Russian Premier League

Russian Premier League results 2026/2027

Every Russian Premier League match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 8 of 24 matches (33%). The probabilities implied about 11 (46%). Brier score 0.70 (reference 0.66; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Thursday, 17/09/2026

4 matches

19:45

Dinamo Makhachkala 1

CSKA Moscow 3

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
17:30

Akron Togliatti 2

Akhmat Grozny 0

Pre-match probabilities

→
17:30

FC Rostov 0

Dynamo Moscow 3

Pre-match probabilities

→
15:15

Orenburg 0

FK Krasnodar 0

xG 1.44 – 1.29 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

→

Wednesday, 16/09/2026

4 matches

19:45

Lokomotiv Moscow 1

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1

Pre-match probabilities

→
19:45

Baltika Kaliningrad 2

Zenit St. Petersburg 3

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:30

FC Spartak Moscow 1

Fakel Voronezh 0

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:30

Rodina Moscow 1

Rubin Kazan 1

Pre-match probabilities

→

Sunday, 13/09/2026

3 matches

18:30

FK Krasnodar 1

Akron Togliatti 1

Pre-match probabilities

→
16:00

FC Spartak Moscow 3

FC Rostov 0

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
13:30

Akhmat Grozny 3

Dinamo Makhachkala 2

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 12/09/2026

4 matches

19:45

CSKA Moscow 1

Rubin Kazan 1

Pre-match probabilities

→
17:30

Dynamo Moscow 1

Orenburg 0

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
15:15

Zenit St. Petersburg 2

Lokomotiv Moscow 1

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
13:00

Fakel Voronezh 2

Baltika Kaliningrad 2

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Friday, 11/09/2026

1 match

17:00

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2

Rodina Moscow 1

xG 2.62 – 2.51 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

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Monday, 07/09/2026

1 match

18:30

Rubin Kazan 1

Akhmat Grozny 1

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Sunday, 06/09/2026

4 matches

19:45

Baltika Kaliningrad 0

Lokomotiv Moscow 1

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
17:30

Dynamo Moscow 2

FC Spartak Moscow 1

Pre-match probabilities

→
15:15

Dinamo Makhachkala 2

Rodina Moscow 0

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
13:00

Orenburg 2

Akron Togliatti 2

Pre-match probabilities

→

Saturday, 05/09/2026

3 matches

18:00

FC Rostov 3

Fakel Voronezh 1

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
15:30

Zenit St. Petersburg 1

CSKA Moscow 2

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
13:00

Krylya Sovetov Samara 2

FK Krasnodar 2

Pre-match probabilities

→

Sunday, 30/08/2026

3 matches

19:00

Rubin Kazan 3

Dinamo Makhachkala 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:30

FC Spartak Moscow 1

Orenburg 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:00

Rodina Moscow 0

Baltika Kaliningrad 3

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 29/08/2026

4 matches

19:00

Akhmat Grozny 3

Krylya Sovetov Samara 3

No pre-match probabilities
→
19:00

Lokomotiv Moscow 0

Dynamo Moscow 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:30

FK Krasnodar 1

FC Rostov 0

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:00

Fakel Voronezh 0

Zenit St. Petersburg 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 28/08/2026

1 match

17:00

Akron Togliatti 2

CSKA Moscow 2

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 24/08/2026

1 match

19:30

Baltika Kaliningrad 1

Rubin Kazan 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 23/08/2026

4 matches

19:00

FC Spartak Moscow 2

Zenit St. Petersburg 0

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:30

Dinamo Makhachkala 0

FK Krasnodar 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:15

Dynamo Moscow 3

Rodina Moscow 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:00

Akron Togliatti 0

Krylya Sovetov Samara 3

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 22/08/2026

3 matches

19:15

CSKA Moscow 3

Lokomotiv Moscow 2

No pre-match probabilities
→
17:00

Akhmat Grozny 4

FC Rostov 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

Fakel Voronezh 0

Orenburg 0

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 16/08/2026

3 matches

18:30

Baltika Kaliningrad 1

FC Spartak Moscow 2

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:00

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1

Dinamo Makhachkala 4

No pre-match probabilities
→
13:30

Zenit St. Petersburg 3

Dynamo Moscow 0

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 15/08/2026

4 matches

19:45

FK Krasnodar 1

Akhmat Grozny 0

No pre-match probabilities
→
17:30

FC Rostov 1

Rubin Kazan 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
15:15

CSKA Moscow 1

Fakel Voronezh 0

No pre-match probabilities
→
13:00

Rodina Moscow 3

Akron Togliatti 3

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 14/08/2026

1 match

16:00

Orenburg 1

Lokomotiv Moscow 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 10/08/2026

1 match

18:30

Fakel Voronezh 0

Akhmat Grozny 0

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 09/08/2026

1 match

19:30

Rubin Kazan 1

Orenburg 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.