xgEdge

Expected goals

Norwich City expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Championship · after 11 matches · updated 21 Oct

Norwich City's attacking and defensive expected goals in Championship 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Norwich City xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.47 xG per match
#10/24
Attack (xG per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 West Ham United 2.16
#2 Middlesbrough 1.98
#3 Cardiff City 1.88
#4 Millwall 1.85
#5 Southampton 1.83
#6 Birmingham City 1.77
#7 Wolverhampton 1.71
#8 Swansea City 1.60
#9 Queens Park Rangers 1.50
#10 Norwich City 1.47
#11 Bolton Wanderers 1.40
#12 Portsmouth 1.35
#13 Bristol City 1.32
#14 West Bromwich Albion 1.29
#15 Lincoln City 1.25
#16 Preston North End 1.24
#17 Burnley 1.23
#18 Watford 1.13
#19 Wrexham 1.12
#20 Sheffield United 1.06
#21 Charlton Athletic 1.00
#22 Blackburn Rovers 0.98
#23 Derby County 0.96
#24 Stoke City 0.90
League avg
1.42
Total
16.12 11 matches
Defence
1.60 xGA per match
#17/24
Defence (xGA per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Wolverhampton 0.99
#2 Middlesbrough 1.02
#3 Swansea City 1.14
#4 Portsmouth 1.17
=5 West Ham United 1.18
=5 Wrexham 1.18
#7 Queens Park Rangers 1.20
#8 Birmingham City 1.23
#9 Southampton 1.31
#10 Bristol City 1.35
#11 Millwall 1.37
#12 Lincoln City 1.37
#13 West Bromwich Albion 1.44
#14 Preston North End 1.46
#15 Sheffield United 1.49
#16 Charlton Athletic 1.57
#17 Norwich City 1.60
#18 Burnley 1.62
#19 Cardiff City 1.63
#20 Derby County 1.65
#21 Bolton Wanderers 1.69
#22 Stoke City 1.71
#23 Blackburn Rovers 1.72
#24 Watford 1.88
League avg
1.42
Total
17.62 11 matches
xG difference
-0.14 xGD per match
#14/24
xG difference (xGD per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 West Ham United +0.99
#2 Middlesbrough +0.96
#3 Wolverhampton +0.73
#4 Birmingham City +0.53
#5 Southampton +0.53
#6 Millwall +0.48
#7 Swansea City +0.46
#8 Queens Park Rangers +0.30
#9 Cardiff City +0.25
#10 Portsmouth +0.18
#11 Bristol City -0.03
#12 Wrexham -0.05
#13 Lincoln City -0.13
#14 Norwich City -0.14
#15 West Bromwich Albion -0.15
#16 Preston North End -0.22
#17 Bolton Wanderers -0.30
#18 Burnley -0.40
#19 Sheffield United -0.43
#20 Charlton Athletic -0.57
#21 Derby County -0.69
#22 Blackburn Rovers -0.74
#23 Watford -0.75
#24 Stoke City -0.81
League avg
0.00
Total
-1.50 11 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.26 xPts per match
#14/24
Expected points (xPts per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Middlesbrough 2.03
#2 Wolverhampton 1.90
#3 West Ham United 1.89
#4 Birmingham City 1.75
#5 Southampton 1.73
#6 Millwall 1.68
#7 Swansea City 1.63
#8 Queens Park Rangers 1.61
#9 Cardiff City 1.51
#10 Portsmouth 1.51
#11 Bristol City 1.44
#12 Wrexham 1.40
#13 Lincoln City 1.37
#14 Norwich City 1.26
#15 West Bromwich Albion 1.25
#16 Preston North End 1.20
#17 Bolton Wanderers 1.15
#18 Derby County 1.07
#19 Sheffield United 1.07
#20 Burnley 1.05
#21 Charlton Athletic 1.00
#22 Stoke City 0.91
#23 Blackburn Rovers 0.89
#24 Watford 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
13.86 vs 9 actual pts

What the xG says

Norwich City's underlying numbers sit close to the Championship average. They rank #14 for xG difference at -0.14 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 17 goals are 0.88 above 16.12 xG, while 9 points are 4.86 below 13.86 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.26 xG from penalties
17 16.12 +0.88 scored 0.88 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
21 17.62 +3.38 conceded 3.38 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
9 13.86 -4.86 4.86 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Norwich City are 0.88 goals above their xG after 11 matches. The gap was widest at +2.24, against Swansea City on Sat 10/10.

Goals
17
xG
16.12
Gap
+0.88
Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Tue 01/09 Sat 05/09 Wed 09/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 Sat 10/10 Wed 14/10 Sat 17/10 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -1.96 -2.98 -1.28 -2.72 -2.76 -1.77 -0.39 +1.92 +2.24 +1.17 +0.88 -1.96 -1.02 +1.70 -1.44 -0.04 +0.99 +1.38 +2.31 +0.32 -1.07 -0.29 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Norwich City: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 15/08 West Bromwich Albion 1 2.96 -1.96 -1.96
Sat 22/08 Millwall 0 1.02 -1.02 -2.98
Sat 29/08 Burnley 4 2.30 +1.70 -1.28
Tue 01/09 Stoke City 0 1.44 -1.44 -2.72
Sat 05/09 Sheffield United 3 3.04 -0.04 -2.76
Wed 09/09 Birmingham City 2 1.01 +0.99 -1.77
Sat 12/09 Middlesbrough 3 1.62 +1.38 -0.39
Sun 20/09 Bolton Wanderers 3 0.69 +2.31 +1.92
Sat 10/10 Swansea City 1 0.68 +0.32 +2.24
Wed 14/10 Southampton 0 1.07 -1.07 +1.17
Sat 17/10 Portsmouth 0 0.29 -0.29 +0.88

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Norwich City xG trend

Current form -0.94 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 11 matches. The worst was against Millwall on Sat 22/08 (-1.91).

npxG · last 6
0.86
npxGA · last 6
1.79
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.35 Sat 15/08 -1.91 Sat 22/08 +0.97 Sat 29/08 +1.06 Tue 01/09 +0.76 Sat 05/09 -0.97 Wed 09/09 -0.45 Sat 12/09 +0.10 Sun 20/09 -1.62 Sat 10/10 -1.78 Wed 14/10 -0.90 Sat 17/10 -0.31 season avg
Norwich City: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 15/08 West Bromwich Albion 2.82 1.47 +1.35 +1.35
Sat 22/08 Millwall 1.20 3.11 -1.91 -0.28
Sat 29/08 Burnley 1.92 0.95 +0.97 +0.14
Tue 01/09 Stoke City 1.30 0.24 +1.06 +0.37
Sat 05/09 Sheffield United 1.48 0.72 +0.76 +0.45
Wed 09/09 Birmingham City 0.82 1.79 -0.97 +0.21
Sat 12/09 Middlesbrough 1.62 2.07 -0.45 +0.12
Sun 20/09 Bolton Wanderers 0.78 0.68 +0.10 +0.11
Sat 10/10 Swansea City 0.55 2.17 -1.62 -0.08
Wed 14/10 Southampton 1.08 2.86 -1.78 -0.25
Sat 17/10 Portsmouth 0.29 1.19 -0.90 -0.31

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.26 npxG and 1.57 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 3 hardest of 24 in Championship
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 11 league matches
Last 5
number 1 hardest of 24 in Championship
+0.23 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 11 matches · number 3 hardest of 24

  1. Portsmouth Home +0.11
  2. Southampton Home +0.19
  3. Swansea City Away +0.14
  4. Bolton Wanderers Home −0.05
  5. Middlesbrough Away +0.74
  6. Birmingham City Home +0.22
  7. Sheffield United Away −0.31
  8. Stoke City Away −0.44
  9. Burnley Home −0.08
  10. Millwall Away +0.22
  11. West Bromwich Albion Home −0.01

Last 5

+0.23 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 24

  1. Portsmouth Home +0.11
  2. Southampton Home +0.19
  3. Swansea City Away +0.14
  4. Bolton Wanderers Home −0.05
  5. Middlesbrough Away +0.74

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Norwich City shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Norwich City take 13.9 shots a match (league 13.5) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in Championship for volume and #16 for quality. 60% of their shots come from inside the box (league 67%), and set pieces produce 17% of their npxG (league 28%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.9 shots per match
#11/24
Shot volume (shots per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Middlesbrough 19.1
#2 Cardiff City 17.2
#3 West Ham United 16.3
#4 Wolverhampton 16.2
#5 Portsmouth 15.3
#6 Southampton 15.2
#7 Queens Park Rangers 15.1
=8 Burnley 14.3
=8 Millwall 14.3
#10 Bristol City 14.0
#11 Norwich City 13.9
#12 Bolton Wanderers 13.8
#13 Birmingham City 13.7
#14 Watford 13.0
#15 Derby County 12.7
=16 Preston North End 12.1
=16 Swansea City 12.1
=18 Lincoln City 11.5
=18 West Bromwich Albion 11.5
=20 Stoke City 11.4
=20 Wrexham 11.4
#22 Blackburn Rovers 11.2
#23 Charlton Athletic 10.2
#24 Sheffield United 9.4
League avg
13.5
Total
153 shots from 11 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#16/24
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Championship, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Swansea City 0.13
#2 Millwall 0.12
#3 Birmingham City 0.12
#4 West Ham United 0.12
#5 Southampton 0.11
#6 Sheffield United 0.11
#7 Middlesbrough 0.10
#8 Charlton Athletic 0.10
#9 Cardiff City 0.10
#10 Wrexham 0.10
#11 Wolverhampton 0.10
#12 West Bromwich Albion 0.10
#13 Preston North End 0.09
#14 Queens Park Rangers 0.09
#15 Lincoln City 0.09
#16 Norwich City 0.09
#17 Bristol City 0.09
#18 Bolton Wanderers 0.09
#19 Watford 0.08
#20 Blackburn Rovers 0.08
#21 Portsmouth 0.08
#22 Burnley 0.08
#23 Derby County 0.07
#24 Stoke City 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
13.86 npxG from 153 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.5 shots per match
#11/24
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Championship, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Swansea City 10.8
#2 Wolverhampton 10.9
=3 Middlesbrough 11.0
=3 Portsmouth 11.0
=5 West Bromwich Albion 11.5
=5 West Ham United 11.5
#7 Wrexham 11.6
=8 Birmingham City 11.7
=8 Queens Park Rangers 11.7
#10 Bristol City 12.0
#11 Norwich City 12.5
#12 Bolton Wanderers 12.8
#13 Millwall 13.5
#14 Burnley 14.1
#15 Derby County 14.2
#16 Southampton 14.7
#17 Cardiff City 15.1
#18 Preston North End 15.8
=19 Sheffield United 15.9
=19 Watford 15.9
#21 Stoke City 16.2
#22 Lincoln City 16.4
#23 Blackburn Rovers 16.8
#24 Charlton Athletic 17.1
League avg
13.5
Total
137 shots allowed from 11 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#23/24
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Championship, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Southampton 0.08
#2 Charlton Athletic 0.08
#3 Lincoln City 0.08
#4 Blackburn Rovers 0.08
#5 Wolverhampton 0.08
#6 Sheffield United 0.09
#7 West Ham United 0.09
#8 Preston North End 0.09
#9 Millwall 0.09
#10 Middlesbrough 0.09
#11 Stoke City 0.09
#12 Swansea City 0.09
#13 Wrexham 0.09
#14 Cardiff City 0.10
#15 Bristol City 0.10
#16 Portsmouth 0.10
#17 Queens Park Rangers 0.10
#18 Birmingham City 0.10
#19 Burnley 0.10
#20 Watford 0.11
#21 Derby County 0.11
#22 West Bromwich Albion 0.12
#23 Norwich City 0.13
#24 Bolton Wanderers 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
17.25 npxGA from 137 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

60% inside the box

League avg 67%

From 92 of 153 shots over 11 matches

Shots allowed, location

70% allowed inside the box

League avg 67%

From 96 of 137 shots allowed over 11 matches

Where the npxG comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 28% set pieces

From 2.4 of 13.8 npxG over 11 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

86% open play · 14% set pieces

League avg 28% set pieces

From 2.3 of 16.5 npxG allowed over 11 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Norwich City home and away xG

Norwich City per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 6 5
xG / match 1.39 1.56
xGA / match 1.58 1.63
xGD / match -0.20 -0.07
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.16 1.38

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Norwich City match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
6
xG / match
1.39
xGA / match
1.58
xGD / match
-0.19
Points
6 of 18
  1. Sat 17/10 Portsmouth H xG 0.29 xGA 1.19 xGD -0.90
  2. Wed 14/10 Southampton H Weakest underlying xG 1.07 xGA 2.34 xGD -1.27
  3. Sun 20/09 Bolton Wanderers H xG 0.69 xGA 1.10 xGD -0.41
  4. Wed 09/09 Birmingham City H xG 1.01 xGA 1.63 xGD -0.62
  5. Sat 29/08 Burnley H xG 2.30 xGA 1.38 xGD +0.92
  6. Sat 15/08 West Bromwich Albion H Against the chances xG 2.96 xGA 1.85 xGD +1.11

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Norwich City in Championship

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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