Expected points, competition by competition
The club whose chances have been worth the most points in each competition the model follows. Open a competition to see it beside the points every club actually took.
29 competitions.
| # | Competition | Team | xPTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bundesliga 2026/2027 | FC Bayern München | 11.04 |
| 2 | La Liga 2026/2027 | Barcelona | 18.59 |
| 3 | Eredivisie 2026/2027 | Feyenoord | 17.41 |
| 4 | Liga Portugal 2026/2027 | Benfica | 16.82 |
| 5 | SuperLiga (Serbia) 2026/2027 | FK Crvena zvezda | 16.50 |
| 6 | Scottish Premiership 2026/2027 | Celtic | 16.44 |
| 7 | Austrian Bundesliga 2026/2027 | LASK | 16.33 |
| 8 | Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 13.76 |
| 9 | Cypriot First Division 2026/2027 | Omonia Nicosia | 6.78 |
| 10 | Super League Greece 2026/2027 | Olympiacos FC | 11.25 |
| 11 | Niké Liga (Slovakia) 2026/2027 | FC Spartak Trnava | 9.00 |
| 12 | Eliteserien 2026/2027 | Bodø/Glimt | 47.05 |
| 13 | Allsvenskan 2026/2027 | Hammarby IF | 42.55 |
| 14 | Süper Lig 2026/2027 | Beşiktaş | 13.40 |
| 15 | HNL 2026/2027 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 15.62 |
| 16 | Serie A 2026/2027 | Roma | 11.15 |
| 17 | Parva Liga (Bulgaria) 2026/2027 | Ludogorets | 13.15 |
| 18 | Ligue 1 2026/2027 | Paris FC | 10.86 |
| 19 | NB I (Hungary) 2026/2027 | Nyiregyháza Spartacus | 8.47 |
| 20 | Czech First League 2026/2027 | SK Slavia Praha | 18.98 |
| 21 | Premier League 2026/2027 | Arsenal | 10.36 |
| 22 | Ekstraklasa 2026/2027 | Lech Poznań | 16.55 |
| 23 | SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027 | FC Dinamo București | 18.35 |
| 24 | Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027 | RC Sporting Charleroi | 14.16 |
| 25 | Veikkausliiga 2026/2027 | Inter Turku | 43.12 |
| 26 | Swiss Super League 2026/2027 | Young Boys | 17.13 |
| 27 | Superliga (Denmark) 2026/2027 | FC Nordsjælland | 17.07 |
| 28 | Premier Division (Ireland) 2026/2027 | St. Patrick's Athletic | 59.84 |
| 29 | PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 2026/2027 | NK Maribor | 18.43 |
One row per competition, because expected goals are summed against a competition's own baseline: forty in the Eredivisie and forty in the Premier League are not the same forty. Open a competition to rank the clubs inside it, which is the one comparison these figures support.
Expected goals measure the chances a club created and conceded rather than what was scored. Every figure here was summed by the ingest from this competition's own matches — nothing on this page is fitted while you read it.
Every competition → How the model works →