth Home +0.14

Last 5

−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 19 hardest of 24

Millwall Away +0.09
Sheffield Wednesday Home −0.74
Wrexham Home +0.01
Derby County Away +0.11
Watford Home −0.03

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Oxford United shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Oxford United take 12.0 shots a match (league 12.6) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #16 in Championship for volume and #15 for quality. 55% of their shots come from inside the box (league 65%), and set pieces produce 42% of their npxG (league 29%).

Attack

Shot volume

12.0 shots per match

#16/24

Shot volume (shots per match) across Championship, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Coventry City	16.2
#2	Middlesbrough	16.1
#3	Ipswich Town	14.7
#4	Southampton	14.5
#5	Watford	13.9
#6	Birmingham City	13.7
#7	Sheffield United	13.5
#8	West Bromwich Albion	13.4
#9	Millwall	12.9
#10	Leicester City	12.7
#11	Queens Park Rangers	12.7
#12	Norwich City	12.5
#13	Swansea City	12.4
#14	Bristol City	12.2
#15	Portsmouth	12.1
#16	Oxford United	12.0
#17	Blackburn Rovers	11.5
#18	Wrexham	11.3
#19	Stoke City	11.3
#20	Hull City	11.2
#21	Derby County	11.0
#22	Charlton Athletic	10.9
#23	Preston North End	10.8
#24	Sheffield Wednesday	8.6

League avg: 12.6
Total: 541 shots from 45 matches

Chance quality

0.10 npxG per shot

#15/24

Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Championship, best first
Rank	Club	npxG per shot
#1	Southampton	0.11
#2	Sheffield United	0.11
#3	Coventry City	0.11
#4	Hull City	0.11
#5	Preston North End	0.11
#6	Derby County	0.10
#7	Norwich City	0.10
#8	Millwall	0.10
#9	Blackburn Rovers	0.10
#10	Wrexham	0.10
#11	Stoke City	0.10
#12	Ipswich Town	0.10
#13	Sheffield Wednesday	0.10
#14	Bristol City	0.10
#15	Oxford United	0.10
#16	Birmingham City	0.10
#17	Charlton Athletic	0.09
#18	West Bromwich Albion	0.09
#19	Middlesbrough	0.09
#20	Portsmouth	0.09
#21	Queens Park Rangers	0.09
#22	Leicester City	0.09
#23	Swansea City	0.08
#24	Watford	0.08

League avg: 0.10
Total: 51.91 npxG from 541 shots

Defence

Shots allowed

14.1 shots per match

#20/24

Shots allowed (shots per match) across Championship, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Middlesbrough	10.2
#2	Ipswich Town	10.4
#3	West Bromwich Albion	10.6
#4	Birmingham City	10.7
#5	Portsmouth	11.5
#6	Coventry City	11.6
#7	Blackburn Rovers	11.7
#8	Watford	11.7
#9	Norwich City	11.8
#10	Queens Park Rangers	12.1
#11	Sheffield United	12.4
#12	Southampton	12.4
#13	Swansea City	12.5
#14	Derby County	12.7
#15	Millwall	12.7
#16	Stoke City	12.9
#17	Leicester City	12.9
#18	Bristol City	13.2
#19	Wrexham	13.7
#20	Oxford United	14.1
#21	Preston North End	14.7
#22	Hull City	14.7
#23	Charlton Athletic	15.6
#24	Sheffield Wednesday	15.6

League avg: 12.6
Total: 633 shots allowed from 45 matches

Chance quality allowed

0.09 npxGA per shot

#5/24

Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Championship, best first
Rank	Club	npxGA per shot
#1	Middlesbrough	0.08
#2	Charlton Athletic	0.08
#3	Derby County	0.09
#4	Ipswich Town	0.09
#5	Oxford United	0.09
#6	Coventry City	0.09
#7	Swansea City	0.09
#8	West Bromwich Albion	0.09
#9	Watford	0.10
#10	Birmingham City	0.10
#11	Sheffield United	0.10
#12	Portsmouth	0.10
#13	Queens Park Rangers	0.10
#14	Preston North End	0.10
#15	Southampton	0.10
#16	Blackburn Rovers	0.10
#17	Millwall	0.10
#18	Wrexham	0.10
#19	Bristol City	0.10
#20	Stoke City	0.11
#21	Leicester City	0.11
#22	Hull City	0.11
#23	Norwich City	0.11
#24	Sheffield Wednesday	0.12

League avg: 0.10
Total: 57.28 npxGA from 633 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

55% inside the box

League avg 65%

From 297 of 541 shots over 45 matches

Covers 45 of 46 matches with xG.

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 65%

From 413 of 633 shots allowed over 45 matches

Covers 45 of 46 matches with xG.

Where the npxG comes from

58% open play · 42% set pieces

League avg 29% set pieces

From 21.1 of 50.6 npxG over 46 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 29% set pieces

From 15.1 of 56.8 npxG allowed over 46 matches

Shot counts cover 45 of 46 matches.

How the shot figures are made →

Oxford United home and away xG

Oxford United per-match figures at home and away
Measure	Home	Away
Matches	23	23
xG / match	1.28	0.98
xGA / match	1.10	1.44
xGD / match	+0.19	-0.46
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →	1.49	1.02

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Oxford United match by xG

Window

Season Last 10 Last 5

Venue

All Home Away

Sort

Date xGD

Last 10

Matches: 10
xG / match: 1.51
xGA / match: 1.15
xGD / match: +0.36
Points: 12 of 30

Date Opponent Score xG Chances xGA xGD xPts Model

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.44. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Oxford United in Championship

Attack

xG / match #19 of 24
Shots / match #16 of 24
Chance quality #15 of 24
Home xG #14 of 24
Away xG #17 of 24

Defence

xGA / match #15 of 24
Shots allowed #20 of 24
Chance quality allowed #5 of 24

Overall

About the data

xG data: Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics: xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics: xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →