xgEdge

Saturday, 10/10/2026 at 16:00

Full time
Match report · Championship

Preston North End 0:1 Millwall

Preston North End Home 0.65 xG · 12 shots
Millwall Away 1.09 xG · 11 shots
01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 79' Camiel Neghli Millwall · 0.12 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Preston North End Millwall
Shots
12
11
On target
1
3
Inside the box
7
7
xG per shot
0.05
0.10
Open play xG
0.52
0.64
Set-piece xG
0.07
0.45
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.58 for Preston North End.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Millwall · Tairyk Arconte · 9' · No goal · 5 m · 0.29 xG Millwall · Kyrell Lisbie · 17' · No goal · 4 m · 0.27 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 79' · Goal · 16 m · 0.12 xG Preston North End · Alfie Devine · 58' · No goal · 12 m · 0.12 xG Millwall · Tristan Crama · 83' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Millwall · Kyrell Lisbie · 54' · No goal · 7 m · 0.10 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 23' · No goal · 17 m · 0.08 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 35' · No goal · 19 m · 0.07 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.07 xG Millwall · Camiel Neghli · 9' · No goal · 18 m · 0.06 xG Millwall · Caleb Taylor · 51' · No goal · 6 m · 0.06 xG Preston North End · Callum Lang · 36' · No goal · 17 m · 0.05 xG Preston North End · Harry Clarke · 23' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Preston North End · Jordan Thompson · 27' · No goal · 26 m · 0.04 xG Preston North End · Jusef Erabi · 35' · No goal · 11 m · 0.04 xG Millwall · Derek Mazou-Sacko · 39' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Preston North End · Leo Leroy · 90' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Millwall · Jenson Metcalfe · 84' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Preston North End · Harry Clarke · 8' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Preston North End · Leo Leroy · 36' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Preston North End · Callum Lang · 31' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG Millwall · Lyndon Dykes · 17' · No goal · 16 m · 0.01 xG Millwall · Kyrell Lisbie · 16' · No goal · 19 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

23 shots · 1.68 xG

Hover or tap a shot, or step through them with the arrows.

  • Preston North End
  • Millwall
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Preston North End

1.66 xG created 1.38 xGA

  • L 1.32 created, 0.74 conceded against Charlton Athletic
  • L 1.91 created, 1.78 conceded against Bristol City
  • W 2.19 created, 1.09 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • L 2.48 created, 1.44 conceded against Watford
  • L 0.58 created, 0.66 conceded against Lincoln City
  • D 1.50 created, 2.54 conceded against Queens Park Rangers
Millwall

1.71 xG created 1.71 xGA

  • L 1.35 created, 3.62 conceded against Southampton
  • L 0.23 created, 0.88 conceded against Wrexham
  • W 2.63 created, 1.15 conceded against Bolton Wanderers
  • L 1.67 created, 1.23 conceded against Blackburn Rovers
  • D 1.69 created, 1.52 conceded against Middlesbrough
  • D 2.68 created, 1.87 conceded against West Ham United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.