La Liga results 2026/2027
Every La Liga match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.
Model record
Most likely outcome landed in 16 of 38 matches (42%). The probabilities implied about 17 (45%). Brier score 0.62 (reference 0.67; lower is better). How the model works →
- Home
- Draw
- Away
Sunday, 20/09/2026
1 match-
xG 2.09 – 0.80 Draw with an xG gapPre-match probabilities→
Saturday, 19/09/2026
1 match-
xG 1.62 – 0.05 Draw with an xG gapPre-match probabilities→
Sunday, 13/09/2026
1 matchSaturday, 12/09/2026
1 matchMonday, 07/09/2026
1 matchSunday, 06/09/2026
2 matchesFriday, 04/09/2026
1 match-
xG 0.93 – 3.46 Lower-xG side wonPre-match probabilities→
Thursday, 03/09/2026
1 match-
xG 1.05 – 0.43 Draw with an xG gapNo pre-match probabilities→
Friday, 28/08/2026
1 match-
xG 0.73 – 1.74 Lower-xG side wonNo pre-match probabilities→
Monday, 24/08/2026
2 matchesSunday, 23/08/2026
1 match-
xG 0.78 – 3.60 Draw with an xG gapNo pre-match probabilities→
Thursday, 20/08/2026
1 match-
xG 0.42 – 2.00 Draw with an xG gapNo pre-match probabilities→
Monday, 17/08/2026
1 match-
xG 0.34 – 1.23 Draw with an xG gapNo pre-match probabilities→
Sunday, 16/08/2026
1 match-
xG 1.87 – 0.67 Draw with an xG gapNo pre-match probabilities→
xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.