xgEdge

Expected goals

Drogheda United expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Premier Division (Ireland) · after 32 matches · updated 1 Oct

Drogheda United's attacking and defensive expected goals in Premier Division (Ireland) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Drogheda United xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.16 xG per match
#9/10
Attack (xG per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.78
#2 Bohemian FC 1.63
#3 Dundalk FC 1.58
#4 Shamrock Rovers 1.41
#5 Shelbourne 1.40
#6 Waterford FC 1.40
#7 Galway United 1.35
#8 Derry City 1.18
#9 Drogheda United 1.16
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.03
League avg
1.39
Total
36.97 32 matches
Defence
1.60 xGA per match
#8/10
Defence (xGA per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.93
#2 Bohemian FC 1.10
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.14
#4 Derry City 1.18
#5 Shelbourne 1.20
#6 Galway United 1.51
#7 Dundalk FC 1.57
#8 Drogheda United 1.60
#9 Waterford FC 1.77
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.88
League avg
1.39
Total
51.20 32 matches
xG difference
-0.44 xGD per match
#9/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic +0.85
#2 Bohemian FC +0.53
#3 Shamrock Rovers +0.27
#4 Shelbourne +0.20
#5 Dundalk FC +0.01
#6 Derry City +0.01
#7 Galway United -0.16
#8 Waterford FC -0.38
#9 Drogheda United -0.44
#10 Sligo Rovers -0.85
League avg
0.00
Total
-14.23 32 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.10 xPts per match
#9/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.87
#2 Bohemian FC 1.75
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.58
#4 Shelbourne 1.48
#5 Derry City 1.37
#6 Dundalk FC 1.37
#7 Galway United 1.28
#8 Waterford FC 1.17
#9 Drogheda United 1.10
#10 Sligo Rovers 0.87
League avg
1.38
Total
35.22 vs 34 actual pts

What the xG says

Drogheda United's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Premier Division (Ireland). They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.44 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 38 goals are 1.03 above 36.97 xG, while 34 points are 1.22 below 35.22 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
38 36.97 +1.03 scored 1.03 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
51 51.20 -0.20 conceded 0.20 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
34 35.22 -1.22 1.22 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Drogheda United are 1.03 goals above their xG after 32 matches. The gap was widest at +2.58, against Waterford FC on Fri 29/05.

Goals
38
xG
36.97
Gap
+1.03
Fri 06/02 Fri 13/02 Fri 20/02 Fri 27/02 Sat 07/03 Fri 13/03 Mon 16/03 Fri 20/03 Fri 03/04 Mon 06/04 Fri 17/04 Fri 24/04 Fri 01/05 Mon 04/05 Fri 08/05 Fri 15/05 Mon 18/05 Fri 22/05 Fri 29/05 Fri 12/06 Fri 19/06 Fri 26/06 Fri 03/07 Fri 10/07 Sat 25/07 Fri 31/07 Fri 07/08 Fri 21/08 Fri 28/08 Fri 11/09 Mon 14/09 Fri 18/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.32 +1.03 +0.67 +0.15 -0.85 -1.09 -1.81 -0.12 -1.95 -1.59 -1.42 +1.38 +0.67 +0.36 +0.42 +0.55 +0.15 +0.38 +2.58 +1.54 +2.42 +2.01 -0.27 +0.48 +1.45 +0.51 -0.09 -0.48 -0.37 +0.21 +0.89 +1.03 +0.32 +0.71 -0.36 -0.52 -1.00 -0.24 -0.72 +1.69 -1.83 +0.36 +0.17 +2.80 -0.71 -0.31 +0.06 +0.13 -0.40 +0.23 +2.20 -1.04 +0.88 -0.41 -2.28 +0.75 +0.97 -0.94 -0.60 -0.39 +0.11 +0.58 +0.68 +0.14 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Drogheda United: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 06/02 Galway United 1 0.68 +0.32 +0.32
Fri 13/02 Waterford FC 2 1.29 +0.71 +1.03
Fri 20/02 Dundalk FC 1 1.36 -0.36 +0.67
Fri 27/02 Shelbourne 1 1.52 -0.52 +0.15
Sat 07/03 Sligo Rovers 1 2.00 -1.00 -0.85
Fri 13/03 St. Patrick's Athletic 1 1.24 -0.24 -1.09
Mon 16/03 Shamrock Rovers 0 0.72 -0.72 -1.81
Fri 20/03 Derry City 2 0.31 +1.69 -0.12
Fri 03/04 Bohemian FC 0 1.83 -1.83 -1.95
Mon 06/04 Galway United 2 1.64 +0.36 -1.59
Fri 17/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 1 0.83 +0.17 -1.42
Fri 24/04 Shelbourne 4 1.20 +2.80 +1.38
Fri 01/05 Sligo Rovers 1 1.71 -0.71 +0.67
Mon 04/05 Shamrock Rovers 1 1.31 -0.31 +0.36
Fri 08/05 Derry City 1 0.94 +0.06 +0.42
Fri 15/05 Bohemian FC 1 0.87 +0.13 +0.55
Mon 18/05 Waterford FC 1 1.40 -0.40 +0.15
Fri 22/05 Dundalk FC 1 0.77 +0.23 +0.38
Fri 29/05 Waterford FC 3 0.80 +2.20 +2.58
Fri 12/06 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 1.04 -1.04 +1.54
Fri 19/06 Shelbourne 2 1.12 +0.88 +2.42
Fri 26/06 Derry City 0 0.41 -0.41 +2.01
Fri 03/07 Bohemian FC 0 2.28 -2.28 -0.27
Fri 10/07 Dundalk FC 2 1.25 +0.75 +0.48
Sat 25/07 Sligo Rovers 2 1.03 +0.97 +1.45
Fri 31/07 Shamrock Rovers 0 0.94 -0.94 +0.51
Fri 07/08 Galway United 0 0.60 -0.60 -0.09
Fri 21/08 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.39 -0.39 -0.48
Fri 28/08 Dundalk FC 2 1.89 +0.11 -0.37
Fri 11/09 Sligo Rovers 2 1.42 +0.58 +0.21
Mon 14/09 Shelbourne 2 1.32 +0.68 +0.89
Fri 18/09 Bohemian FC 1 0.86 +0.14 +1.03

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Drogheda United xG trend

Current form -0.85 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 12 of 32 matches. The worst was against St. Patrick's Athletic on Fri 13/03 (-3.03).

npxG · last 6
1.08
npxGA · last 6
1.93
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -2.22 Fri 06/02 +0.44 Fri 13/02 +0.34 Fri 20/02 -1.11 Fri 27/02 +0.37 Sat 07/03 -3.03 Fri 13/03 +0.22 Mon 16/03 -0.81 Fri 20/03 +0.26 Fri 03/04 +0.81 Mon 06/04 +0.16 Fri 17/04 -0.88 Fri 24/04 +1.37 Fri 01/05 -1.35 Mon 04/05 +0.65 Fri 08/05 -1.28 Fri 15/05 -0.31 Mon 18/05 -0.19 Fri 22/05 -0.54 Fri 29/05 -0.27 Fri 12/06 -0.53 Fri 19/06 -1.04 Fri 26/06 +0.50 Fri 03/07 -0.19 Fri 10/07 -0.66 Sat 25/07 +0.18 Fri 31/07 -1.58 Fri 07/08 -1.44 Fri 21/08 -1.15 Fri 28/08 +0.20 Fri 11/09 +0.00 Mon 14/09 -1.15 Fri 18/09 -0.44 season avg
Drogheda United: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 06/02 Galway United 0.68 2.90 -2.22 -2.22
Fri 13/02 Waterford FC 1.29 0.85 +0.44 -0.89
Fri 20/02 Dundalk FC 1.36 1.02 +0.34 -0.48
Fri 27/02 Shelbourne 1.52 2.63 -1.11 -0.64
Sat 07/03 Sligo Rovers 2.00 1.63 +0.37 -0.44
Fri 13/03 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.24 4.27 -3.03 -0.87
Mon 16/03 Shamrock Rovers 0.72 0.50 +0.22 -0.71
Fri 20/03 Derry City 0.31 1.12 -0.81 -0.72
Fri 03/04 Bohemian FC 1.83 1.57 +0.26 -0.62
Mon 06/04 Galway United 1.64 0.83 +0.81 -0.47
Fri 17/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.83 0.67 +0.16 -0.42
Fri 24/04 Shelbourne 1.20 2.08 -0.88 -0.45
Fri 01/05 Sligo Rovers 1.71 0.34 +1.37 -0.31
Mon 04/05 Shamrock Rovers 1.31 2.66 -1.35 -0.39
Fri 08/05 Derry City 0.94 0.29 +0.65 -0.32
Fri 15/05 Bohemian FC 0.87 2.15 -1.28 -0.38
Mon 18/05 Waterford FC 1.40 1.71 -0.31 -0.37
Fri 22/05 Dundalk FC 0.77 0.96 -0.19 -0.36
Fri 29/05 Waterford FC 0.80 1.34 -0.54 -0.37
Fri 12/06 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.04 1.31 -0.27 -0.37
Fri 19/06 Shelbourne 1.12 1.65 -0.53 -0.38
Fri 26/06 Derry City 0.41 1.45 -1.04 -0.41
Fri 03/07 Bohemian FC 2.28 1.78 +0.50 -0.37
Fri 10/07 Dundalk FC 1.25 1.44 -0.19 -0.36
Sat 25/07 Sligo Rovers 1.03 1.69 -0.66 -0.37
Fri 31/07 Shamrock Rovers 0.94 0.76 +0.18 -0.35
Fri 07/08 Galway United 0.60 2.18 -1.58 -0.40
Fri 21/08 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.39 1.83 -1.44 -0.43
Fri 28/08 Dundalk FC 1.89 3.04 -1.15 -0.46
Fri 11/09 Sligo Rovers 1.42 1.22 +0.20 -0.44
Mon 14/09 Shelbourne 1.32 1.32 +0.00 -0.42
Fri 18/09 Bohemian FC 0.86 2.01 -1.15 -0.44

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.16 npxG and 1.60 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 2 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 32 league matches
Last 5
number 4 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
+0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 32 matches · number 2 hardest of 10

  1. Bohemian FC Away +0.42
  2. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  3. Sligo Rovers Home −0.77
  4. Dundalk FC Home −0.01
  5. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  6. Galway United Away −0.34
  7. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.20
  8. Sligo Rovers Away −0.77
  9. Dundalk FC Away −0.01
  10. Bohemian FC Home +0.42
  11. Derry City Away +0.14
  12. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  13. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  14. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  15. Dundalk FC Home −0.01
  16. Waterford FC Away +0.09
  17. Bohemian FC Away +0.42
  18. Derry City Home +0.14
  19. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.20
  20. Sligo Rovers Home −0.77
  21. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  22. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  23. Galway United Home −0.34
  24. Bohemian FC Home +0.42
  25. Derry City Away +0.14
  26. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.20
  27. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  28. Sligo Rovers Away −0.77
  29. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  30. Dundalk FC Away −0.01
  31. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  32. Galway United Away −0.34

Last 5

+0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 10

  1. Bohemian FC Away +0.42
  2. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  3. Sligo Rovers Home −0.77
  4. Dundalk FC Home −0.01
  5. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Drogheda United shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Drogheda United take 10.9 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #9 in Premier Division (Ireland) for volume and #3 for quality. 69% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.9 shots per match
#9/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 17.3
#2 Bohemian FC 16.7
#3 Dundalk FC 16.3
#4 Shelbourne 14.1
#5 Shamrock Rovers 13.8
#6 Derry City 13.7
#7 Waterford FC 13.4
#8 Galway United 12.2
#9 Drogheda United 10.9
#10 Sligo Rovers 9.7
League avg
13.8
Total
350 shots from 32 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#3/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Galway United 0.11
#2 Sligo Rovers 0.11
#3 Drogheda United 0.11
#4 Waterford FC 0.10
#5 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Shelbourne 0.10
#8 Bohemian FC 0.10
#9 Dundalk FC 0.10
#10 Derry City 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
36.97 npxG from 350 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.4 shots per match
#7/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bohemian FC 10.0
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 10.3
#3 Shamrock Rovers 11.0
#4 Derry City 11.2
#5 Shelbourne 12.2
#6 Dundalk FC 13.9
#7 Drogheda United 15.4
#8 Galway United 16.4
#9 Waterford FC 17.6
#10 Sligo Rovers 19.3
League avg
13.8
Total
493 shots allowed from 32 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#7/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#2 Galway United 0.09
#3 Sligo Rovers 0.10
#4 Shelbourne 0.10
#5 Waterford FC 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Drogheda United 0.10
#8 Derry City 0.11
#9 Bohemian FC 0.11
#10 Dundalk FC 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
51.20 npxGA from 493 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

69% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 241 of 350 shots over 32 matches

Shots allowed, location

57% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 283 of 493 shots allowed over 32 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Drogheda United home and away xG

Drogheda United per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 16
xG / match 1.26 1.06
xGA / match 1.27 1.93
xGD / match -0.01 -0.88
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.39 0.81

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Drogheda United match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
32
xG / match
1.16
xGA / match
1.60
xGD / match
-0.44
Points
34 of 96
  1. Fri 18/09 Bohemian FC A xG 0.86 xGA 2.01 xGD -1.15
  2. Mon 14/09 Shelbourne A xG 1.32 xGA 1.32 xGD +0.00
  3. Fri 11/09 Sligo Rovers H xG 1.42 xGA 1.22 xGD +0.20
  4. Fri 28/08 Dundalk FC H xG 1.89 xGA 3.04 xGD -1.15
  5. Fri 21/08 St. Patrick's Athletic H xG 0.39 xGA 1.83 xGD -1.44
  6. Fri 07/08 Galway United A xG 0.60 xGA 2.18 xGD -1.58
  7. Fri 31/07 Shamrock Rovers H xG 0.94 xGA 0.76 xGD +0.18
  8. Sat 25/07 Sligo Rovers A xG 1.03 xGA 1.69 xGD -0.66
  9. Fri 10/07 Dundalk FC A xG 1.25 xGA 1.44 xGD -0.19
  10. Fri 03/07 Bohemian FC H xG 2.28 xGA 1.78 xGD +0.50
  11. Fri 26/06 Derry City A xG 0.41 xGA 1.45 xGD -1.04
  12. Fri 19/06 Shelbourne H xG 1.12 xGA 1.65 xGD -0.53
  13. Fri 12/06 St. Patrick's Athletic A xG 1.04 xGA 1.31 xGD -0.27
  14. Fri 29/05 Waterford FC H xG 0.80 xGA 1.34 xGD -0.54
  15. Fri 22/05 Dundalk FC H xG 0.77 xGA 0.96 xGD -0.19
  16. Mon 18/05 Waterford FC A xG 1.40 xGA 1.71 xGD -0.31
  17. Fri 15/05 Bohemian FC A xG 0.87 xGA 2.15 xGD -1.28
  18. Fri 08/05 Derry City H xG 0.94 xGA 0.29 xGD +0.65
  19. Mon 04/05 Shamrock Rovers A xG 1.31 xGA 2.66 xGD -1.35
  20. Fri 01/05 Sligo Rovers H Best underlying xG 1.71 xGA 0.34 xGD +1.37
  21. Fri 24/04 Shelbourne A xG 1.20 xGA 2.08 xGD -0.88
  22. Fri 17/04 St. Patrick's Athletic H xG 0.83 xGA 0.67 xGD +0.16
  23. Mon 06/04 Galway United H xG 1.64 xGA 0.83 xGD +0.81
  24. Fri 03/04 Bohemian FC H xG 1.83 xGA 1.57 xGD +0.26
  25. Fri 20/03 Derry City A xG 0.31 xGA 1.12 xGD -0.81
  26. Mon 16/03 Shamrock Rovers H xG 0.72 xGA 0.50 xGD +0.22
  27. Fri 13/03 St. Patrick's Athletic A Weakest underlying xG 1.24 xGA 4.27 xGD -3.03
  28. Sat 07/03 Sligo Rovers A xG 2.00 xGA 1.63 xGD +0.37
  29. Fri 27/02 Shelbourne H xG 1.52 xGA 2.63 xGD -1.11
  30. Fri 20/02 Dundalk FC A xG 1.36 xGA 1.02 xGD +0.34
  31. Fri 13/02 Waterford FC H xG 1.29 xGA 0.85 xGD +0.44
  32. Fri 06/02 Galway United A Against the chances xG 0.68 xGA 2.90 xGD -2.22

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.27. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Drogheda United in Premier Division (Ireland)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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