xgEdge

Expected goals

KVC Westerlo expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

KVC Westerlo's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

KVC Westerlo xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.45 xG per match
#9/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
10.12 7 matches
Defence
1.81 xGA per match
#13/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
12.68 7 matches
xG difference
-0.37 xGD per match
#13/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
-2.56 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.24 xPts per match
#11/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
8.65 vs 10 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

KVC Westerlo's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Jupiler Pro League. They rank #13 for xG difference at -0.37 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 15 goals are 4.88 above 10.12 xG, while 10 points are 1.35 above 8.65 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.52 xG from penalties
15 10.12 +4.88 scored 4.88 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
16 12.68 +3.32 conceded 3.32 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
10 8.65 +1.35 1.35 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

KVC Westerlo are 4.88 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
15
xG
10.12
Gap
+4.88
Sat 08/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +0.24 +1.39 +0.73 +0.57 +2.16 +4.75 +4.88 +0.24 +1.15 -0.66 -0.16 +1.59 +2.59 +0.13 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
KVC Westerlo: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1 0.76 +0.24 +0.24
Sat 15/08 KRC Genk 2 0.85 +1.15 +1.39
Sun 23/08 Lommel SK 0 0.66 -0.66 +0.73
Sun 30/08 SV Zulte Waregem 2 2.16 -0.16 +0.57
Sat 05/09 KV Mechelen 4 2.41 +1.59 +2.16
Sat 12/09 Standard Liège 4 1.41 +2.59 +4.75
Sun 20/09 Sint-Truidense VV 2 1.87 +0.13 +4.88

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

KVC Westerlo xG trend

Current form -0.24 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against KRC Genk on Sat 15/08 (-2.50).

npxG · last 6
1.47
npxGA · last 6
1.71
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -1.04 Sat 08/08 -2.50 Sat 15/08 -0.68 Sun 23/08 -0.13 Sun 30/08 +2.02 Sat 05/09 +0.19 Sat 12/09 -0.32 Sun 20/09 -0.35 season avg
KVC Westerlo: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 08/08 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.76 1.80 -1.04 -1.04
Sat 15/08 KRC Genk 0.95 3.45 -2.50 -1.77
Sun 23/08 Lommel SK 0.66 1.34 -0.68 -1.41
Sun 30/08 SV Zulte Waregem 1.38 1.51 -0.13 -1.09
Sat 05/09 KV Mechelen 2.57 0.55 +2.02 -0.47
Sat 12/09 Standard Liège 1.41 1.22 +0.19 -0.36
Sun 20/09 Sint-Truidense VV 1.87 2.19 -0.32 -0.35

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.37 npxG and 1.72 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 16 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.15 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 18

  1. Sint-Truidense VV Away +0.11
  2. Standard Liège Home −0.19
  3. KV Mechelen Away −0.34
  4. SV Zulte Waregem Home +0.11
  5. Lommel SK Away −0.43
  6. KRC Genk Away +0.33
  7. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Home +0.65

Last 5

−0.15 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 16 hardest of 18

  1. Sint-Truidense VV Away +0.11
  2. Standard Liège Home −0.19
  3. KV Mechelen Away −0.34
  4. SV Zulte Waregem Home +0.11
  5. Lommel SK Away −0.43

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

KVC Westerlo shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. KVC Westerlo take 15.3 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #6 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #12 for quality. 71% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 25% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
15.3 shots per match
#6/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
107 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#12/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
9.60 npxG from 107 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.0 shots per match
=12/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
105 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#17/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
12.06 npxGA from 105 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

71% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 76 of 107 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

78% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 82 of 105 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.3 of 9.5 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.2 of 12.1 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

KVC Westerlo home and away xG

KVC Westerlo per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.44 1.45
xGA / match 1.51 2.04
xGD / match -0.06 -0.59
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.31 1.18

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every KVC Westerlo match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.45
xGA / match
1.81
xGD / match
-0.37
Points
10 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 Sint-Truidense VV A xG 1.87 xGA 2.00 xGD -0.13
  2. Sat 12/09 Standard Liège H xG 1.41 xGA 1.22 xGD +0.19
  3. Sat 05/09 KV Mechelen A Best underlying xG 2.41 xGA 0.58 xGD +1.83
  4. Sun 30/08 SV Zulte Waregem H xG 2.16 P xGA 1.51 xGD +0.65
  5. Sun 23/08 Lommel SK A xG 0.66 xGA 1.34 xGD -0.68
  6. Sat 15/08 KRC Genk A Weakest underlying xG 0.85 xGA 4.24 P xGD -3.39
  7. Sat 08/08 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H xG 0.76 xGA 1.79 xGD -1.03

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.24. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

KVC Westerlo in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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