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Friday, 13/03/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Championship

Wrexham 2:0 Swansea City

Wrexham Home 0.93 xG · 12 shots
Swansea City Away 0.80 xG · 10 shots
20 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 25' Nathan Broadhead Wrexham · 0.44 xG chance 1–0
  2. 88' Liam Cullen (o.g.) Wrexham 2–0

The shots behind it

Wrexham Swansea City
Shots
12
10
On target
3
3
Inside the box
8
5
xG per shot
0.08
0.08
Open play xG
0.66
0.52
Set-piece xG
0.28
0.26
Penalties
—
—

Wrexham's shots add up to 0.95 xG and Swansea City's to 0.78; the published figures are 0.93 and 0.80.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 25' · Goal · 4 m · 0.44 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 21' · No goal · 10 m · 0.33 xG Wrexham · Callum Doyle · 87' · No goal · 6 m · 0.19 xG Swansea City · Ben Cabango · 30' · No goal · 5 m · 0.18 xG Swansea City · Gonçalo Franco · 1' · No goal · 22 m · 0.09 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 9' · No goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG Wrexham · Callum Doyle · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.05 xG Wrexham · Nathan Broadhead · 49' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Issa Kaboré · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Josh Tymon · 82' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Swansea City · Ethan Galbraith · 22' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Wrexham · Bailey Cadamarteri · 87' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Žan Vipotnik · 44' · No goal · 7 m · 0.03 xG Swansea City · Malick Yalcouyé · 82' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 56' · No goal · 5 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 80' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Marko Stamenić · 66' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Josh Tymon · 23' · No goal · 30 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Zak Vyner · 36' · No goal · 11 m · 0.02 xG Swansea City · Malick Yalcouyé · 66' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Wrexham · Oliver Rathbone · 12' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG Wrexham · Liam Cullen · 88' · Goal · 4 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

22 shots · 1.72 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Wrexham
  • Swansea City
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Wrexham

1.15 xG created 0.86 xGA

  • L 1.53 created, 0.58 conceded against Millwall
  • D 1.07 created, 0.38 conceded against Bristol City
  • W 2.09 created, 0.81 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 0.54 created, 0.53 conceded against Portsmouth
  • W 0.53 created, 1.34 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 1.14 created, 1.54 conceded against Hull City
Swansea City

0.89 xG created 1.04 xGA

  • L 1.00 created, 0.80 conceded against Derby County
  • W 0.58 created, 0.72 conceded against Bristol City
  • D 1.55 created, 1.77 conceded against Preston North End
  • L 0.36 created, 1.18 conceded against Ipswich Town
  • W 1.15 created, 0.82 conceded against Stoke City
  • W 0.71 created, 0.94 conceded against Portsmouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Wrexham: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.