SuperLiga (Serbia)

SuperLiga (Serbia) results 2026/2027

Every SuperLiga (Serbia) match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 12 of 23 matches (52%). The probabilities implied about 11 (48%). Brier score 0.59 (reference 0.65; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

3 matches

20:00

FK Železničar Pančevo 2

FK Čukarički 1

xG 2.89 – 0.53 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
19:00

FK Crvena zvezda 3

FK Radnički Niš 0

xG 3.66 – 0.69 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:00

FK Mačva Šabac 1

FK Mladost Lučani 2

xG 1.79 – 1.22 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

→

Saturday, 19/09/2026

4 matches

19:00

FK Radnik Surdulica 4

FK Partizan 4

xG 2.02 – 3.40 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
19:00

OFK Beograd 3

FK Radnički 1923 5

xG 1.95 – 2.18 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:00

FK Vojvodina 1

FK IMT Beograd 1

xG 1.43 – 1.53 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

→
17:00

FK Novi Pazar 2

FK Zemun 2

xG 3.40 – 0.60 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→

Thursday, 17/09/2026

1 match

20:00

FK Železničar Pančevo 1

FK Crvena zvezda 2

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Monday, 14/09/2026

1 match

19:00

FK Zemun 1

FK Radnik Surdulica 1

xG 0.20 – 3.62 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→

Sunday, 13/09/2026

3 matches

19:00

FK IMT Beograd 0

FK Crvena zvezda 1

xG 0.60 – 1.22 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
17:00

FK Partizan 2

FK Vojvodina 3

xG 2.02 – 1.55 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

→
16:00

FK Radnički Niš 3

OFK Beograd 1

xG 2.66 – 1.02 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 12/09/2026

2 matches

20:30

FK Radnički 1923 5

FK Mladost Lučani 0

xG 2.49 – 0.49 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
18:30

FK Čukarički 1

FK Novi Pazar 1

xG 0.58 – 0.60 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Friday, 11/09/2026

1 match

18:30

FK Železničar Pančevo 2

FK Mačva Šabac 0

xG 4.63 – 0.11 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Thursday, 10/09/2026

1 match

19:00

FK Radnik Surdulica 0

FK Crvena zvezda 0

Pre-match probabilities

→

Monday, 07/09/2026

1 match

20:00

OFK Beograd 1

FK IMT Beograd 1

Pre-match probabilities

→

Sunday, 06/09/2026

2 matches

21:00

FK Vojvodina 2

FK Zemun 1

xG 4.89 – 0.78 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
19:00

FK Crvena zvezda 2

FK Partizan 1

xG 1.96 – 1.16 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 05/09/2026

3 matches

20:00

FK Mačva Šabac 0

FK Radnički 1923 0

xG 0.22 – 3.02 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
20:00

FK Mladost Lučani 1

FK Radnički Niš 0

xG 1.11 – 2.20 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
18:00

FK Radnik Surdulica 3

FK Čukarički 1

xG 1.63 – 2.70 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Friday, 04/09/2026

1 match

19:00

FK Novi Pazar 2

FK Železničar Pančevo 0

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Monday, 31/08/2026

1 match

19:00

FK Partizan 3

OFK Beograd 1

xG 2.71 – 1.32 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 30/08/2026

2 matches

21:00

FK IMT Beograd 2

FK Mladost Lučani 0

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:00

FK Zemun 0

FK Crvena zvezda 2

xG 1.52 – 3.51 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 29/08/2026

4 matches

21:00

FK Radnički Niš 1

FK Radnički 1923 1

xG 0.63 – 0.76 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
21:00

FK Novi Pazar 1

FK Mačva Šabac 1

xG 2.63 – 0.92 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
21:00

FK Čukarički 0

FK Vojvodina 5

xG 1.74 – 1.84 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
19:00

FK Železničar Pančevo 5

FK Radnik Surdulica 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 23/08/2026

4 matches

21:00

FK Vojvodina 1

FK Železničar Pančevo 0

xG 3.41 – 0.33 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
21:00

FK Mladost Lučani 3

FK Partizan 1

xG 1.40 – 2.22 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
19:00

FK Radnik Surdulica 1

FK Novi Pazar 0

xG 0.62 – 1.17 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
19:00

FK Crvena zvezda 4

FK Čukarički 0

xG 2.53 – 1.02 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 22/08/2026

3 matches

21:00

OFK Beograd 1

FK Zemun 0

No pre-match probabilities
→
19:00

FK Radnički 1923 2

FK IMT Beograd 1

xG 2.23 – 0.30 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
18:30

FK Mačva Šabac 1

FK Radnički Niš 0

xG 0.78 – 1.14 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 17/08/2026

1 match

20:00

FK Novi Pazar 2

FK Vojvodina 0

xG 2.85 – 6.21 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 16/08/2026

3 matches

21:00

FK Zemun 0

FK Mladost Lučani 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
21:00

FK Partizan 0

FK Radnički 1923 1

xG 4.12 – 0.74 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
19:00

FK IMT Beograd 0

FK Radnički Niš 0

xG 2.87 – 0.54 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 15/08/2026

3 matches

21:00

FK Čukarički 2

OFK Beograd 0

xG 1.66 – 0.57 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:00

FK Železničar Pančevo

FK Crvena zvezda
Void
→
19:00

FK Radnik Surdulica 2

FK Mačva Šabac 1

xG 0.88 – 0.51 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 09/08/2026

4 matches

21:00

OFK Beograd 2

FK Železničar Pančevo 2

No pre-match probabilities
→
21:00

FK Mladost Lučani 2

FK Čukarički 2

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:00

FK Vojvodina 2

FK Radnik Surdulica 1

xG 1.21 – 1.77 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:00

FK Mačva Šabac 1

FK IMT Beograd 0

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 08/08/2026

2 matches

20:00

FK Crvena zvezda 2

FK Novi Pazar 0

xG 2.67 – 1.86 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:00

FK Radnički 1923 3

FK Zemun 0

xG 4.05 – 1.06 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.