xgEdge

Expected goals

Shelbourne expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Premier Division (Ireland) · after 32 matches · updated 1 Oct

Shelbourne's attacking and defensive expected goals in Premier Division (Ireland) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Shelbourne xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.40 xG per match
#5/10
Attack (xG per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.78
#2 Bohemian FC 1.63
#3 Dundalk FC 1.58
#4 Shamrock Rovers 1.41
#5 Shelbourne 1.40
#6 Waterford FC 1.40
#7 Galway United 1.35
#8 Derry City 1.18
#9 Drogheda United 1.16
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.03
League avg
1.39
Total
44.72 32 matches
Defence
1.20 xGA per match
#5/10
Defence (xGA per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.93
#2 Bohemian FC 1.10
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.14
#4 Derry City 1.18
#5 Shelbourne 1.20
#6 Galway United 1.51
#7 Dundalk FC 1.57
#8 Drogheda United 1.60
#9 Waterford FC 1.77
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.88
League avg
1.39
Total
38.42 32 matches
xG difference
+0.20 xGD per match
#4/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic +0.85
#2 Bohemian FC +0.53
#3 Shamrock Rovers +0.27
#4 Shelbourne +0.20
#5 Dundalk FC +0.01
#6 Derry City +0.01
#7 Galway United -0.16
#8 Waterford FC -0.38
#9 Drogheda United -0.44
#10 Sligo Rovers -0.85
League avg
0.00
Total
+6.30 32 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.48 xPts per match
#4/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.87
#2 Bohemian FC 1.75
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.58
#4 Shelbourne 1.48
#5 Derry City 1.37
#6 Dundalk FC 1.37
#7 Galway United 1.28
#8 Waterford FC 1.17
#9 Drogheda United 1.10
#10 Sligo Rovers 0.87
League avg
1.38
Total
47.31 vs 40 actual pts

What the xG says

Shelbourne's underlying numbers are among the best in Premier Division (Ireland). They rank #4 for xG difference at +0.20 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 42 goals are 2.72 below 44.72 xG, while 40 points are 7.31 below 47.31 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
42 44.72 -2.72 scored 2.72 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
45 38.42 +6.58 conceded 6.58 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
40 47.31 -7.31 7.31 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Shelbourne are 2.72 goals below their xG after 32 matches. The gap was widest at -3.94, against Drogheda United on Mon 14/09.

Goals
42
xG
44.72
Gap
-2.72
Fri 06/02 Fri 20/02 Fri 27/02 Fri 06/03 Mon 09/03 Fri 13/03 Mon 16/03 Sat 21/03 Fri 03/04 Mon 06/04 Fri 17/04 Fri 24/04 Fri 01/05 Mon 04/05 Fri 08/05 Fri 15/05 Fri 22/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Fri 12/06 Fri 19/06 Mon 22/06 Sat 27/06 Fri 03/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Fri 28/08 Fri 04/09 Fri 11/09 Mon 14/09 Fri 18/09 Fri 25/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.88 -2.15 -2.78 -2.51 -1.76 -0.81 -1.22 -0.91 -0.91 +0.86 +0.04 +0.96 +1.73 +2.53 +0.69 +0.89 +0.31 +0.27 -1.56 -0.05 +0.30 -0.08 +0.80 +0.87 -0.60 -0.72 -1.98 -2.80 -3.62 -3.94 -3.12 -2.72 -0.88 -1.27 -0.63 +0.27 +0.75 +0.95 -0.41 +0.31 +0.00 +1.77 -0.82 +0.92 +0.77 +0.80 -1.84 +0.20 -0.58 -0.04 -1.83 +1.51 +0.35 -0.38 +0.88 +0.07 -1.47 -0.12 -1.26 -0.82 -0.82 -0.32 +0.82 +0.40 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Shelbourne: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 06/02 Waterford FC 1 1.88 -0.88 -0.88
Fri 20/02 Galway United 1 2.27 -1.27 -2.15
Fri 27/02 Drogheda United 2 2.63 -0.63 -2.78
Fri 06/03 St. Patrick's Athletic 2 1.73 +0.27 -2.51
Mon 09/03 Shamrock Rovers 2 1.25 +0.75 -1.76
Fri 13/03 Derry City 2 1.05 +0.95 -0.81
Mon 16/03 Bohemian FC 0 0.41 -0.41 -1.22
Sat 21/03 Sligo Rovers 1 0.69 +0.31 -0.91
Fri 03/04 Dundalk FC 2 2.00 +0.00 -0.91
Mon 06/04 Shamrock Rovers 2 0.23 +1.77 +0.86
Fri 17/04 Derry City 1 1.82 -0.82 +0.04
Fri 24/04 Drogheda United 3 2.08 +0.92 +0.96
Fri 01/05 Dundalk FC 2 1.23 +0.77 +1.73
Mon 04/05 Bohemian FC 2 1.20 +0.80 +2.53
Fri 08/05 Sligo Rovers 0 1.84 -1.84 +0.69
Fri 15/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 1 0.80 +0.20 +0.89
Fri 22/05 Waterford FC 2 2.58 -0.58 +0.31
Mon 25/05 Derry City 0 0.04 -0.04 +0.27
Fri 29/05 Galway United 1 2.83 -1.83 -1.56
Fri 12/06 Shamrock Rovers 2 0.49 +1.51 -0.05
Fri 19/06 Drogheda United 2 1.65 +0.35 +0.30
Mon 22/06 Bohemian FC 0 0.38 -0.38 -0.08
Sat 27/06 Sligo Rovers 2 1.12 +0.88 +0.80
Fri 03/07 Dundalk FC 2 1.93 +0.07 +0.87
Sun 02/08 Waterford FC 0 1.47 -1.47 -0.60
Sun 09/08 St. Patrick's Athletic 1 1.12 -0.12 -0.72
Fri 28/08 Galway United 1 2.26 -1.26 -1.98
Fri 04/09 Shamrock Rovers 0 0.82 -0.82 -2.80
Fri 11/09 Derry City 0 0.82 -0.82 -3.62
Mon 14/09 Drogheda United 1 1.32 -0.32 -3.94
Fri 18/09 Dundalk FC 3 2.18 +0.82 -3.12
Fri 25/09 Galway United 1 0.60 +0.40 -2.72

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Shelbourne xG trend

Current form +0.12 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 17 of 32 matches. The worst was against St. Patrick's Athletic on Sun 09/08 (-2.03).

npxG · last 6
1.33
npxGA · last 6
1.22
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +1.49 Fri 06/02 +1.79 Fri 20/02 +1.11 Fri 27/02 +0.42 Fri 06/03 -0.40 Mon 09/03 +0.12 Fri 13/03 -0.10 Mon 16/03 -0.39 Sat 21/03 +0.62 Fri 03/04 -1.35 Mon 06/04 +1.10 Fri 17/04 +0.88 Fri 24/04 -0.75 Fri 01/05 +0.28 Mon 04/05 +1.51 Fri 08/05 +0.15 Fri 15/05 +2.31 Fri 22/05 -0.98 Mon 25/05 +1.04 Fri 29/05 -0.97 Fri 12/06 +0.53 Fri 19/06 -0.87 Mon 22/06 -0.69 Sat 27/06 +0.98 Fri 03/07 -0.20 Sun 02/08 -2.03 Sun 09/08 +1.72 Fri 28/08 -0.83 Fri 04/09 -0.23 Fri 11/09 +0.00 Mon 14/09 +1.00 Fri 18/09 -0.96 Fri 25/09 +0.20 season avg
Shelbourne: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 06/02 Waterford FC 1.88 0.39 +1.49 +1.49
Fri 20/02 Galway United 2.27 0.48 +1.79 +1.64
Fri 27/02 Drogheda United 2.63 1.52 +1.11 +1.46
Fri 06/03 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.73 1.31 +0.42 +1.20
Mon 09/03 Shamrock Rovers 1.25 1.65 -0.40 +0.88
Fri 13/03 Derry City 1.05 0.93 +0.12 +0.76
Mon 16/03 Bohemian FC 0.41 0.51 -0.10 +0.63
Sat 21/03 Sligo Rovers 0.69 1.08 -0.39 +0.51
Fri 03/04 Dundalk FC 2.00 1.38 +0.62 +0.52
Mon 06/04 Shamrock Rovers 0.23 1.58 -1.35 +0.33
Fri 17/04 Derry City 1.82 0.72 +1.10 +0.40
Fri 24/04 Drogheda United 2.08 1.20 +0.88 +0.44
Fri 01/05 Dundalk FC 1.23 1.98 -0.75 +0.35
Mon 04/05 Bohemian FC 1.20 0.92 +0.28 +0.34
Fri 08/05 Sligo Rovers 1.84 0.33 +1.51 +0.42
Fri 15/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.80 0.65 +0.15 +0.41
Fri 22/05 Waterford FC 2.58 0.27 +2.31 +0.52
Mon 25/05 Derry City 0.04 1.02 -0.98 +0.43
Fri 29/05 Galway United 2.83 1.79 +1.04 +0.47
Fri 12/06 Shamrock Rovers 0.49 1.46 -0.97 +0.39
Fri 19/06 Drogheda United 1.65 1.12 +0.53 +0.40
Mon 22/06 Bohemian FC 0.38 1.25 -0.87 +0.34
Sat 27/06 Sligo Rovers 1.12 1.81 -0.69 +0.30
Fri 03/07 Dundalk FC 1.93 0.95 +0.98 +0.33
Sun 02/08 Waterford FC 1.47 1.67 -0.20 +0.31
Sun 09/08 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.12 3.15 -2.03 +0.22
Fri 28/08 Galway United 2.26 0.54 +1.72 +0.27
Fri 04/09 Shamrock Rovers 0.82 1.65 -0.83 +0.23
Fri 11/09 Derry City 0.82 1.05 -0.23 +0.22
Mon 14/09 Drogheda United 1.32 1.32 +0.00 +0.21
Fri 18/09 Dundalk FC 2.18 1.18 +1.00 +0.23
Fri 25/09 Galway United 0.60 1.56 -0.96 +0.20

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.40 npxG and 1.20 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 8 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 32 league matches
Last 5
number 8 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
−0.07 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 32 matches · number 8 hardest of 10

  1. Galway United Away −0.34
  2. Dundalk FC Away −0.01
  3. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  4. Derry City Home +0.14
  5. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.20
  6. Galway United Away −0.34
  7. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  8. Waterford FC Away +0.09
  9. Dundalk FC Home −0.01
  10. Sligo Rovers Away −0.77
  11. Bohemian FC Home +0.42
  12. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  13. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.20
  14. Galway United Home −0.34
  15. Derry City Away +0.14
  16. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  17. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  18. Sligo Rovers Home −0.77
  19. Bohemian FC Away +0.42
  20. Dundalk FC Away −0.01
  21. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  22. Derry City Home +0.14
  23. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.20
  24. Dundalk FC Home −0.01
  25. Sligo Rovers Away −0.77
  26. Bohemian FC Home +0.42
  27. Derry City Away +0.14
  28. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.20
  29. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  30. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  31. Galway United Home −0.34
  32. Waterford FC Away +0.09

Last 5

−0.07 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 8 hardest of 10

  1. Galway United Away −0.34
  2. Dundalk FC Away −0.01
  3. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  4. Derry City Home +0.14
  5. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.20

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Shelbourne shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Shelbourne take 14.1 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #4 in Premier Division (Ireland) for volume and #7 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.1 shots per match
#4/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 17.3
#2 Bohemian FC 16.7
#3 Dundalk FC 16.3
#4 Shelbourne 14.1
#5 Shamrock Rovers 13.8
#6 Derry City 13.7
#7 Waterford FC 13.4
#8 Galway United 12.2
#9 Drogheda United 10.9
#10 Sligo Rovers 9.7
League avg
13.8
Total
451 shots from 32 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#7/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Galway United 0.11
#2 Sligo Rovers 0.11
#3 Drogheda United 0.11
#4 Waterford FC 0.10
#5 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Shelbourne 0.10
#8 Bohemian FC 0.10
#9 Dundalk FC 0.10
#10 Derry City 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
44.72 npxG from 451 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.2 shots per match
#5/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bohemian FC 10.0
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 10.3
#3 Shamrock Rovers 11.0
#4 Derry City 11.2
#5 Shelbourne 12.2
#6 Dundalk FC 13.9
#7 Drogheda United 15.4
#8 Galway United 16.4
#9 Waterford FC 17.6
#10 Sligo Rovers 19.3
League avg
13.8
Total
390 shots allowed from 32 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#4/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#2 Galway United 0.09
#3 Sligo Rovers 0.10
#4 Shelbourne 0.10
#5 Waterford FC 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Drogheda United 0.10
#8 Derry City 0.11
#9 Bohemian FC 0.11
#10 Dundalk FC 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
38.42 npxGA from 390 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 276 of 451 shots over 32 matches

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 237 of 390 shots allowed over 32 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Shelbourne home and away xG

Shelbourne per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 16
xG / match 1.55 1.24
xGA / match 1.18 1.23
xGD / match +0.38 +0.02
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.62 1.33

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Shelbourne match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
32
xG / match
1.40
xGA / match
1.20
xGD / match
+0.20
Points
40 of 96
  1. Fri 25/09 Galway United A xG 0.60 xGA 1.56 xGD -0.96
  2. Fri 18/09 Dundalk FC A xG 2.18 xGA 1.18 xGD +1.00
  3. Mon 14/09 Drogheda United H xG 1.32 xGA 1.32 xGD +0.00
  4. Fri 11/09 Derry City H xG 0.82 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.23
  5. Fri 04/09 Shamrock Rovers A xG 0.82 xGA 1.65 xGD -0.83
  6. Fri 28/08 Galway United A xG 2.26 xGA 0.54 xGD +1.72
  7. Sun 09/08 St. Patrick's Athletic H Weakest underlying xG 1.12 xGA 3.15 xGD -2.03
  8. Sun 02/08 Waterford FC A xG 1.47 xGA 1.67 xGD -0.20
  9. Fri 03/07 Dundalk FC H xG 1.93 xGA 0.95 xGD +0.98
  10. Sat 27/06 Sligo Rovers A xG 1.12 xGA 1.81 xGD -0.69
  11. Mon 22/06 Bohemian FC H xG 0.38 xGA 1.25 xGD -0.87
  12. Fri 19/06 Drogheda United A xG 1.65 xGA 1.12 xGD +0.53
  13. Fri 12/06 Shamrock Rovers H xG 0.49 xGA 1.46 xGD -0.97
  14. Fri 29/05 Galway United H xG 2.83 xGA 1.79 xGD +1.04
  15. Mon 25/05 Derry City A xG 0.04 xGA 1.02 xGD -0.98
  16. Fri 22/05 Waterford FC H Best underlying xG 2.58 xGA 0.27 xGD +2.31
  17. Fri 15/05 St. Patrick's Athletic A xG 0.80 xGA 0.65 xGD +0.15
  18. Fri 08/05 Sligo Rovers H xG 1.84 xGA 0.33 xGD +1.51
  19. Mon 04/05 Bohemian FC A xG 1.20 xGA 0.92 xGD +0.28
  20. Fri 01/05 Dundalk FC A xG 1.23 xGA 1.98 xGD -0.75
  21. Fri 24/04 Drogheda United H xG 2.08 xGA 1.20 xGD +0.88
  22. Fri 17/04 Derry City H Against the chances xG 1.82 xGA 0.72 xGD +1.10
  23. Mon 06/04 Shamrock Rovers A xG 0.23 xGA 1.58 xGD -1.35
  24. Fri 03/04 Dundalk FC H xG 2.00 xGA 1.38 xGD +0.62
  25. Sat 21/03 Sligo Rovers A xG 0.69 xGA 1.08 xGD -0.39
  26. Mon 16/03 Bohemian FC H xG 0.41 xGA 0.51 xGD -0.10
  27. Fri 13/03 Derry City A xG 1.05 xGA 0.93 xGD +0.12
  28. Mon 09/03 Shamrock Rovers H xG 1.25 xGA 1.65 xGD -0.40
  29. Fri 06/03 St. Patrick's Athletic H xG 1.73 xGA 1.31 xGD +0.42
  30. Fri 27/02 Drogheda United A xG 2.63 xGA 1.52 xGD +1.11
  31. Fri 20/02 Galway United H xG 2.27 xGA 0.48 xGD +1.79
  32. Fri 06/02 Waterford FC A xG 1.88 xGA 0.39 xGD +1.49

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.15. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Shelbourne in Premier Division (Ireland)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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