xgEdge

Derby County's recorded results for 2025/2026, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 46 of 46 matching results

46 played this season

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
20 wins, 9 draws, 17 losses

69 pts (3/1/0) 67–59 goals +8 GD

Chances

No comparable xG available

Comparable xG: 0 of 46 completed results.

46 results have unverified period coverage.

Points vs xPts equivalents Model

xPts unavailable

Matched xPts: 0 of 46 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

A 3/1/0 equivalent of recorded results, not standings points or qualification. The selection's league scoring format is not verified, or it mixes competitions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · All venues

Derby County's mixed record has no recorded xG behind it in this selection, so it cannot be read against the chances.

Points against xPts, over the selected results

The running totals appear once two of the selected results carry a model figure.

Scores and xG

Derby County first

  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.11 – 1.85

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sheffield United, Sat 02/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.13 – 2.48

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Queens Park Rangers, Sat 25/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.24 – 1.54

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Norwich City, Tue 21/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.03 – 0.67

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oxford United, Sat 18/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.91 – 1.73

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Southampton, Sat 11/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.57 – 0.30

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Stoke City, Mon 06/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.27 – 1.57

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Coventry City, Fri 03/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.16 – 0.15

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Birmingham City, Sat 21/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.00 – 1.72

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Portsmouth, Mon 16/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.25 – 1.45

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Millwall, Tue 10/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.11 – 0.74

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sheffield Wednesday, Sat 07/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.44 – 0.65

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Blackburn Rovers, Sat 28/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 3.27 – 0.58

    2:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Hull City, Tue 24/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.65 – 1.29

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Watford, Sat 21/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.80 – 1.00

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Swansea City, Sat 14/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.03 – 1.27

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Ipswich Town, Sat 07/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.00 – 0.23

    5:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Bristol City, Fri 30/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.29 – 0.97

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · West Bromwich Albion, Fri 23/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.71 – 0.89

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Charlton Athletic, Tue 20/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.76 – 0.99

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Preston North End, Sat 17/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.35 – 1.00

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Wrexham, Sun 04/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.22 – 1.32

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Middlesbrough, Thu 01/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.69 – 0.68

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Leicester City, Mon 29/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.79 – 2.98

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Birmingham City, Fri 26/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.79 – 0.15

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Portsmouth, Sat 20/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.64 – 0.18

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sheffield Wednesday, Mon 15/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.20 – 0.91

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Millwall, Wed 10/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.43 – 1.20

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Leicester City, Sat 06/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.92 – 1.53

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Middlesbrough, Sat 29/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.05 – 0.63

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Swansea City, Tue 25/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.62 – 1.47

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Watford, Sat 22/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.95 – 1.09

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Blackburn Rovers, Sat 08/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.84 – 1.28

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Hull City, Tue 04/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.15 – 2.16

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sheffield United, Sat 01/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.67 – 0.38

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Queens Park Rangers, Sat 25/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.95 – 1.11

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Norwich City, Tue 21/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.25 – 2.17

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oxford United, Sat 18/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.36 – 1.06

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Southampton, Sat 04/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.81 – 0.60

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Charlton Athletic, Tue 30/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.64 – 0.89

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Wrexham, Sat 27/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.34 – 0.90

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Preston North End, Sat 20/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.32 – 1.15

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · West Bromwich Albion, Sat 13/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.48 – 2.91

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Ipswich Town, Sat 30/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.47 – 0.76

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Bristol City, Fri 22/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.48 – 3.26

    3:5 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Coventry City, Sat 16/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Championship Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.39 – 1.09

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Stoke City, Sat 09/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →