Süper Lig

Süper Lig results 2026/2027

Every Süper Lig match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 16 of 27 matches (59%). The probabilities implied about 12 (44%). Brier score 0.60 (reference 0.63; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

4 matches

19:00

Göztepe 2

Çaykur Rizespor 2

xG 2.65 – 0.70 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→
19:00

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 3

Beşiktaş 2

xG 1.54 – 2.04 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
16:00

Erzurumspor FK 1

Samsunspor 0

xG 0.72 – 0.36 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
16:00

Fenerbahçe 8

Eyüpspor 0

xG 5.14 – 0.72 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 19/09/2026

4 matches

19:00

Başakşehir FK 4

Gençlerbirliği 0

xG 2.74 – 0.52 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
19:00

Trabzonspor 4

Galatasaray 0

xG 2.20 – 0.96 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
16:00

Kocaelispor 2

Gaziantep FK 0

xG 1.30 – 1.03 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
16:00

Çorum FK 1

Alanyaspor 2

xG 1.11 – 1.18 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Friday, 18/09/2026

1 match

19:00

Kasımpaşa 0

Konyaspor 0

xG 0.59 – 1.22 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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Monday, 14/09/2026

1 match

19:00

Gaziantep FK 0

Fenerbahçe 0

xG 0.49 – 1.34 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→

Sunday, 13/09/2026

3 matches

19:00

Galatasaray 1

Kocaelispor 0

xG 2.26 – 0.82 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
19:00

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 5

Başakşehir FK 0

xG 4.25 – 0.39 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
16:00

Gençlerbirliği 1

Kasımpaşa 2

xG 1.16 – 1.32 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Saturday, 12/09/2026

4 matches

19:00

Konyaspor 1

Trabzonspor 0

xG 1.01 – 0.83 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
19:00

Alanyaspor 2

Göztepe 2

xG 1.72 – 1.79 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
16:00

Samsunspor 1

Çorum FK 5

xG 1.23 – 1.73 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
16:00

Eyüpspor 0

Çaykur Rizespor 2

xG 1.42 – 2.05 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Friday, 11/09/2026

1 match

19:00

Beşiktaş 3

Erzurumspor FK 0

xG 2.29 – 0.50 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Monday, 07/09/2026

2 matches

19:00

Göztepe 2

Gaziantep FK 4

xG 3.26 – 1.88 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
19:00

Çaykur Rizespor 0

Alanyaspor 1

xG 1.28 – 2.07 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Sunday, 06/09/2026

4 matches

19:00

Kocaelispor 1

Samsunspor 0

xG 1.59 – 1.74 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
19:00

Trabzonspor 5

Gençlerbirliği 0

xG 3.21 – 0.86 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
16:00

Çorum FK 3

Eyüpspor 0

xG 2.58 – 0.73 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
16:00

Kasımpaşa 2

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 2

xG 1.04 – 1.11 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 05/09/2026

2 matches

19:00

Fenerbahçe 1

Beşiktaş 2

xG 0.59 – 1.75 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
16:00

Erzurumspor FK 1

Konyaspor 0

xG 1.24 – 1.56 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Friday, 04/09/2026

1 match

19:00

Başakşehir FK 2

Galatasaray 3

xG 1.99 – 2.12 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Monday, 31/08/2026

2 matches

20:30

Beşiktaş 6

Çorum FK 2

xG 2.97 – 0.67 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:30

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 2

Trabzonspor 1

xG 2.69 – 0.93 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 30/08/2026

3 matches

20:30

Başakşehir FK 1

Kasımpaşa 1

xG 0.76 – 1.69 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:30

Samsunspor 0

Fenerbahçe 2

xG 0.46 – 1.56 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:00

Eyüpspor 2

Alanyaspor 1

xG 1.48 – 0.66 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 29/08/2026

3 matches

20:30

Galatasaray 3

Göztepe 2

xG 2.87 – 0.63 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:30

Gaziantep FK 1

Çaykur Rizespor 2

xG 0.79 – 1.17 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:00

Konyaspor 1

Kocaelispor 2

xG 0.85 – 0.76 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 28/08/2026

1 match

20:30

Gençlerbirliği 1

Erzurumspor FK 1

xG 0.75 – 0.86 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 24/08/2026

1 match

20:30

Kocaelispor 2

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0

xG 1.31 – 0.60 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 23/08/2026

4 matches

20:30

Alanyaspor 1

Beşiktaş 0

xG 0.54 – 0.74 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:30

Göztepe 0

Gençlerbirliği 1

xG 1.92 – 1.56 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:00

Trabzonspor 2

Başakşehir FK 1

xG 2.27 – 1.95 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:00

Eyüpspor 0

Gaziantep FK 1

xG 0.49 – 1.16 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 22/08/2026

3 matches

20:30

Fenerbahçe 4

Konyaspor 2

xG 2.36 – 2.15 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:00

Çaykur Rizespor 0

Samsunspor 2

xG 1.85 – 0.33 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:00

Çorum FK 0

Kasımpaşa 1

xG 1.11 – 0.32 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 21/08/2026

1 match

20:30

Erzurumspor FK 0

Galatasaray 4

xG 0.48 – 3.08 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 17/08/2026

1 match

20:30

Samsunspor 3

Göztepe 3

xG 2.80 – 1.71 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 16/08/2026

3 matches

20:30

Beşiktaş 1

Eyüpspor 0

xG 1.28 – 0.09 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:30

Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 3

Erzurumspor FK 0

xG 1.50 – 0.23 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:00

Başakşehir FK 2

Kocaelispor 0

xG 1.96 – 0.43 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 15/08/2026

1 match

20:30

Gaziantep FK 1

Alanyaspor 1

xG 1.28 – 1.25 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.